Super Bowl spread ATS history

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Since Superbowl thru Superbowl XLII (43 superbowls)

1. The spread has been a factor only 7 times, twice pushing and 5 times the favorite didnt cover. The other 36 games whether the Dog won or favorite won the spread did not factor into the game.

2. The over has hit 21 times, under 21 times and superbowl I had no Total

3. Only 4 out of the the 21 overs has the Dog won. So when it goes over the total 81% the favorite wins

SUPER BOWL HISTORY
Superbowl Year Winner Winner's Line Loser Total Location
XLIII 2009 Pittsburgh Steelers 27 -7 Arizona Cardinals 23 46, OVER Tampa, FL
XLII 2008 New York Giants 17 +12 New England Patriots 14 55, UNDER Glendale, AZ
XLI 2007 Indianapolis Colts 29 -7 Chicago Bears 17 47, UNDER Miami, FL
XL 2006 Pittsburgh Steelers 21 -4 Seattle Seahawks 10 47, UNDER Detroit, MI
XXXIX 2005 New England Patriots 24 -7 Philadelphia Eagles 21 46.5, UNDER Jacksonville, FL
XXXVIII 2004 New England Patriots 32 -7 Carolina Panthers 29 37.5, OVER Houston, TX
XXXVII 2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48 +4 Oakland Raiders 21 44, OVER San Diego, CA
XXXVI 2002 New England Patriots 20 +14 St. Louis Rams 17 53, UNDER New Orleans, LA
XXXV 2001 Baltimore Ravens 34 -3 New York Giants 7 33, OVER Tampa, FL
XXXIV 2000 St. Louis Rams 23 -7 Tennessee Titans 16 47.5, UNDER Atlanta, GA
XXXIII 1999 Denver Broncos 34 -7.5 Atlanta Falcons 19 52.5, OVER Miami, FL
XXXII 1998 Denver Broncos 31 +11 Green Bay Packers 24 49, OVER San Diego, CA
XXXI 1997 Green Bay Packers 35 -14 New England Patriots 21 49, OVER New Orleans, LA
XXX 1996 Dallas Cowboys 27 -13.5 Pittsburgh Steelers 17 51, UNDER Tempe, AZ
XXIX 1995 San Francisco 49ers 49 -18.5 San Diego Chargers 26 53.5, OVER Miami, FL
XXVIII 1994 Dallas Cowboys 30 -10.5 Buffalo Bills 13 50.5, UNDER Atlanta, GA
XXVII 1993 Dallas Cowboys 52 -6.5 Buffalo Bills 17 44.5, OVER Pasadena, CA
XXVI 1992 Washington Redskins 37 -7 Buffalo Bills 24 49, OVER Minneapolis, MN
XXV 1991 New York Giants 20 +7 Buffalo Bills 19 40.5, UNDER Tampa, FL
XXIV 1990 San Francisco 49ers 55 -12 Denver Broncos 10 48, OVER New Orleans, LA
XXIII 1989 San Francisco 49ers 20 -7 Cincinnati Bengals 16 48, UNDER Miami, FL
XXII 1988 Washington Redskins 42 +3 Denver Broncos 10 47, OVER San Diego, CA
XXI 1987 New York Giants 39 -9.5 Denver Broncos 20 40, OVER Pasadena, CA
XX 1986 Chicago Bears 46 -10 New England Patriots 10 37.5, OVER New Orleans, LA
XIX 1985 San Francisco 49ers 38 -3.5 Miami Dolphins 16 53.5, OVER Stanford, CA
XVIII 1984 LA Raiders 38 +3 Washington Redskins 9 48, UNDER Tampa, FL
XVII 1983 Washington Redskins 27 +3 Miami Dolphins 17 36.5, OVER Pasadena, CA
XVI 1982 San Francisco 49ers 26 -1 Cincinnati Bengals 21 48, UNDER Pontiac, MI
XV 1981 Oakland Raiders 27 +3 Philadelphia Eagles 10 37.5, UNDER New Orleans, LA
XIV 1980 Pittsburgh Steelers 31 -10.5 Los Angeles Rams 19 36, OVER Pasadena, CA
XIII 1979 Pittsburgh Steelers 35 -3.5 Dallas Cowboys 31 37, OVER Miami, FL
XII 1978 Dallas Cowboys 27 -6 Denver Broncos 10 39, UNDER New Orleans, LA
XI 1977 Oakland Raiders 32 -4 Minnesota Vikings 14 38, OVER Pasadena, CA
X 1976 Pittsburgh Steelers 21 -7 Dallas Cowboys 17 36, OVER Miami, FL
IX 1975 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 -3 Minnesota Vikings 6 33, UNDER New Orleans, LA
VIII 1974 Miami Dolphins 24 -6.5 Minnesota Vikings 7 33, UNDER Houston, TX
VII 1973 Miami Dolphins 14 -1 Washington Redskins 7 33, UNDER Los Angeles, CA
VI 1972 Dallas Cowboys 24 -6 Miami Dolphins 3 34, UNDER New Orleans, LA
V 1971 Baltimore Colts 16 -2.5 Dallas Cowboys 13 36, UNDER Miami, FL
IV 1970 Kansas City Chiefs 23 +12 Minnesota Vikings 7 39, UNDER New Orleans, LA
III 1969 New York Jets 16 +18 Baltimore Colts 7 40, UNDER Miami, FL
II 1968 Green Bay Packers 33 -13.5 Oakland Raiders 14 43, OVER Miami, FL
I 1967 Green Bay Packers 35 -14 Kansas City Chiefs 10 NL Los Angeles, CA
 

