Homedawg's Post Season Thread

homedawg · Oct 6, 2009

Some plays will be made to hedge my current futures I have going just to get that out there. My futures currently going (which will not be counted in my record) are:

Colorado to win World Series: 1.25/57.5
St Louis to win World Series: .75/11.50
St Louis to win NL Penant: 1.00/11.00
Detroit to win World Series: 1.00/35.00

So let's get this started

GM 1 Philadelphia -126 3.78/3.00
GM 1 St. Louis -136 4.08/3.00

Boston to win series -125 3.75/3.00
Los Angelas Dodgers to win seres +129 1.00/1.29

homedawg · Oct 6, 2009

Dodgers series bet is basically a small hedge against my St Louis futures.

Will add some more info on these plays later.

GL to everyone this post season

jordan17 · Oct 6, 2009

u back?
:think2:
bol Hd!
:toast:

homedawg · Oct 6, 2009

never really left

indiana · Oct 6, 2009

H.D......

thanks for the info and update with the plays...BOL

indy

Drunkn247 · Oct 6, 2009

homedawg said:
Some plays will be made to hedge my current futures I have going just to get that out there. My futures currently going (which will not be counted in my record) are:

Colorado to win World Series: 1.25/57.5
St Louis to win World Series: .75/11.50
St Louis to win NL Penant: 1.00/11.00
Detroit to win World Series: 1.00/35.00

So let's get this started

GM 1 Philadelphia -126 3.78/3.00
GM 1 St. Louis -136 4.08/3.00

Boston to win series -125 3.75/3.00
Los Angelas Dodgers to win seres +129 1.00/1.29

Do you really like the Phils in game one or is it a hedge??

Doug · Oct 7, 2009

agree with Boston, for sure.

homedawg · Oct 7, 2009

Drunkn247 said:
Do you really like the Phils in game one or is it a hedge??

I do like the Phils.

homedawg · Oct 7, 2009

Doug said:
agree with Boston, for sure.

Doug - Any suggestions on the best way to hedge this Colorado future, or should I let it ride, see if they make the World Series, and hedge there?

Locksmith · Oct 7, 2009

HD, always nice to see your plays. I have already bet the Cards to win the series vs the Dodgers and kind of like the Phils today, but am hesitant to pull the trigger because of the fishy appearance of the line. Lee really didnt finish the season that strong. What makes you like the Phils enough to bet them?

homedawg · Oct 7, 2009

GM 1 St. Louis/Los Angelas Under 7 -117 3.51/3.00

I love unders during playoff baseball. Carpenter has been unreal, and Wolfe has been extremely good lately. Neither offense is exactly tearing it up so I will take my chances. I think the Cards will win in a low scoring game.

St Louis 3
LA 1

beerformyhorses · Oct 7, 2009

best of luck homedawg... glad to see you in the forums again.

homedawg · Oct 7, 2009

Locksmith said:
HD, always nice to see your plays. I have already bet the Cards to win the series vs the Dodgers and kind of like the Phils today, but am hesitant to pull the trigger because of the fishy appearance of the line. Lee really didnt finish the season that strong. What makes you like the Phils enough to bet them?

I think the line is set right, maybe should be a tad bit higher for home field. But you said it, Lee hasn't been great lately, and Ubaldo has been on. But over the season the Phils, with their left dominant lineup (Rollins, Utley, Howard, Ibanez) they have hit righties better then lefties, while Colorado has hit for less average vs. Lefties (Lee) then righties. Another reason I wasn't afraid to make a play on the Phils was b/c of the size of the future bet I have on Colorado. I won't hesitate to take the other side if I see any advantage at all. I think Philadelphia will win in another close, low scoring game.

Philadelphia 4
Colorado 2

homedawg · Oct 7, 2009

beerformyhorses said:
best of luck homedawg... glad to see you in the forums again.

thanks Beer man, always nice to have you stop by. Hope you have had a solid season

:toast:

beerformyhorses · Oct 7, 2009

i have homedawg. im not getting rich by any means but im highly entertained and having fun with it. and october baseball is the best in my opionion. i think phillies, cards, angels and yanks win alds and my pick for WS is angels vs. cardinals.

Doug · Oct 7, 2009

homedawg said:
Doug - Any suggestions on the best way to hedge this Colorado future, or should I let it ride, see if they make the World Series, and hedge there?

I have some Rockies at about 80/1 myself.

It's not a huge bet, so I'm letting it ride for at least the first series.

To hedge, I'd consider Matchbook lines on Colo to lose, maybe make an offer.

stevo101 · Oct 7, 2009

Chooo Chooo!!! I think I hear the money train!!

BOL :toast:

Doug · Oct 7, 2009

Doug said:
I have some Rockies at about 80/1 myself.

It's not a huge bet, so I'm letting it ride for at least the first series.

To hedge, I'd consider Matchbook lines on Colo to lose, maybe make an offer.

MB has:

Colo to win +1500
Colo to lose -1750

So if you offered Colo to win at +1550 ( giving you Colo to lose -1550), that is the pure hedge to a Colo to win future.

If you have +8000 for a lot/ -1550 can take some edge off of it, like enough to pay back your original stake.

I like Colo in this 1st series, and game 1, so I'm not hedging.

homedawg · Oct 7, 2009

Doug said:
MB has:

Colo to win +1500
Colo to lose -1750

So if you offered Colo to win at +1550 ( giving you Colo to lose -1550), that is the pure hedge to a Colo to win future.

If you have +8000 for a lot/ -1550 can take some edge off of it, like enough to pay back your original stake.

I like Colo in this 1st series, and game 1, so I'm not hedging.

Ya i decided to give it a game and see if they can get up a game in the series, and then decide again. Hopefully they can make a run to the WS without having to hedge too much, then make a straight hedge, which would be far less confusing. Big "if" though

Did you make that bet before the season?

I think I made mine in about early to mid July

Hamboner0182 · Oct 7, 2009

nice to log in and see you on the same 3 bets as myself. lead off walk, phils need to score now

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