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Thread: Global Warming or Global Bullshit?

  1. #1426  
    RX SemiGod
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  2. #1427  
    Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory Willie99's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seymour View Post
    Would eating a vegan diet make us fart less? Maybe that will help stop climate change too

    Farting less = more glaciers
    "The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter". "A rising tide raises all boats". "MAGA"
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  3. #1428  
    RX Local Greenbacks's Avatar
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    Tomorrow the high in New York 60 degrees
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    RX SemiGod mplastered's Avatar
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    Minus 1 here last week, 60 yesterday, 5" of snow and counting today. Typical Pittsburgh winter. Nothing to see, move along.
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  5. #1430  
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    Snow tomorrow 3 inches
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  6. #1431  
    Que pasa? festeringZit's Avatar
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    I've lived in South Texas for 25 years. It's never been this cold.

    12 degrees at 8 am. My brother down the street said his showed 11 degrees earlier.

    Why have I never ever in the history of this forum heard one DemoScum speak out against the global warming sham? I'll tell you,
    because they are brainless fucking idiots that march in line to their puppet masters.

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  7. #1432  
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    Closed the schools today in my County

    3-4 inches really not that bad though
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  9. #1434  
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    Progressivism is the bastard child of Marxism
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  10. #1435  
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    Big Apple today 59 degrees

    Baby it's warm outside
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  11. #1436  
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    Irony Alert: A Thousand Private Jets Deliver Globalist Elite to Davos for Climate Change Summit
    40750

    AP Images

    by VIRGINIA HALE24 Jan 20185,978

    More than 1,000 private jet flights have been delivering globalist elites to the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, where attendees are discussing — among other topics — the ‘major threat’ of climate change.

    http://www.breitbart.com/london/2018/01/24/private-jets-davos-climate-change/

    Progressivism is the bastard child of Marxism
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  12. #1437  
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    Pictures: Globalist Davos Summit Buried in Snow as Elites Gather to Discuss Global Warming
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    Progressivism is the bastard child of Marxism
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  13. #1438  
    Life's a bitch, then you die! Dave007inVegas's Avatar
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    How does it feel to be a sap, liberals?
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  14. #1439  
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    18 degrees,wind chill 8 degrees

    Cold like a mother
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    RX SemiGod
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  16. #1441  
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    [ Why has no DemoScum in the history of this forum, NEVER spoken out against the climate change scam? Brainless fucks. And, why did charlatan
    Al Gore not respond to this wager that temps would not go up? Hmmm? ]



    Kesten C. Green: Climate Bet 10 Years on: What Became of Al Gore’s ‘Tipping Point’?

    106







    The Associated Press

    by KESTEN C. GREEN9 Feb 2018284
    In 2007, University of Pennsylvania Professor J. Scott Armstrongchallenged former U.S. Vice President Al Gore to a bet on what would happen to global average temperatures over the following 10 years.

    Armstrong’s challenge was in response to Gore’s warning of a looming dangerous “tipping point” in global mean temperatures. His proposal of a $10,000 bet was intended to draw attention to the need to assess the predictive validity of climate forecasts in an objective manner. Armstrong issued his challenge based on the knowledge that predictions of dangerous global warming were the product of methods that violated 72 of 89 forecasting principles relevant to the forecasting problem.
    Emails to Gore were unproductive: after several attempts at engagement, his staff informed Armstrong that Gore did not take bets. The important question of whether public policies should be based on the alarming projections remained, so Armstrong commissioned theclimatebet.com site to track how the bet would have turned out had Gore accepted.
    At the time of the challenge, Gore warned that the climate was warming at such a rate that, without immediate action, disasters would occur. His book Assault on Reason — published in April 2007 — stated that: “Many scientists are now warning that we are moving closer to several ‘tipping points’ that could — within as little as ten years — make it impossible for us to avoid irretrievable damage of the planet’s habitability for human civilization.”
    Formulating the Climate Bet
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    Gore’s warning was not directly testable: he failed to provide a quantitative forecast. The 2001 U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Assessment Report’s “business as usual” projection of 3°C per-century was used to stand for Gore’s forecast. Adopting the IPCC projection favored Gore, as it was less extreme than his “tipping point” alarm.
    Armstrong bet that the global mean temperature would not change; in other words, that temperature increases and decreases would tend to balance out over time. That forecast is consistent with a statement in the aforementioned IPCC technical report: “In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”
    The bet was monitored monthly using satellite data on lower troposphere temperaturesfrom researchers at the University of Alabama at Huntsville. In contrast to surface data, these satellite data cover the whole Earth, are fully disclosed, and are not contaminated by poor maintenance and location of weather stations, changes from mercury to electronic measurement, and unexplained adjustments.
    In calling for the rapid implementation of expensive policies, Gore was presumably highly confident about his alarming forecast. Armstrong was not: a simulation using 150 years of temperature data suggested that, due to natural variation in global temperatures, his chance of winning a bet for as short a period as ten years was only 70 percent.
    Findings
    Gore’s warning of dangerous warming was based on the predictions of experts. Experts, however, have a poor record in forecasting. Politicians are not exceptions. As Winston Churchill observed, “The most essential qualification for a politician is the ability to foretell what will happen tomorrow, next month, and next year, and then to explain afterwards why it did not happen.”

    The most effective way to compare the accuracy of forecasts from different forecasting methods is the relative cumulative absolute error. By that measure (measure 1 in the table), the no-change forecast errors were 12 percent smaller than those of the IPCC dangerous warming projection. Seven other measures are provided to help readers draw their own conclusions as to whether, with the benefit of hindsight, it would have been better in 2007 to plan for a tipping point, or no change, over the next decade.
    * For detailed findings table and technical details see here.

