Wednesday Bet O The Day GM 1 10/28

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A Separate Reality
Joined
Jan 14, 2002
Messages
5,533
Tokens
YTD 20-23
TOTALS 17-18
ML 1-1
RL 2-4

UNITS +1

PLAYOFFS
YTD 1-2
TOTALS 1-2

OVER 7' LEE/CC (<)<

The below writeup is from WunderDog posted in the Service Play forum here. It is well reasoned out and the reason I like the OVER


The Yankees have played nine post-season games and have yet to be held under four runs. They have scored 23 in their last three and have averaged 5.3 runs a game. The playoffs are supposed to take away the long ball with the strong pitching, but that hasn't slowed the Bombers who have slugged 14 in the nine games. The Phillies have been similar as they have plated four runs or more in eight of their nine games and have averaged over six runs a game. That makes for two teams that have each reached the four run mark in 17 out of 18 possibilities. The Phillies have matched the Yankees home run total of 14, so combined they have 28 HR's in 18 games and the Stadium has allowed more HR's than any park in baseball. The last 14 starts Sabathia has made with a total of 7-8.5 has seen 11 of the 14 go OVER. The Phillies have also played to an 18-6-2 OVER mark in their last 26. I like this one to go OVER the total. <!-- / message -->
 

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