MC's SUNDAY NLCS PLAYS......STRANGE STUFF FOR SUNDAY.....(17-6 +20.03 units)

Search

Veteran
Joined
Aug 20, 2002
Messages
12,002
Tokens
17-6 +20.03 units

Phillies should tee of on Kuroda. Lee has been unhittable......

I usually dont take home run-lines...especially in the postseason....but Philly should destroy Kuroda....right???....hmmmm???

Then when I think more about it....this line scares the crap out of me. Why isnt Philly @ home with Lee a bigger favorite. He's having the best postseason and we already saw Sabathia has a bigger favorite against a much better pitcher and a much better team....And Lee only a -175 favorite against Kuroda, who has been bad and injured, facing a potent left-handed hitting lineup in their very own band-box?....Just so strange!

Something is off about the total too...I dont know what it is...But something is amiss here....I guess the linesmakers see Lee only giving up 1 or 2 runs. So they feel that Philly should score at least 5. So why such a short favorite....So weird!!

I see another very low scoring game. Maybe it will be the cold weather. Maybe it will be good pitching....Truth is the Philly bullpen still scares me...so I can only take the UNDER for the 1st 5.

I never make 3 plays on one game...but everything about this line is so strange to me. I just feel that the linesmakers want people to jump on Lee and Philly.

Ughh///this really is strange...so strange. Maybe I should just lay off? It just feels like somehting is up here. Do you have get this feeling about a game and line? I will either go 0-3 or 3-0 here.

Whatever it is...My prediction is 3-2 (Just not sure which team wins!!)

Dodgers +1.5 -140 (3 units)
Phi Team Total UNDER 4.5 -110 (2 units)
Lad/Phi UNDER 4.5 -125 (1st 5) (2 units)
 

New member
Joined
Jun 2, 2009
Messages
1,510
Tokens
game time temp is 42 degrees. 60% chance of rain. my guess is about 35 degrees with the wind chill factor.
another respectable capper thinks the line should be much lower. like -140.
so for almost opposite reasons you and he have reached the same conclusion.

gl today. for me i can not bet the dodgers!
 

Veteran
Joined
Aug 20, 2002
Messages
12,002
Tokens
game time temp is 42 degrees. 60% chance of rain. my guess is about 35 degrees with the wind chill factor.
another respectable capper thinks the line should be much lower. like -140.
so for almost opposite reasons you and he have reached the same conclusion.

gl today. for me i can not bet the dodgers!

Interesting. I knew its gonna be cold. I'm happy someone else agrees with the Phillies NOT being the play when everything points to them BEING the play!
 

New member
Joined
Sep 12, 2006
Messages
5,004
Tokens
MC, you have had a great run, but weren't you also against Lee in the Rockies series when he was +money? He has been unhittable. Don't overthink things. Good luck.
 

"Sit on mah lap!"
Joined
Jun 19, 2006
Messages
3,422
Tokens
I think Dodgers still have the edge in bullpen and hitting as you always have to worry about the boys in the blue coming from behind. Kuroda has similarly been lights out against this Phillies line-up so we should hopefully see a low-scoring affair here w/ the Dodgers taking one in Philly today.
 

New member
Joined
Jun 26, 2006
Messages
771
Tokens
Phillies line up has .118 BA and .179 OBP thruout 58 PA against Kuroda. 6 singles, 2 doubles, no triple or hr and gave up only 2 rbis. Kuroda owns Phillies!!
 

Member
Joined
May 24, 2006
Messages
1,068
Tokens
MLB Baseball (Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies)
Los Angeles Dodgers/Philadelphia Phillies 10/18/2009 8:05 PM(EST)
Total Points UNDER 4½ -150 for 1st 5 Innings
H Kuroda - R must Start C Lee - L must Start


1st 5 under 4.5 up to -150 now.....
GL tonight, let's get the sweep! :toast:
 

New member
Joined
May 17, 2009
Messages
26,459
Tokens
Looks like a early exit tonight get em next time you may have overthought this one a lil but not bashing you just saying it happens.(<)<
 

New member
Joined
Oct 14, 2009
Messages
303
Tokens
17-6 +20.03 units

Phillies should tee of on Kuroda. Lee has been unhittable......

I usually dont take home run-lines...especially in the postseason....but Philly should destroy Kuroda....right???....hmmmm???

Then when I think more about it....this line scares the crap out of me. Why isnt Philly @ home with Lee a bigger favorite. He's having the best postseason and we already saw Sabathia has a bigger favorite against a much better pitcher and a much better team....And Lee only a -175 favorite against Kuroda, who has been bad and injured, facing a potent left-handed hitting lineup in their very own band-box?....Just so strange!

Something is off about the total too...I dont know what it is...But something is amiss here....I guess the linesmakers see Lee only giving up 1 or 2 runs. So they feel that Philly should score at least 5. So why such a short favorite....So weird!!

I see another very low scoring game. Maybe it will be the cold weather. Maybe it will be good pitching....Truth is the Philly bullpen still scares me...so I can only take the UNDER for the 1st 5.

I never make 3 plays on one game...but everything about this line is so strange to me. I just feel that the linesmakers want people to jump on Lee and Philly.

Ughh///this really is strange...so strange. Maybe I should just lay off? It just feels like somehting is up here. Do you have get this feeling about a game and line? I will either go 0-3 or 3-0 here.

Whatever it is...My prediction is 3-2 (Just not sure which team wins!!)

Dodgers +1.5 -140 (3 units)
Phi Team Total UNDER 4.5 -110 (2 units)
Lad/Phi UNDER 4.5 -125 (1st 5) (2 units)

Ouch. At least you won't have to sit around wondering what will happen with the last 2.
 
Joined
Oct 27, 2008
Messages
421
Tokens
its all good dude. take a deep breath, get a good nights sleep and wake up tomorrow and cap like your instincts tell you to without worrying about blowing a hot streak or chasing a bad day. youve won me a bunch of money so far these playoffs! i stayed off MLB today, using my bankroll for the NFL, but will be back on board with you this week
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,106,773
Messages
13,438,893
Members
99,339
Latest member
billcunninghamhomeloans
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com