Lance's Lock's 2010 PGA Tour Thread

Was out of town last weekend for the kickoff of the 2010 PGA Tour.
Hopefully I can come by every week from here on out to provide some insight to one pf my favorite sports.

This week the Tour is @ Waialee CC in Honolulu for the Sony Open. Zach Johnson is the defending champion and will have to contend with a full field this week with all but 20 players making their 2010 PGA debut. 2005 Sony Open champ Vijay Singh will be playing for the first time since off-season knee surgery and several other past champions are in the field as well. Last week’s winner Geoff Ogilvy will not be playing this week.

Here are the odds at my book: I will underline the players I am betting on this week.

<TABLE style="BORDER-BOTTOM: gray 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: gray 1px solid; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse; BORDER-TOP: gray 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: gray 1px solid" class=InitialTable border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3><TBODY><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap> 5101</TD><TD noWrap>Steve Stricker</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;1;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;1;ML@@>+900 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>Golf - Odds To Win The Sony Open In Hawaii</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5102</TD><TD noWrap>Zach Johnson</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;2;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;2;ML@@>+1500 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5103</TD><TD noWrap>Sean OHair</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;3;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;3;ML@@>+1500 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5104</TD><TD noWrap>Robert Allenby</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;4;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;4;ML@@>+1600 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5105</TD><TD noWrap>Retief Goosen</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;5;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;5;ML@@>+1800 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5106</TD><TD noWrap>Rory Sabbatini</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;6;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;6;ML@@>+1800 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5107</TD><TD noWrap>Ernie Els</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;7;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;7;ML@@>+2200 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5108</TD><TD noWrap>Matt Kuchar</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;8;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;8;ML@@>+2500 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5109</TD><TD noWrap>David Toms</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;9;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;9;ML@@>+2800 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5110</TD><TD noWrap>Justin Leonard</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;10;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;10;ML@@>+2800 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5111</TD><TD noWrap>Stewart Cink</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;11;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;11;ML@@>+2800 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5112</TD><TD noWrap>Tim Clark</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;12;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;12;ML@@>+2800 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5113</TD><TD noWrap>Stephen Ames</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;13;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;13;ML@@>+2800 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5114</TD><TD noWrap>Brian Gay</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;14;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;14;ML@@>+3000 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5115</TD><TD noWrap>Lucas Glover</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;15;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;15;ML@@>+3000 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5116</TD><TD noWrap>Dustin Johnson</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;16;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;16;ML@@>+3200 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5117</TD><TD noWrap>Angel Cabrera</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;17;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;17;ML@@>+3200 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5118</TD><TD noWrap>Vijay Singh</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;18;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;18;ML@@>+3500 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5119</TD><TD noWrap>Pat Perez</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;19;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;19;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5120</TD><TD noWrap>Kevin Na</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;20;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;20;ML@@>+3500 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5121</TD><TD noWrap>Luke Donald</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;21;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;21;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5122</TD><TD noWrap>Rickie Fowler</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;22;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;22;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5123</TD><TD noWrap>Chad Campbell</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;23;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;23;ML@@>+4000 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5124</TD><TD noWrap>Justin Rose</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;24;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;24;ML@@>+4500 </TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#c0c0c0><TD noWrap></TD><TD noWrap>5125</TD><TD noWrap>Field (Any Other Player)</TD><TD noWrap><INPUT id=NameX value=167959;25;ML type=checkbox name=NameX @@CHECKED167959;25;ML@@>+150 </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD><TD noWrap> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


One player who is not on the board at my book is Jerry Kelly. He should be in the +6000 range. He's worth a small bet, especially if he gets his putter grooving. This course is set up perfectly for Zach Johnson, who I think has the best shot to win other than Stricker. Lots of pub on Els this week as he's playing a shorter schedule this year as compared to last year. It seems these grizzled tour vets play better early in the year, so I will put some on him along with VJ.
Other leans are Toms, Glover and Luke Donald who is my biggest longshot of the tournament.

BOL to all this weekend!

Zack along with THE FIELD are my biggest threats right now after 36 holes, believe it or not, Zack scares me more than the field, still a long, long, way to go----one bad hole and boom

I got Campbell, Stricker, Cabrera, Allenby, Goosen, Sabbatini, O'Hair and a few others

looks like your book had low odds on Stricker, I'm getting 13-1

still way too early to know what is going to happen, but BOL to you

agreed, can't believe I didn't put any on Allenby, but Zach still has half a round to go today. Tomorrow will be interesting to see how the pressure of a final round has on some of these current leaders.

