NHL Simple System Totals Plays

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Fellas, the name says it all. The system simply plays a total if the Accuscore probability is greater than 15% than lines available at the time of posting (mostly 5 dimes, sometimes my local.) I have been doing this all season and it has done satisfactorily well. I would like to track the system here to keep me disciplined with regard to recording these plays forthe rest of the season. All plays will be for 1 unit unless the discrepancy is over 30%, which has happened a few times this year, in which case I will risk 1.5 units.

Now, I fully acknowledge that Broncos had great systems using Accuscore in baseball and NBA following similar guidelines. Seeing as he did not begin a thread here in the NHL forum, I decided to keep his idea going for this sport. I won't be posting any side plays, even though you could apply the same principles, because I tail number freak in the tracker forum for that. Also, hats off to mplastered for having a great totals thread of his own. BOL!!!!

:drink:
 

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(1-0-0) +1 Unit

Win last night.

Three picks today:

Red Wings O 5.5 -103

Hurricanes U 5.5 -102

senators O 5.5 +105


:toast:
 

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Record is (3-1-0) 75% +2.02 Units.

Finally uploaded the spreadsheet to Google Docs so I can track these independently from my other plays. Should not have an issue with errors going forward.
 

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Nice Start Mike!

You said you have been doing this all season and it has done satisfactorily well. Do you know/remember its record for previous season?

GL with your future plays, BOL!
 

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Nice Start Mike!

You said you have been doing this all season and it has done satisfactorily well. Do you know/remember its record for previous season?

GL with your future plays, BOL!

Thanks, but very small sample size as of yet. This is my first season trying this with NHL, but I can say with confidence that has generated some profit for me so far this season; however I am horrible with my record keeping discipline, so I couldn't give you an exact unit value. That is one of the main reasons I started this thread. Of course, this sytem may not have any edge. Naturally, much of it lies on the quality of the input variables at Accuscore as what I am doing is very simple. However, as time goes on we may see strength in certain matchups scenarios etc.. Broncos had some success with using Accuscore in MLB so I am optimistic that there may be some value here in the long run. As they say, we shall see. BOL!!

:toast:
 

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gl hopefully things go well I will keep checking in and I feel 4 your bears cutler is not a winner great arm but just as dumb as leaf (ryan)
 

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Thanks Hybrid. I guess all the Bears can do now is sit back and try to play for Denver's draft pick. At least the Blackhawks are serious competitors.
 

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Winner @):) Appreciate the play TraderMike. I would not have touched this over at all if it weren't for this thread.
 

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