MLB Picks

Preussen · Apr 5, 2010

I decided to finally do what I wanted to do for some time - track my picks in a thread at the RX.

For all picks will risk one unit (meaning I will not bet "to win" one unit even when betting on lines with less than even payout).
Bets will always be Action and graded with the original odds even in case of a pitcher change (I play now at BWin and apparently this is how they do MLB bets).

First bets, 4/5:

Colorado +105
Texas - 1,5 +145
LAD/Pitt 1stH Over 4 -120

Preussen · Apr 5, 2010

Additions:
SD/Ari Over 8 -110
SF -1,5 +130
SF 1H -130

Preussen · Apr 6, 2010

Season: 5-1 +3.86u

4/6

Col/Mil Under 9 -120
SF/Hou Under 8.5 -115
TB -1.5 +125

Preussen · Apr 6, 2010

Additions:

Mil -1.5 +150
SD/Ari Over 9 -105
Bal/TB Over 8.5 -115

Preussen · Apr 6, 2010

One more: Min/LAA Over 9.5 -110

Preussen · Apr 7, 2010

Yesterday: 2-4-1 -1.63 u
Season: 7-5-1 +2.23u

Preussen · Apr 7, 2010

4/7:

SD/Ari Under 9.5 +100
LAD/Pitt 1stH Over 4 -115
ChiC/Atl 1stH Under 4.5 -115
Det/KC 1stH Under 4.5 +100

Preussen · Apr 8, 2010

Yesterday: 4-0:toast: +3.74u
Season: 11-5-1 +5.97u

4/8:

KC -110
Tex -150
Phi/Wash Over 9.5 -115
LAD/Pitt Over 8.5 +105

Preussen · Apr 8, 2010

One addition: Bal +1.5 -133

Preussen · Apr 9, 2010

Yesterday: 3-2 +0.68u
Season: 14-7-1 +6.65u

4/9:

Oak +130
Minn +110
Wash +1.5 -154
ChiC/Cinn Under 10 -120

Preussen · Apr 9, 2010

Additions:

Ari -1.5 +160
Ari 1stH -137
Phi/Hou Under 8.5 +105
NYY -1.5 +145

Preussen · Apr 10, 2010

Yesterday: 6-2 +4.61u
Season: 20-9-1 +11.26u

gabbana · Apr 10, 2010

good job so far man.

Willie99 · Apr 10, 2010

way to go you f'n Nazi :thumbsup:

:toast:

Preussen · Apr 10, 2010

Thank you!
The thing is that I actually don't know anything about the MLB. What I'm doing us basically to try and exploit BWin. Might have been pure luck so far. At least I'm certain that my method is by no means good enough to yield the current 30+% ROI.

The early success enables me to raise my unit size. With me betting more now it's practically guaranteed that the luck will change, so anyone trying to make money may want to fade me in the next days.

Today's picks (4/10):

ChiC +100
Minn -125
Bal -1.5 +155
Phi -1.5 +115
Phi 1stH -137
Wash/NYM Under 9 -115
Sea/Tex 1stH Over 4.5 -105

Preussen · Apr 11, 2010

Minnesota came back to win the game, but I made a mistake in listing my bets, I had actually bet Minn 1stH -125 which lost. As this thread is about tracking my "system" and the first-half bet fit my criteria while the game bet did not I will score this one as a loss.

Yesterday: 3-4 -0.98
Season: 23-13-1 +10.28u

Preussen · Apr 11, 2010

4/11:

Col -233
Atl +1.5 -120
Pitt/Ari Under 9.5 +100

Preussen · Apr 11, 2010

Additions:

ChiC +100
LAD/Fla Under 9 +105
LAD/Fla 1stH Under 5.5 +100
Tor/Bal 1stH Over 4.5 +100
Bos/KC 1stH Under 5 -110
SD/Col 1stH Under 5 +100
LAA 1stH -125

Preussen · Apr 11, 2010

And two more:

StL/Mil Under 7.5 -120
Sea/Tex 1stH Under 5 -110

Preussen · Apr 12, 2010

Yesterday: 3-9, -6.77u
As predicted, raising the unit size inevitably led to a downswing. :-(
Season: 26-22-1 +3.51u

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