What's your best future and team totals

METFAN · Apr 2, 2010

LIKING THESE

WORLD SERIES...

$300 YANKS +305
$100 RED SOX +485
$50 ST LOUIS +$895

PASSING ON PHILLIES AT 325 RATHER JUST PLAY MORE ON THEM WINNING THE NL LEAGUE

AMER
$200 YANKS +165
$100 BOIST +285

NAT'L
$200 PHILLIES @ +250
$100 ST LOUIS +$345
$50 METS +$845 YES I'M THAT PATHETIC

TEAM TOTALS..IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER

$100 EACH..
CINCY U 79.5 -115

FLA UNDER 81.5 -140 ALL THE TEAMS IN THE EAST SHOULD BE STRONGER

LAD OVER 84.5 -125

METS OVER 82.5 +150 STRICTLY A HOMER PLAY

PITT UNDER 69.5 -120 IF ANYONE IS GOOD THEY'LL BE DUMPED BY JULY

TBAY UNDER 89.5 -140

TOR UNDER 71 -135..HARD TO REPLACE ROY

WASH UNDER 70.5 -105..SHOULD BE CLOSE@)

WHO DO YOU LIKE ?:think2:

VegasVic · Apr 2, 2010

Any pitcher over 20.5 wins +120 (Hilton)

XPike21X · Apr 2, 2010

seriously think that the number is inflated for the Braves.

HPark1 · Apr 2, 2010

Both Chicago teams should have solid years. O82/83 seems pretty fair.

Apart from St. Louis the NL Central appears pretty weak. Veteran team with good talent, should be able to equal or better last year's somewhat disappointing showing.

And the rotation for the White Sox seems awfully good. Don't see why they can't win 85+. Another division that overall isn't too strong either.

METFAN · Apr 2, 2010

VegasVic said:
Any pitcher over 20.5 wins +120 (Hilton)

HALLADAY SHOULD BREEZE TO THAT IF HE IS HEALTHY...I'M NOT OFFERED THOSE BETS UNFORTUNATELY:toast:

FairWarning · Apr 2, 2010

Cubs under big for me.

WeakTight · Apr 3, 2010

My favorite is Clayton Kershaw over 11 wins, though it's now up to -160 at Bodog. Others must be hitting it hard too.

MrStretch · Apr 3, 2010

Mine is:

Seattle - over 83.5, -125 BetUS
Seattle won 85 games last year with scoring the least runs in the AL – 640, which means that they had awesome defense. In my opinion Mariners had the best off season in whole MLB. They brought Chone Figgins, Cliff Lee, Milton Bradley, Jack Wilson, Ryan Garko and Casey Kotchman. Lee joined Felix Hernandez at the top of the starting rotation and with Ryan Roland Smith, Ian Snell and Doug Fister they represent one of the best pitching rotations in the league and bullpen with closer David Aardsma is not bad either. They’ve lost their home run leader – Russell Branyan, Adrián Beltré and Kenji Johjima, but they have enough hitting power not to miss them much. Strong pitching and great outfielders Suzuki, Bradley, Gutierrez and Byrnes can bring them division title this season. They will have no problem going over 83.5 wins.

METFAN · Apr 4, 2010

mrstretch said:
mine is:

seattle - over 83.5, -125 betus
seattle won 85 games last year with scoring the least runs in the al – 640, which means that they had awesome defense. In my opinion mariners had the best off season in whole mlb. They brought chone figgins, cliff lee, milton bradley, jack wilson, ryan garko and casey kotchman. Lee joined felix hernandez at the top of the starting rotation and with ryan roland smith, ian snell and doug fister they represent one of the best pitching rotations in the league and bullpen with closer david aardsma is not bad either. They’ve lost their home run leader – russell branyan, adrián beltré and kenji johjima, but they have enough hitting power not to miss them much. Strong pitching and great outfielders suzuki, bradley, gutierrez and byrnes can bring them division title this season. They will have no problem going over 83.5 wins.

i agree..

Adding:
$100 each

seattle over 83.5
atlanta under 86.5
wsox over 82.5
yankees over 94.5
oakland under 78.5

makavelireturns913 · Apr 4, 2010

Lets go mets!!!!!!!! I be there monday n weds!!!

