Ez MLB Spot n System Plays

Ezdoesit · Apr 6, 2010

System ( Warning, is experimental)

3-game series chase

The following 3 game's after a team win's by 10 runs or more, and they are the favorite, you take that team minus a run and half or -1.5. If the following game the team is the underdog, or a pick (i.e. both teams -105), you take the opposite team money line. If they again become the favorite in the 2nd game of the chase, you take them -1.5 again. If the 1st wager doesn't win, and they are underdog in the 2nd game, take the opposite, and same for 3rd game. This is experimental and would not recommend placing real wagers on these games. Even if you see a few series wins and think it might be a good idea, be aware one series loss can decimate a bank roll.

I will also add some spot plays on games i like myself. Not trying to BS anyone here. Since i started posting, I showed a profit in NFL, and am currently struggling with NHL. I am not recommending anyone to follow these plays, it is more of a record for myself. GL All

Spot Plays

Bosox-140= 140 to win 100
Oak-125=125 to win 100

System Plays Weds 4/7

Phi -1.5
Atl-1.5

Shaker11 · Apr 6, 2010

have you backtested this system?

Ezdoesit · Apr 7, 2010

After further review, this system would yield better results for a two game chase. 65-11 last season.

system
Phi-1.5-115=115 to win 100
Atl-1.5+135=100 to win 135

Ezdoesit · Apr 8, 2010

system YTD 1-0 (0)
Atl-1.5+110=200 to win 220(game 2)

Ezdoesit · Apr 8, 2010

Spot Plays YTD 1-1 (-40)
Was+130= 100 to win 130
Was/Phi ova 10.5= 110 to win 100

Ezdoesit · Apr 9, 2010

System Changes

Now a 2 game chase.

The following 2 games after a team wins by 10 or more runs. If the team that won by 10 runs is favorite, take that team minus a run and a half. If they are the underdog, or a pick, take the team they are playing. Game two you wager to make up for game one loss and what you want to win following the same rules of betting team minus 1.5 or the opposite team if the team that won by 10 is the underdog.

System YTD 1-1 (-200)
Loss= Braves 4/8 (won game 1 of chase by only 1 run)

3rd game option (not recommended, not going to count on system record)
Atl even= 400 to win 400

Going over last years series, a two game chase would be more profitable because you lose to much in the 3rd game. If you choose to wager on game 3, you would disregard the opposite rule and the -1.5 run line rule, and take the team that won by 10 on the moneyline regardless of the odds. This may be very expensive, 2009 game 3 would have lost 4 times out of 76 series.

Spot PlaysYTD 3-1 (+190)
Phi -160= 160 to win 100

Ezdoesit · Apr 10, 2010

Spot PlaysYTD 4-1 (+290)
Cin-105= 105 to win 100
Should have another one later

Ezdoesit · Apr 10, 2010

Spot Plays[/U 4-2 (+185)
Phi -150= 150 to win 100
Phi/Hou ova 9.5= 110 to win 100

Ezdoesit · Apr 11, 2010

System YTD 1-1 (-200)

NYY-1.5 +155= 100 to win 155

Spot Plays YTD 6-2 (+385)
Phi-230= 230 to win 100

Ezdoesit · Apr 12, 2010

Spot Plays YTD 7-2 (+485)

TB/Bal under 8.5= 110 to win 100

System YTD 2-1(-45)

Series Loses:
Atl (won game 1 by only 1 run) optional game 3=L

Ezdoesit · Apr 12, 2010

Spot Plays

Adding 1:

Pit +150= 100 to win 150

A wise man once told me if you can get more money back than you have to put out betting against Zito, it's never a bad bet.

Ezdoesit · Apr 12, 2010

Spot Plays
Yikes pitching change moves the line up to +180, even better for a Zito game.

Adding 1:
Pit/Sf ova 8.5= 110 to win 100

Ezdoesit · Apr 13, 2010

System YTD 2-1 (-45)
4/14 Padres- unless line moves looks like this one will be an opposite play on Atl tomorrow night.

Atl-135=135 to win 100 wait closer till game time just to make sure Padres don't become the favorite

Ezdoesit · Apr 14, 2010

System
Atl-135= 135 to win 100

(oppo bet for Padres)

Ezdoesit · Apr 15, 2010

System YTD 3-1 (55)

Tor-120= 120 to win 100

(oppo bet for CHW)

I'd wait closer to game time in case CHW become favorites, but i doubt it unless a pitching change

Ezdoesit · Apr 17, 2010

Spot PLays YTD 9-3 (+585)

Mil/Wash ova 9.5= 110 to win 100

System YTD 4-1 (+155)

Loss
4/8 Braves (won game 1 by 1 run only)

Wins
4/7 Phillies -1.5
4/11 NYY -1.5
4/14 Padres oppo
4/15 CHW oppo

Value

Both opposite bets would have won on the RL -1.5. Not sure if this would yield more profit in the long run, though something to look at especially if the odds are more than -150. On the other hand the only loss to date was ATL -1.5, and they won Game 1 of chase by 1 run.

Ezdoesit · Apr 17, 2010

Spot Plays YTD 9-4 (+475)

Phi/Fla ova 10.5= 220 to win 200
Fla pik= 100 to win 100

Ezdoesit · Apr 18, 2010

Spot Plays YTD 10-5 (+ 355)
Mets +1.5 pik = 100 to win 100

Ezdoesit · Apr 19, 2010

Spot Plays YTD 10-6 (255)

Col/Wash ova 9.5= 110 to win 100

Ezdoesit · Apr 21, 2010

Spot Plays YTD 10-7 (155)

Phi/Atl ova 7.5= 110 to win 100
Atl -1.5 +200= 100 to win 200 (adjusted runline if u can get it)

Ez MLB Spot n System Plays

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