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SB 1 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 2 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 3 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 4 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 5 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 6 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 7 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 8 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 9 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 10 Favorite win, (dog covers)
SB 11 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 12 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 13 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 14 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 15 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 16 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 17 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 18 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 19 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 20 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 21 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 22 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 23 Favorite win, (dog covers)
SB 24 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 25 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 26 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 27 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 28 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 29 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 30 Favorite win, (dog covers)
SB 31 push
SB 32 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 33 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 34 Push
SB 35 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 36 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 37 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 38 Favorite win, (dog covers)
SB 39 Favorite win, (dog covers)
SB 40 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 41 Favorite hit (Cover and win)
SB 42 Dog hit (Cover and win)
SB 43 Favorite win, (dog covers)
 

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I'm betting the spread won't matter this year either. I look for the Colts to put a hurt on New Orleans. After facing the toughest defense in the NFL in his last game with the Jets, Manning will be ready to go off on the Saints. I look for about a 350 yard passing day for Manning. And about 60 points or more put up between the two teams. Two dome teams playing outside won't make any difference. I'll be surprised if there is any defense played in this game. Especially by the Saints. Rain or shine, I look for a high scoring game.
 

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Since Superbowl thru Superbowl XLII (43 superbowls)

1. The spread has been a factor only 7 times, twice pushing and 5 times the favorite didnt cover. The other 36 games whether the Dog won or favorite won the spread did not factor into the game.

2. The over has hit 21 times, under 21 times and superbowl I had no Total

3. Only 4 out of the the 21 overs has the Dog won. So when it goes over the total 81% the favorite wins

SUPER BOWL HISTORY
Superbowl Year Winner Winner's Line Loser Total Location
XLIII 2009 Pittsburgh Steelers 27 -7 Arizona Cardinals 23 46, OVER Tampa, FL
XLII 2008 New York Giants 17 +12 New England Patriots 14 55, UNDER Glendale, AZ
XLI 2007 Indianapolis Colts 29 -7 Chicago Bears 17 47, UNDER Miami, FL
XL 2006 Pittsburgh Steelers 21 -4 Seattle Seahawks 10 47, UNDER Detroit, MI
XXXIX 2005 New England Patriots 24 -7 Philadelphia Eagles 21 46.5, UNDER Jacksonville, FL
XXXVIII 2004 New England Patriots 32 -7 Carolina Panthers 29 37.5, OVER Houston, TX
XXXVII 2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48 +4 Oakland Raiders 21 44, OVER San Diego, CA
XXXVI 2002 New England Patriots 20 +14 St. Louis Rams 17 53, UNDER New Orleans, LA
XXXV 2001 Baltimore Ravens 34 -3 New York Giants 7 33, OVER Tampa, FL
XXXIV 2000 St. Louis Rams 23 -7 Tennessee Titans 16 47.5, UNDER Atlanta, GA
XXXIII 1999 Denver Broncos 34 -7.5 Atlanta Falcons 19 52.5, OVER Miami, FL
XXXII 1998 Denver Broncos 31 +11 Green Bay Packers 24 49, OVER San Diego, CA
XXXI 1997 Green Bay Packers 35 -14 New England Patriots 21 49, OVER New Orleans, LA
XXX 1996 Dallas Cowboys 27 -13.5 Pittsburgh Steelers 17 51, UNDER Tempe, AZ
XXIX 1995 San Francisco 49ers 49 -18.5 San Diego Chargers 26 53.5, OVER Miami, FL
XXVIII 1994 Dallas Cowboys 30 -10.5 Buffalo Bills 13 50.5, UNDER Atlanta, GA
XXVII 1993 Dallas Cowboys 52 -6.5 Buffalo Bills 17 44.5, OVER Pasadena, CA
XXVI 1992 Washington Redskins 37 -7 Buffalo Bills 24 49, OVER Minneapolis, MN
XXV 1991 New York Giants 20 +7 Buffalo Bills 19 40.5, UNDER Tampa, FL
XXIV 1990 San Francisco 49ers 55 -12 Denver Broncos 10 48, OVER New Orleans, LA
XXIII 1989 San Francisco 49ers 20 -7 Cincinnati Bengals 16 48, UNDER Miami, FL
XXII 1988 Washington Redskins 42 +3 Denver Broncos 10 47, OVER San Diego, CA
XXI 1987 New York Giants 39 -9.5 Denver Broncos 20 40, OVER Pasadena, CA
XX 1986 Chicago Bears 46 -10 New England Patriots 10 37.5, OVER New Orleans, LA
XIX 1985 San Francisco 49ers 38 -3.5 Miami Dolphins 16 53.5, OVER Stanford, CA
XVIII 1984 LA Raiders 38 +3 Washington Redskins 9 48, UNDER Tampa, FL
XVII 1983 Washington Redskins 27 +3 Miami Dolphins 17 36.5, OVER Pasadena, CA
XVI 1982 San Francisco 49ers 26 -1 Cincinnati Bengals 21 48, UNDER Pontiac, MI
XV 1981 Oakland Raiders 27 +3 Philadelphia Eagles 10 37.5, UNDER New Orleans, LA
XIV 1980 Pittsburgh Steelers 31 -10.5 Los Angeles Rams 19 36, OVER Pasadena, CA
XIII 1979 Pittsburgh Steelers 35 -3.5 Dallas Cowboys 31 37, OVER Miami, FL
XII 1978 Dallas Cowboys 27 -6 Denver Broncos 10 39, UNDER New Orleans, LA
XI 1977 Oakland Raiders 32 -4 Minnesota Vikings 14 38, OVER Pasadena, CA
X 1976 Pittsburgh Steelers 21 -7 Dallas Cowboys 17 36, OVER Miami, FL
IX 1975 Pittsburgh Steelers 16 -3 Minnesota Vikings 6 33, UNDER New Orleans, LA
VIII 1974 Miami Dolphins 24 -6.5 Minnesota Vikings 7 33, UNDER Houston, TX
VII 1973 Miami Dolphins 14 -1 Washington Redskins 7 33, UNDER Los Angeles, CA
VI 1972 Dallas Cowboys 24 -6 Miami Dolphins 3 34, UNDER New Orleans, LA
V 1971 Baltimore Colts 16 -2.5 Dallas Cowboys 13 36, UNDER Miami, FL
IV 1970 Kansas City Chiefs 23 +12 Minnesota Vikings 7 39, UNDER New Orleans, LA
III 1969 New York Jets 16 +18 Baltimore Colts 7 40, UNDER Miami, FL
II 1968 Green Bay Packers 33 -13.5 Oakland Raiders 14 43, OVER Miami, FL
I 1967 Green Bay Packers 35 -14 Kansas City Chiefs 10 NL Los Angeles, CA

