May add later.
Phillies -157
Medium
With the Phillies once again sending a southpaw to the mound, the Rockies once again are putting forth a lineup well below maximum productivity. Hawpe, Smith, Stewart and Inanetta are all out of todays starting lineup. Hamels is having an off year, but has pitched much better since the break, while September was his most dominant month of the season. Although Hamels struggled against the Rockies in his only start against them, not sure how predictive that start was, as fundamentally his style matches up with their aggressive lineup. Hamels disparity between home and away throughout his career is favorable and the sample size is large enough to not worry about the inherent nature of flyball pitchers struggling in this park. The Phillies bullpen is a concern, but well rested, while Hamel much like Lee is a solid candidate to eat up innings.
Despite pitching well in a couple of starts since coming off his injury, Cook is a big question mark. As mentioned yesterday, right handed sinkerball pitchers are prone to struggle against the Phillies lineup that is full of left handed bats that tee off on pitches attacking the low portion of the strike zone. It is to no surprise that he has struggled against the Phillies in the past, while Utley, Rollins, Howard and Werth have put forth good numbers against him.
The first two games are simply not ideal match ups for the Rockies. More than likely, they we come back home with a 0-2 deficit. The market picked off most of the value here, but despite not having as much value as yesterday, the Phillies still warrant a play at -157.
Phillies -157
Medium
With the Phillies once again sending a southpaw to the mound, the Rockies once again are putting forth a lineup well below maximum productivity. Hawpe, Smith, Stewart and Inanetta are all out of todays starting lineup. Hamels is having an off year, but has pitched much better since the break, while September was his most dominant month of the season. Although Hamels struggled against the Rockies in his only start against them, not sure how predictive that start was, as fundamentally his style matches up with their aggressive lineup. Hamels disparity between home and away throughout his career is favorable and the sample size is large enough to not worry about the inherent nature of flyball pitchers struggling in this park. The Phillies bullpen is a concern, but well rested, while Hamel much like Lee is a solid candidate to eat up innings.
Despite pitching well in a couple of starts since coming off his injury, Cook is a big question mark. As mentioned yesterday, right handed sinkerball pitchers are prone to struggle against the Phillies lineup that is full of left handed bats that tee off on pitches attacking the low portion of the strike zone. It is to no surprise that he has struggled against the Phillies in the past, while Utley, Rollins, Howard and Werth have put forth good numbers against him.
The first two games are simply not ideal match ups for the Rockies. More than likely, they we come back home with a 0-2 deficit. The market picked off most of the value here, but despite not having as much value as yesterday, the Phillies still warrant a play at -157.
