tsonga (ali) vs federer tale of the tape and predictions

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seer
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ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls..LLLLLLet's get ready to rumble!!!!
in the white corner from france 6'2 ....24 yrs oldweighing in at 200lbs the black superman mohammed tsonga ali,...ali....in the red corner ex aussie champ from switzerland 6'1...28 yrs of age, weighing it at 187lbs roger federer...federer.

when 12:30pm pst...3:30am for most of u easterners

h2h
tsonga won in montreal aug 09 7-6/1-6/7-6
fed won oct 08 6-4/6-4
both on hard court

fed strengths: net game, patience, hitting the ball when on the run, mental toughness
weaknesses: hates long rallies, has improved but still unforced errors, backhand is defensive

ali strengths: net game, big serve.
weaknesses: backhand, stamina, unforced errors, not a powerful forehand

stamina concern
with 2 b2b 5 setters and exhaustion in the 4th set vs the joker, there isn't much left in the tank for the ali lookalike. fed on the other hand has cruised through with only 2 - 4 setters and the rest str8 set victories

another thing that ali tried is the drop shot against the joker. that won't cut it against fed who loves to hit while running- maybe the best in the game for that trait and he fed loves coming to the net so it is a lose lose situation.

though ali did beat fed - the stamina and unforced errors is too big a concern this time around. i hope tsonga will be in better shape and cut out his mistakes come wimbledon where a serve and volley style might just win the whole tourney for him, but at this point little no chance tonight.
that being said...i love him first set. he has a wicked serve and like the last game fed sat back on davy and figured him out after losing the first one.
my guess is fed could do the very same thing

i have futures on a murray to face and beat ali in the finals (20-1 and 28-1 respectively) so no doubt i am hedging out on this one

1st set ali +275

1st set score
ali
6-3 +1400
6-4 +1000
7-6 +800

tie break in match yes -138

set betting
fed 3-1 +250
fed 3-2 +600

sets 3' over -138

this could be a str8 setter but i am hoping obviously for tsonga 1st set. then fed likely like last night's murray match. fed takes the next 3 in a row

bol
 

seer
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74783_TSONGA_311008.jpg
 

Self appointed RX World Champion Handicapper
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good writeup...

i think tsonga has a fighters chance..

rooting for fed though.
 
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im thinking of throwing 25 on tsonga for the hell of it...they split their career meetings although i read fed had it under control until the end but that 1-4 payout is hard to resist...
 

seer
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seer,How & what would u bet if u were not hedging,gl & thank you.

still same thing quite honestly.
ali is spent. i just hope he has enough in the tank to win the 1st set - at those odds well worth it - in mtl he won the 1st set against fed and
fed was not even ready and lost to davydenko 1st set in that one too
 

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