2010 mlb capping & betting #102 - daily key info plus q&a

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Rx. Senior
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Thursday March 11th:

morning all, this will be my MLB season thread and will also include any CBB or NBA games and any other money

making opportunities that might come our way

The objective of this thread is as follows:

My first post of the day will include have the date and day in the title, so that you will only need to go back a few

posts to see anything new for the day

Any Rx members are welcome to post info in this thread on any subject. Feel free to ask any questions you might

have regarding capping MLB, or any other sport as well. If I don’t know the answer, I’ll sure find someone that

does. I’ve lived in Vegas for many years, and still have some great contacts and information sources, so feel free to

ask any questions. only dumb question are one's you dont ask.

THIS IS YOUR THREAD. SAME AS WITH LIFE, YOU GET OUT WHAT YOU PUT IN!!!

This is NOT a “I give out my picks thread”. You have a enough dumb fucks already doing that, so follow or FADE

one of them. Here we will be collecting key data that will be used to make betting decisions.

Last year I created a excel spreadsheet that has no equal when it comes to data and analysis. This is the basis for all

the analysis i do b4 i make any decisions etc. The the complete program and file from last year is 2460 rows and 95

col of individual game data plus around 100 key pivot tables for the analysis of this information. I'll post the

complete spreadsheet with all macro's in the next posts. It's almost 25 MB. If you dont have Excel (Using 2007

Version) or dont know how to use it, dont waste your time and bandwidth d/l it as it will be an anchor taking up

space on your hard drive. This file will stay on the Rx thru the end of April and my daily files will stay on site for

D/L about 7 days. I only use the daily to update my YTD data base. I will NOT update any 2009 data bases or

pivot tables. It will be up to anyone that wants data to take my daily data and add it to there own data base in

whatever format they want.

I'm not a programmer, but i do know how to use Excel and it's features to make it easy to collect data and

information. The key to being successful if to gather info as fast and easy as possible. You can only make money

the old fashion way. Working for it, no free lunches when it comes to betting any sport.

Contributions come in many sizes and forms. Quality posts and information posted in the thread is #1. From

prividing key links were the everyone can get information and data eg. The key players spent the night in the drunk

tank etc

In previous years i had people helping to collect data and information, but right now my programs have evolved to

the point where it takes less than 2 mins to gather all the data and information i need to start my daily analysis.

There might be times when key opportunities come up where some special effor is required, but i dont see need for

this at this time.

Below are the two key files

2009 MLB Spreadsheet and data on every game from last year. this will be close to the same format that i plan to use this year as well with a few changes for added info that is important to me (over 12 mb)

UN EDITED notes from last years thread. I started to edit them but never had the time to finish. (i did a copy past from a word document into a text file so it lost all the formatting. could not upload a word file to the site) ITS around 200 pages but much smaller than the 2000 plus posts that were in the thread (file size limit is 19 kb and it's 260 so it will come later) i did dump it into an excel file so i could upload it but might be tough too read as no formating

this point in my life, time is my most critical factor. These have most of the key items that were posted in the thread

from last year and will save most a bunch of time as well this year by just reading them

copy of one of the daily PDWS (pitcher data work sheets. this is the most import of all the data as in the basis for all of my action) this info goes into my master file every day, which is how my master gets updated

again feel free to ask any question you have on any of the data etc as once the season starts my time will be very

limited. you will need MS Office 2007 to access the excel files and word as well. but there are other programs that

can open them as well.

that's it for now, so on with the show

tks and glta

p.s. dont look for great grammer or correct spelling etc. as i tend to fat finger or type faster than i can think as well as

drink and drive etc
 
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Rx. Senior
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Thursday March 10

morning all. still getting everything organized after the move back home

so fire away if you got em
 

Rx. Senior
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open offer for anyone. if you want any key data added to the daily and master file just let me know what you want. i'll need to know the source of your data and take a look and see if it can be data mined and put in automatically
 

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thought i would make the first post in here about cbb- only makes sense.

playing g-town today +6.5, can't pass up a 2pt fade in a big tourney

pops you have any thoughts playing on the pac 10 favs today? Pac10 has to want all of those teams to win to have a chance at multiple teams in the big dance. i wish the numbers were lower though
 

Rx. Senior
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thought i would make the first post in here about cbb- only makes sense.

playing g-town today +6.5, can't pass up a 2pt fade in a big tourney

pops you have any thoughts playing on the pac 10 favs today? Pac10 has to want all of those teams to win to have a chance at multiple teams in the big dance. i wish the numbers were lower though

worth a shot. my feelings are always the same regarding multiple conf teams making the show. go with the dog's mo money

fyi regarding the text read me in the excel file i uploaded. just do a copy paste into your word processing program or note pad and all should be mo better
 

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Pops69........

welcome to "YOUR WORLD".......looking forward to a great thread.........

indy
 

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going to take teh nova over in the next game... a 5pt move big tourny previous games all went over the number
 

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Gonna take a stab at Okie State +5. I don't think K state is all that consistent and I think the cowboys can hang. Might be lookin for a middle at half, if OK State can start well.

No opinion on my locals teams tonight. Ga. Tech needs this game but damnit which team is gonna show up.
 

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Contested 3's at the end of the shot clock aint gonna do it. K State puttin the clamps on 'em.
 

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My itch for baseball is almost inbearable now. Can't wait. Baseball is my favorite...
 

Rx. Senior
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morning all

2-0 yesterday thanks to the heads up by oil on a couple of large line moves

let's see what the cant lose gods bring us today
 

Rx. Senior
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My itch for baseball is almost inbearable now. Can't wait. Baseball is my favorite...

for me it's only a job. dont really enjoy any sports although do watch a few games from time to time for educational purposes only

enjoy and gl
 

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Hey Pops on the PDWS sheet is there a lazy way to get the data for col's AA thru AW?
 

Rx. Senior
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Hey Pops on the PDWS sheet is there a lazy way to get the data for col's AA thru AW?

i use macro on mine to bring in all that data automatically (except public %) than i just copy and paste it into my master the next day
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
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pops,

I saw a prop I liked much at BetVegasVic about 3 weeks ago.

Any pitcher over 20.5 wins at -110.

I thought surely this must be a bad line and did some quick research to support my gut reaction. Going over the last eleven years I find only three where this did not occur. However all three of those years happened in the last four years, (2009, 2007, and 2006). Regardless of this recent trend I bit and took some of the over at BetvegasVic.

A couple days ago I see where the Hilton has the same prop up and the over is now listed at +120, (the opener was -110). I had to take some more today at the plus price.

So if you had this same opportunity would you advise taking this total over at +120? With the likes of Lester, Beckett, Sabathia, Halladay, Lee, Hernandez, Carpenter, etc. am I crazy to believe this is a +EV investment?
 

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