Allenby hasn't won here in awhile, only in Australia, but his mom died last year and he is walking around limping so maybe things will go his way in the U.S.---I'd still rather have Stricker up there leading, but he is capable at anytime on going on a huge run with his putter-----Or maybe Rory will shoot a huge final round again like he did in Maui-------Nathan Green was one of my few others, but I doubt he can shoot that great again-----I got 4 out of the Top 10, but it will still be very tough---------I Just hope I don't get second, that would be a massive tease

congrats to Palmer. I thought Stricker had a chance for a playoff had he birdied 18. Great final round for him though.

Tough event to cap, especially since the weather is supposed to be down right wet. Only 3 plays this week for me as we will be lucky to even see this thing played. Good value, as the top ranked player is +1500. Best of luck this week.



5103 Ryan Palmer +1500
5102 Mike Weir +1500
5103 Justin Rose +1500
5104 Tim Clark +1500
5105 Chad Campbell +2000
5106 Justin Leonard +2000
5107 Matt Kuchar +2500
5108 Pat Perez +2500
5109 John Senden +2500
5110 Martin Laird +2500
5111 Michael Sim +2500
5112 David Toms +2500
5113 Charles Howell III +3000
5114 Brian Gay +3000
5115 Scott Verplank +3500
5116 Charley Hoffman +3500
5117 Brandt Snedeker +3500
5118 DJ Trahan +4000
5119 Rickie Fowler +4000
5120 Carl Pettersson +4000
5121 Rod Pampling +4000
5122 Field (Any Other Player) -170

San Diego and Torrey Pines this week. Phils back and is the odds on favorite. I really like Els this week, and was hoping to get a little better $ on him, but I will take him at plus 1500. I see CHowellIII leading early in this one for some reason. Glover was 3rd here last year and is leading the Tour in accuracy and scoring, love his number here.


Golf - Odds To Win - The Farmers insurance Open
5001 Phil Mickelson +500
5002 Robert Allenby +1000
5003 Nick Watney +1500
5004 Ernie Els +1500
5005 Ryan Moore +2000
5006 Hunter Mahan +2000
5007 Charles Howell III +2500
5008 Luke Donald +2500
5009 John Rollins +2500
5010 Brandt Snedeker +2500
5011 Dustin Johnson +2300
5012 Lucas Glover +3000
5013 Chad Campbell +3500
5014 Stephen Ames +3500
5015 Justin Rose +4000
5016 Bill Haas +4200
5017 Pat Perez +4200
5018 Bubba Watson +4200
5019 Carl Pettersson +4200
5020 Jason Dufner +4200
5021 John Senden +4200
5022 Charley Hoffman +4500
5023 Field (Any Other Player) Even

Hey Lance, I got two matchups going for torrey

D Johnson -130 vs. S Ames
J Rollins -110 vs. B Snedeker

Your thoughts?

tk2wndw said:

Hey Lance, I got two matchups going for torrey

D Johnson -130 vs. S Ames
J Rollins -110 vs. B Snedeker

Your thoughts?

Click to expand...

I know the tourney has started, as I am just getting back to the office. Going to listen on Sirius in a few. I personally know Brandt, and like him alot, but would roll with Rollins.
Ames is hot already, so I'd go with him.

Ames has zero top 40s in 8 starts at torrey, that's why I went against him. Also just took Allenby -200 for Friday vs. Appleby. It is a lot of juice but these guys are going in opposite directions.

tk2wndw said:

Ames has zero top 40s in 8 starts at torrey, that's why I went against him. Also just took Allenby -200 for Friday vs. Appleby. It is a lot of juice but these guys are going in opposite directions.

Click to expand...

Appleby is on a big decline. Allenby will have a monster day today. I hope he gets in the top3 today. Interested to see what Phil does as well.

Got very lucky to push that allenby vs. appleby - appleby bogeyed 18 so they both finished -3 for the day.

Glover has a day on Sunday like he did today and he should pay off nicely!

Good luck on Glover tomorrow. I personally played Phil.

Glad I found your thread. Hope you don't mind some good golf chatter. Best of luck to you this golf season.

jblonghorn said:

Good luck on Glover tomorrow. I personally played Phil.

Glad I found your thread. Hope you don't mind some good golf chatter. Best of luck to you this golf season.

Click to expand...

Cheers!

Phil would have been a pick of mine, but in these "smaller" tournies I'd rather go with bigger odds players.
Always up for golf chatter, in fact I am finally after 35 years, going to Augusta this year!

Brandt Snedeker +2000

Brubaker said:

Brandt Snedeker +2000

Click to expand...

I actually have Sneds in my fantasy pool this week, he and Glover both played well yesterday. Would love to see them both go -4 again today.

Good luck!!

Allenby's back to back bogeys killed any hopes of him winning. I just knew Imada would fold. Congrats to Ben Crane on a solid performance.

Who are your early leans to play well at Riviera? I'm thinking Furyk may get off to a good start. It seems he's due after no wins in over 2 years. I don't see Phil winning this tourney 3 straight years. BOL.