But the spread has been a factor (fav win, dog cover) in 3 out of the last 6 years.
 

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But the spread has been a factor (fav win, dog cover) in 3 out of the last 6 years.
Ya, I'm not so much thrilled with those kinds of stats when I cap. Kind of just posted that stuff because it's fun to look at the history.
 

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Ya, I'm not so much thrilled with those kinds of stats when I cap. Kind of just posted that stuff because it's fun to look at the history.

I remember years ago arguing with people about the spread mattering in the SB and hearing everyone saying 'just pick the winner for the SB'. I tried to explain that the sample size was so small and no justification for this notuon. Last 6 years have quieted a lot of that talk, or at least I would expect so. I middled 2005 and 2009 and looking at possibly the same for this year. The ML is too cheap for the spread (and vice versa).
 

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I love odd ball ATS trends. Can't remember who these guys were but they had it down where certain teams wouldn't cover just by a range of tempurature they were playing along with some other weird trends. Marc Lawrence does some interesting things but I like to hear about those freaky coincidental ATS trends. Things like if the Phillies would have won the World Series the Stock Market would plummet but since they Yankees won the market is likely to experience a rebound.
 

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quick question: how many picks of peyton manning do the saints' secondary have in their individual careers?

quick hint: darren sharper has 0 in 4 career games vs manning in 142 manning passes.....@)
 

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but kim kardashian is coming thats gotta change ur mind lol
 

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Manning may have 500 yards passing against that defense. If the game doesn't go over the total it will probably be because New Orleans didn't do their part. Playing the OVER for the Indy team total might be the best bet for this game. But I just don't think New Orleans is that great of a team. They have some defensive issues. And Manning will exploit them. The only reason the Saints beat Minny was because they got some old gypsy lady in some New Orleans backroom somewhere to put a voodoo curse on Favre. But they ain't in New Orleans anymore. I doubt if the voodoo will reach all the way to Miami.
 

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Those line makers have much better technology these days.
 

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Manning may have 500 yards passing against that defense. If the game doesn't go over the total it will probably be because New Orleans didn't do their part. Playing the OVER for the Indy team total might be the best bet for this game. But I just don't think New Orleans is that great of a team. They have some defensive issues. And Manning will exploit them. The only reason the Saints beat Minny was because they got some old gypsy lady in some New Orleans backroom somewhere to put a voodoo curse on Favre. But they ain't in New Orleans anymore. I doubt if the voodoo will reach all the way to Miami.

I agree but I think the Saints offense will take care of their share of the scoring. Brees will be prepared for a shootout.

Plus if Freeney if not 100% or possibly on the sideline, there will be less pressure off the edge that Brees doesn't need to worry about.
 

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