    Ten More Years
    Longer is better for assessing climate forecasts, and so Armstrong has agreed to extend the bet for another ten years, sticking with the original 2007 global mean temperature as the starting point. This time he has reason to be more confident. Validation tests published two years after the original bet compared no-change model forecasts with IPCC dangerous warming forecasts for horizons from one to 100 years, and found that no-change forecasts were considerably more accurate; especially over longer horizons. That study, followed all of the relevant scientific forecasting principles, with only a minor exception. To our knowledge, the study remains the only peer-reviewed paper published in a scientific journal that provides scientific forecasts of long-term global mean temperatures.
    * See data here (updated January 4, 2018 from Version 6.0 as of April 2015)

    Kesten C. Green (kesten.green@unisa.edu.au) teaches managerial economics in the University of South Australia Business School.
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  17. #1442  
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    Tonight 6 inches of snow

    4 days later Wednesday 71 degrees
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  18. #1443  
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    6 inches as advertised

    WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 21
    DAY
    70°HI
    Nice and warm with intervals of clouds and sunshine
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  19. #1444  
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    Tell me it's okay for it to be 70 degrees on February 21
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  20. #1445  
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    The record high is 59 degrees set in 1991.

    Will be a new record looks like 64

    Tomorrow 71
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  21. #1446  
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    I'm going swimming in February
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  22. #1447  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Greenbacks View Post
    I'm going swimming in February
    give thanks to the non believers
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  23. #1448  
    RX Local Greenbacks's Avatar
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    TODAY













    FEB 21
    Sunny 77°45° 20% WSW 12 mph 60%
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  24. #1449  
    RX Local Greenbacks's Avatar
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    Yesterday 81

    Today 37
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  25. #1450  
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    [ Another Global Warming Scam prediction gone way wrong ]

    Delingpole: Penguin ‘Supercolony’ Discovered in Antarctica; Another Global Warming Scare Story Bites the Dust

    5790






    AP/Maxi Jonas

    by James Delingpole4 Mar 20181,510
    Researchers in Antarctica have discovered a supercolony of 1.5 million Adélie penguins whose existence was previously unknown to biologists.

    According to Science News:
    On an expedition to an icy island chain off the Antarctic Peninsula’s northern tip, researchers discovered a massive supercolony of more than 1.5 million Adélie penguins, according to a study published March 2 in Scientific Reports.
    Scientists had known of an Adélie penguin colony (Pygoscelis adeliae) in these Danger Islands, but satellite images revealed more guano on the rocky islands than could be explained by the colony’s expected numbers.
    Even though the tiny island chain is only about 10 kilometers across, researchers hadn’t realized the extent of the penguin population, says study coauthor Heather Lynch, an ecologist at Stony Brook University in New York. “In the Antarctic, distances are so vast, something major could be just around the corner and you wouldn’t know.”
    Obviously this is great news for Adélie penguin fans. But terrible news for environmentalists. The penguin is what you might call their ‘polar bear of the south’ – that is, the cute, lovable, telegenic species most frequently cited in their propaganda stories about polar critters threatened by “climate change.”
    Here are a few examples.
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    From the WWF website:
    Adélie penguins are increasing in Antarctica. However, in areas where climate change is established, Adélie populations have fallen by more than 65% in the past 25 years. The biggest threat to them right now is climate change (other penguins, like gentoos, are better adapted to warmer climates).
    From a NASA-funded study:
    In a paper published June 29 in the journal Scientific Reports, the researchers project that approximately 30 percent of current Adélie colonies may be in decline by 2060, and approximately 60 percent of the present population might be dwindling by 2099. They also found the penguins at more southerly sites in Antarctica may be less affected by climate change.
    From a CBS News story, headlined ’11 Species Threatened by Climate Change’
    As global warming reshapes the Antarctic coast, the Adélie penguin could be one of the many species that suffers. The loss of sea ice coverage is expected to negatively impact its annual migration and winter survival while projected heavier snowfall could reduce the suitability of nest sites.
    From a Guardian yarn headlined ‘Penguin disaster as only two chicks survive from colony of 40,000’
    Elsewhere, human pressures including climate change have already been having a severe impact on the numbers of Adélie penguins. On the Antarctic Peninsula, which has been badly affected by climate change, populations have been decreasing, and some researchers suggest they may become extinct there.
    And – my favorite – check out this hysterical quote offered to the Independent by the WWF ‘s Head of Polar Programs, talking about the Adélie penguin breeding problem:
    “This devastating event contrasts with the Disney image that many people might have of penguins. It’s more like ‘Tarantino does Happy Feet’, with dead penguin chicks strewn across a beach in Adélie Land.
    [I would so pay to see that movie.]
    Anyway, you get the idea. Even before this discovery, the Adélie penguin was in no more in danger of extinction than the polar bear – and for much the same reasons: because there are lots and lots and lots of them; because there is no evidence that they are in any way troubled by “climate change.”
    Now, 1.5 million more of the pesky critters have been discovered out of the blue. And for all we know – the experts clearly don’t – this could be the first of many supercolonies which have hitherto evaded the attentions of Antarctic research teams.
    Oh – one more thing (H/T Dave Burton in the comments at Paul Homewood’s): this new colony has been discovered at the very tip of the Antarctic peninsula. That is, at the warmest part of the Antarctic. In other words, we have a supercolony thriving under exactly the conditions that alarmist ecologists are telling us will prove disastrous for the penguins because climate change.
    Climate alarmism: it really is now way, way beyond the realms of satire, is it not?
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