Is this an accurate statement?

Kruser6 · Oct 18, 2009

"Your odds of making a flush on the next card if you flop a four flush are about 4-to-1, if you get to see both cards it is closer to 2-to-1."

Would like your guy's opinions on this.
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Voodoo7 · Oct 18, 2009

Yeah thats about right. Exact odds are 4.1 and 1.9

Nick.Papagiorgio · Oct 19, 2009

sounds good

ProPokerPlayer · Oct 19, 2009

Yea i think those odds are correct. Its 4 to 1 if im drawing to a flush and 1.9 if my opponent is drawing to a flush...LOL

steaktartar · Oct 19, 2009

ProPokerPlayer said:
Yea i think those odds are correct. Its 4 to 1 if im drawing to a flush and 1.9 if my opponent is drawing to a flush...LOL

@)

Kruser6 · Oct 19, 2009

Why do you're odds increase? I mean for instance if I am flipping a quarter and I am going to flip it two times, do I have 100% increase to hit heads-No. Isn't this like saying that the odds for the first flip are 2-1, but if I flip twice it's 1-1?

TomGshotput · Oct 19, 2009

IndiansK6 said:
Why do you're odds increase? I mean for instance if I am flipping a quarter and I am going to flip it two times, do I have 100% increase to hit heads-No. Isn't this like saying that the odds for the first flip are 2-1, but if I flip twice it's 1-1?

Odds increase because you have two chances? Duh. The chance of hitting heads If you flip a coin once is 50% if you flip it twice it is 75%

Kruser6 · Oct 19, 2009

Isn't it irrelevant what happened the first flip? You still have a 50% chance to hit heads the second time no?

Not necessary for any of you smart asses to talk shit or "DUH" me, I am just wanting to have a friendly debate.
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TomGshotput · Oct 19, 2009

The first flip is not irrelevent. If you hit the flush on the frist card, the next one doesn't matter. Likewise, if see heads on the first flip you have a 100% chance of seeing heads on one of the two flips

Apologize for the Duh comment. But if you draw multiple cards or flip a coin multiple times the chance of seeing the one you want has to increase

Kruser6 · Oct 19, 2009

Correct, I just remember many discussions speaking of roulette and how the previous spins don't matter. So if there is 6 reds in a row you don't have a better shot of hitting black. I was just curious what others had to say on the issue.

FU PO69 you fat POS. You should just change your name to POS69.

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celticGreen+ · Oct 19, 2009

IndiansK6 said:
Isn't it irrelevant what happened the first flip? You still have a 50% chance to hit heads the second time no?

Not necessary for any of you smart asses to talk shit or "DUH" me, I am just wanting to have a friendly debate.
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If you flip a coin twice, you have 50% chance to land on heads once, and 50% chance the second time. It is true the coin has no memory - so once you've flipped once, regardless of the outcome, the next flip still has only a 50% chance of being heads. BUT if you're defining a set number of occurances of this act of chance, then you can figure out the odds over the course of that entire set of events.

For coins, a way to think about it is working out the possible outcomes:

One Flip:
H
T
(two possible outcomes, 50% chance either will occur)

Two flips:
TT
HH
TH
HT
(four possible outcomes all equally likely)

And then using the number of outcomes to work out your probabilities. You could do the same with cards as well, although I don't have the skill to illustrate that.

TomGshotput · Oct 19, 2009

If there are six spins in a row you have a very good chance of hitting black at least once, on a double zero wheel something like 98.355263157894736842105263157895%

Kruser6 · Oct 19, 2009

celticGreen said:
If you flip a coin twice, you have 50% chance to land on heads once, and 50% chance the second time. It is true the coin has no memory - so once you've flipped once, regardless of the outcome, the next flip still has only a 50% chance of being heads. BUT if you're defining a set number of occurances of this act of chance, then you can figure out the odds over the course of that entire set of events.

For coins, a way to think about it is working out the possible outcomes:

One Flip:
H
T
(two possible outcomes, 50% chance either will occur)

Two flips:
TT
HH
TH
HT
(four possible outcomes all equally likely)

And then using the number of outcomes to work out your probabilities. You could do the same with cards as well, although I don't have the skill to illustrate that.

Thanks. Makes a lot more sense that way.

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Kruser6 · Oct 19, 2009

PO69 said:
INDIANSK6,

A picture book cant even make sense to you

You really need to quit playing poker if you can reason this one out by now

Um ok.
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CujoLatte · Oct 19, 2009

indiansk6 said:
fu po69 you fat pos. You should just change your name to pos69.

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Very Funny!

:laugh:

Is this an accurate statement?

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