roger federer vs andy murray men's final

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seer
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well thank goodness this is the last night i have to stay up til the morning.
it has been affecting my capping and other things - love this event though as these late plays provides a chance for isolated action

roger fed- strengths - at this moment in time everything is clicking for him. he is fit. has his game face on. his serve is better than it used to be. he is the best at hitting great shots while running. his forehand is good. net game good.

weaknesses- only thing right now i see is that his backhand is vulnerable. his backhand is defensive. his backhand slice is deep and defensive but his topspin backhand is often hit short - and that is where he can be exploited.
so his backhand right now is his only sore spot

andy murray strengths. good net game. fit. able to make good shots like fed on the run. serve is effective

weaknesses- unforced errors. patience. mental game is not there yet. doesn't prefer long rallies. if andy doesn't correct this tonight he is toast.

what andy must do to win - take a page and video from what del potro did when he beat fed in the us open. that is be patient. out rally fed and keep hitting to fed's achilles heel- his backhand. when he hits short on his backhand andy must come to the net and put away a winner.

what fed must do- if andy does the above he must cheat to the backhand side and hit his inside out forehand instead of his backhand.
if andy doesn't hit to fed's backhand then all fed has to do is be roger federer and win . simple as that.

i would love to see someone else win. therefore the first brit since what 1934 to win a major would be nice to see.
i just don't like fed to be honest. although he has improved his game when he was losing. however when he had no good tennis players to play him... fed was agonizing to watch. tons of unforced errors a useless backhand and yet he still won. won real ugly. mens tennis was brutal after aggassi and sampras.
i just don't see andy taking my coaching view. if i was in his coaching box i would trust andy more. i don't know if i trust his coaches to tell him to hit to fed's backhand
i don't know if want to lay -170ish on this either
so i am not playing this and will enjoy this as a fan.

if u want some guidance and u don't mind the juice i would take r fed.
seems he starts his season off with a bang and let's hope it is downhill from here - tsonga or murray to win wimbledon----hopefully they can learn from fed not to get too emotional during the game.



bol
 
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thanks again seer...your opinion is always appreciated...will be decided shortly whether or not to lay the juice or just say fuck it and sit this one out...
 

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200 on Murray to win 3-1 at +536
200 on Murray to win 3-2 at +536

Thats what I got.


BOL..
 

seer
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200 on Murray to win 3-1 at +536
200 on Murray to win 3-2 at +536

Thats what I got.


BOL..

i hope ur right! as a fan ...murray 3-2 is something i am going to consider. 3-1 is tough slugging.
 

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i might join in for a few Like the guy who had FED -140, then AM at 3-2 +530. You win big or win small
 

New member
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I have to take Federer in this spot. There is not a thing this man has not accomplished in the sport of tennis. He is the Tiger Woods of tennis and this is his bread and butter. Given the fact Roger has been unable to place this on his mantel since 2007 it breeds for even more motivation. Andy Murray can put up a fight but Roger has the mental edge. I'm getting Mr. Federer at -180. I do not feel like writing my analysis on this but as stated Roger is my pick..... Good luck to everyone.....
 

your worst nightmare
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What about these prop bets I see now at THE GREEK?@)

+520 for Roger to beat Andy in 5 sets? :think2:

157 Roger Federer 3 - 2 +520


Also +280 for Roger to beat Andy in 4:

156 Roger Federer 3 - 1 +280

Any opinions? These prop bets seem VERY tempting!

If I toss equal amount on each, I'll be on top. Of course if Roger bagels Andy...or if Andy wins...GULP!

Like I said, I've never bet tennis before.
 

your worst nightmare
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200 on Murray to win 3-1 at +536
200 on Murray to win 3-2 at +536

Thats what I got.


BOL..

I would be on the opposite of these. I think Roger wins either 3-2 or 3-1. Just my opinion.

What do other tennis gambling vets think?
 

seer
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phuck it - i am going to bet it - i don't want fed to win, and i want a reason to cheer against him. i will go on murray and hope to hell he has patience and takes advantage of fed's backhand. he has to be smart. even manning never threw to the same side of the field as revis. there must be some smarts at that camp. has to be.

murray +165 from the greek

first set winner
murray +120 greek

total games 39' over -150
most books at 40' i would try that over
no way it goes 3-0 for anybody here

fed win 3-1 hedge +275 this one of course larger than below 2
fed win 3-2 hedge +500
murray win 3-2 +550

sets over 3'

1st set score
murray 6-4 +600
murray 7-6 +650

hedge fed win 6-4 +450

let's go murray
hit this thing to fed's backhand and take that title!!!!!
 

seer
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btw roof closed. lots of humidity in the building should see lots of sweat.
oh why couldn't kirilenko be playing in this condition.
maybe they can hire her as a ball girl tonight
 

seer
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41444.gif
 

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let's go MURRAY!

i have murray to win, 3-1 (+425) and 3-2 (+525), and OVER 40 games.

Good luck! Should be a fun one to watch...
 

your worst nightmare
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<a href="http://photobucket.com/images/bikini%20babe" target="_blank"><img src="http://i73.photobucket.com/albums/i201/4eva_melody/58ce1667.jpg" border="0" alt="bikini babe Pictures, Images and Photos"/></a>
 

your worst nightmare
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let's go MURRAY!

i have murray to win, 3-1 (+425) and 3-2 (+525), and OVER 40 games.

Good luck! Should be a fun one to watch...

I think I'm going to tail you on all 3 of these plays!

Best of luck! :toast:
 

your worst nightmare
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Nervous....need to put my bet in......1st tennis bets ever ... :smoking:
 

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Wow, a 360 from the seer of all things, that's gotta be significant, between you and weasel I wasn't gonna play but I'll tail...good luck, hope this works out for us
 

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It's game time. We'll find out pretty quick what kind of match we have on our hands.
 

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