But can you draw them from memory?? lol
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This is an expansion of a FH thread started at RX today. RX has lost her top math guys lately.
The prospect of ML was brought up, then determined to be not an option.
However it got me thinking about the best way to go, with ML allowed.
I can't figure that one out, and it bugs me.
Think like an actuary/accountant/ mathematician sort on this. You know the math and stats and lines, but nothing about football itself, you don't even know a football isn't round.
One of these lines should be best, given the halftime cancel option.
Dog + the help/ fav - the points have to be pretty equal in expectation.
Now are either dog ML, or Fav ML, much worse/better than the spread.... and WHY !
I suppose the answer can change a lot given a tiny spread ( 2.5), and a huge spread ( 22.5), so lets answer this for a 7 spread, and the given lines
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=714683
The prospect of ML was brought up, then determined to be not an option.
However it got me thinking about the best way to go, with ML allowed.
I can't figure that one out, and it bugs me.
Think like an actuary/accountant/ mathematician sort on this. You know the math and stats and lines, but nothing about football itself, you don't even know a football isn't round.
One of these lines should be best, given the halftime cancel option.
Dog + the help/ fav - the points have to be pretty equal in expectation.
Now are either dog ML, or Fav ML, much worse/better than the spread.... and WHY !
I suppose the answer can change a lot given a tiny spread ( 2.5), and a huge spread ( 22.5), so lets answer this for a 7 spread, and the given lines
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=714683
