World Series Game 5 Play: 11/2 (MLB YTD: 54-39)

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Feb 7, 2009
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YTD:
MLB: 54-39
NCAAF: 32-29
NFL: 19-19
NHL: 13-22
NBA: 3-1
----------------------
TOTAL: 121-109 (52.6%)


After losing plays on Game 1 and Game 2 of the World Series, I came back to win Game 3 and honestly got very lucky on winning Game 4 last night. Special thanks to Jorge Posada for adding just enough insurance to help me hit the run line. On to tonight's play:


YANKEES/PHILLIES OVER 8.5 (+110)


Obviously, seeing as how both Lee and Burnett were brilliant in their prior starts in this series, the majority of the money would be coming in on the under. But I love getting the over at a discount in this situation. The Phillies are facing elimination in this game and you know they are going to pull out all the stops to keep this from being the last game of the season. I understand that the Yankees are sitting Posada tonight, and Cabrera is nursing a hammy, but I don't think that is going to effect the Yankees much.
People also forget that Brett Gardner and Jose Molina are major league baseball players who can get the job done just as well as a lot of other guys.
I think the Phils are going to come out and rough Burnett up. Then they're going to rough the bullpen up. And they are not going to stop until they are assured that the Yankees can't come back. But of course, they are the Yankees, and they can never be counted out of any game. I don't think Lee will be quite as sharp as he was in Game 1. It will be extremely hard to duplicate that performance, especially playing at what I believe to be a more hitter-friendly venue than Yankee Stadium. Also considering that Lee pitched well over 100 pitches in his last start, I think fatigue may come into play for him tonight. Then we see Philly's bullpen, and we all usually know how that story goes. Long story short, the majority play tonight seems to be on the under, but I'm not buying it. Not considering the circumstances. Once again, it's the over for me in this one. BOL tonight fellas!


-Ole Nubbs
 

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