I'd give the edge to the phillies with Lee, Pedro and Hamels pitching. I have a feeling Hamels will get it together this series.
The only pitcher that strikes any fear in the Yankees line up is CC, and he's prone to getting light up in the playoffs.
What's key here is that the Yankees bullpen is much superior to the Phillies bullpen, so if the Phillies are going to win this the starters will have to go a full 7 innings to give the batters a good lead, also so the bullpen can't botch things up