The 100k Creditwagering.net contest has some suspicious things happening in the Grand Finale contest. It seems that they have put up dummy accounts to win the higher prizes so that they dont have to pay them. There are two pieces of evidence that make it seem obvious this is happening.
1) The leaderboard for the list of qualifiers were from a wide variety of places, small towns, big cities, suburbs etc. When you look at the top 25 on the website now that the contest is 2/3 of the way over, almost every single person is from a major top 25 city. While this is possible, it is much more likely that someone uncreative simply picked cities for dummy accounts from fake cities and used the cities they actually knew which happened to be big cities. There are basically NO accounts in the top 25 from suburbs, small towns etc, whereas the qualifying leaderboard was about 90%+ from non "name" cities.
2) The winning percentages of the top 25 are unrealistic. There are only 100 players total in this contest. The top 4 guys are hitting over 80%. The top 25 guys are all hitting over 60% for the contest. This is through a relatively large sample of 36 games. Thats right, there are 4 guys who are 29-7 through 36 games. This is essentially impossible for this to happen if this was the tru leaderboard imo. The top 5 make out with all the money. 6th-25th make out with 700 and 26th-100th make out with nothing.
Now I realize, some people will get hot and win a lot of games against the spread, but ask yourself if its realistic for an average bookie with 100 customers to have 4 guys hitting at over 80%, another 10 guys hitting at over 70%, another 11 guys hitting at over 60%, etc. And this isnt over one weekend, this is over THIRTY SIX GAMES.
The motivation for CW to do this is obvious. Run a huge promotion that ultimately drives a lot of traffic over to CW.COM, and then put dummy accounts into the contest in order to make sure that no one wins the top prizes.
Ultimately the stark difference in locations from the original qualifying leaderboard, and the leaderboard now is the most damning piece of evidence. Even most people who live in big cities would have addresses in the suburbs, etc. In other words, it would look like the qualifying leaderboard instead of what it looks like today. Check here for yourself
http://www.creditwagering.net/leaderboard/
Additionally doing a little basic statistical analysis would tell you it is EXTREMELY IMPROBABLE to have the number of people they have with the winning percentages they have over this sample. Keep in mind some/most of the players probably forget to put in some picks, or are not participating at all out of the top 100.
Thoughts?
1) The leaderboard for the list of qualifiers were from a wide variety of places, small towns, big cities, suburbs etc. When you look at the top 25 on the website now that the contest is 2/3 of the way over, almost every single person is from a major top 25 city. While this is possible, it is much more likely that someone uncreative simply picked cities for dummy accounts from fake cities and used the cities they actually knew which happened to be big cities. There are basically NO accounts in the top 25 from suburbs, small towns etc, whereas the qualifying leaderboard was about 90%+ from non "name" cities.
2) The winning percentages of the top 25 are unrealistic. There are only 100 players total in this contest. The top 4 guys are hitting over 80%. The top 25 guys are all hitting over 60% for the contest. This is through a relatively large sample of 36 games. Thats right, there are 4 guys who are 29-7 through 36 games. This is essentially impossible for this to happen if this was the tru leaderboard imo. The top 5 make out with all the money. 6th-25th make out with 700 and 26th-100th make out with nothing.
Now I realize, some people will get hot and win a lot of games against the spread, but ask yourself if its realistic for an average bookie with 100 customers to have 4 guys hitting at over 80%, another 10 guys hitting at over 70%, another 11 guys hitting at over 60%, etc. And this isnt over one weekend, this is over THIRTY SIX GAMES.
The motivation for CW to do this is obvious. Run a huge promotion that ultimately drives a lot of traffic over to CW.COM, and then put dummy accounts into the contest in order to make sure that no one wins the top prizes.
Ultimately the stark difference in locations from the original qualifying leaderboard, and the leaderboard now is the most damning piece of evidence. Even most people who live in big cities would have addresses in the suburbs, etc. In other words, it would look like the qualifying leaderboard instead of what it looks like today. Check here for yourself
http://www.creditwagering.net/leaderboard/
Additionally doing a little basic statistical analysis would tell you it is EXTREMELY IMPROBABLE to have the number of people they have with the winning percentages they have over this sample. Keep in mind some/most of the players probably forget to put in some picks, or are not participating at all out of the top 100.
Thoughts?