DA_MOSS · Apr 4, 2010

MrStretch said:
Mine is:

Seattle - over 83.5, -125 BetUS
Seattle won 85 games last year with scoring the least runs in the AL – 640, which means that they had awesome defense. In my opinion Mariners had the best off season in whole MLB. They brought Chone Figgins, Cliff Lee, Milton Bradley, Jack Wilson, Ryan Garko and Casey Kotchman. Lee joined Felix Hernandez at the top of the starting rotation and with Ryan Roland Smith, Ian Snell and Doug Fister they represent one of the best pitching rotations in the league and bullpen with closer David Aardsma is not bad either. They’ve lost their home run leader – Russell Branyan, Adrián Beltré and Kenji Johjima, but they have enough hitting power not to miss them much. Strong pitching and great outfielders Suzuki, Bradley, Gutierrez and Byrnes can bring them division title this season. They will have no problem going over 83.5 wins.

love this one!!

Also differ from the crowd and love the Marlins TT over

VegasVic · Apr 4, 2010

MrStretch said:
Mine is:

Seattle - over 83.5, -125 BetUS
Seattle won 85 games last year with scoring the least runs in the AL – 640, which means that they had awesome defense. In my opinion Mariners had the best off season in whole MLB. They brought Chone Figgins, Cliff Lee, Milton Bradley, Jack Wilson, Ryan Garko and Casey Kotchman. Lee joined Felix Hernandez at the top of the starting rotation and with Ryan Roland Smith, Ian Snell and Doug Fister they represent one of the best pitching rotations in the league and bullpen with closer David Aardsma is not bad either. They’ve lost their home run leader – Russell Branyan, Adrián Beltré and Kenji Johjima, but they have enough hitting power not to miss them much. Strong pitching and great outfielders Suzuki, Bradley, Gutierrez and Byrnes can bring them division title this season. They will have no problem going over 83.5 wins.

Seattle seems to everybody's sexy pick and I agree with some of your logic, (excluding the "one of the best rotations in the league" part). They have huge question marks with that rotation after the first two, their middle relief, and in my mind their closer. Is it possible Aardsma had a career year last season? Or Lee for that matter two years ago. What happens if these "oblique strains are just the beginning to a year of injuries and failed expectations? Then you've got Hernandez and not much else. What happens if Bedard doesn't bounce back, (in July or whenever he comes back). Milton Bradley as your cleanup hitter? Betting season win totals is generally a crap shoot but one of the oldest, and truest, berometers in predicting these props is one Bill James came up with many years ago. Year in and year out it has been a consistent money maker. In short it's the bounce back effect.

Seattle improved last year by 24 games over their 2008 output. Whenever a team improves or declines by 20 games you can be assured of a regression to the mean. I've been following this advice for years and without any numbers in front of me I can estimate I have won 80% of these plays. For this reason alone I'm on Seattle under.

For more on this:
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/the-bill-james-indicators/

METFAN · Apr 4, 2010

makavelireturns913 said:
Lets go mets!!!!!!!! I be there monday n weds!!!

HAVE A GREAT TIME AND ROOT HARD..WHERE ARE YOU SITTING?:toast:

METFAN · Apr 4, 2010

VegasVic said:
Seattle seems to everybody's sexy pick and I agree with some of your logic, (excluding the "one of the best rotations in the league" part). They have huge question marks with that rotation after the first two, their middle relief, and in my mind their closer. Is it possible Aardsma had a career year last season? Or Lee for that matter two years ago. What happens if these "oblique strains are just the beginning to a year of injuries and failed expectations? Then you've got Hernandez and not much else. What happens if Bedard doesn't bounce back, (in July or whenever he comes back). Milton Bradley as your cleanup hitter? Betting season win totals is generally a crap shoot but one of the oldest, and truest, berometers in predicting these props is one Bill James came up with many years ago. Year in and year out it has been a consistent money maker. In short it's the bounce back effect.

Seattle improved last year by 24 games over their 2008 output. Whenever a team improves or declines by 20 games you can be assured of a regression to the mean. I've been following this advice for years and without any numbers in front of me I can estimate I have won 80% of these plays. For this reason alone I'm on Seattle under.

For more on this:
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/the-bill-james-indicators/

THANKS FOR THE INPUT AND THE LINK VIC:toast:

What's your best future and team totals

Search

METFAN

Member

VegasVic

I don't know enough to know I don't know

XPike21X

RX Dirt bag

HPark1

New member

METFAN

Member

FairWarning

Official Rx music critic and beer snob

WeakTight

New member

MrStretch

New member

METFAN

Member

makavelireturns913

Member

DA_MOSS

FIGHT ON!!

VegasVic

I don't know enough to know I don't know

METFAN

Member

METFAN

Member

Forum statistics

Share this page