Sharp Baseball Plays Week 2 Edition (YTD: 24-13 +5.264)

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System involves: Value, perception, spot, and the ever important match up

1*: $250
.5*: $125
.25*: $74.5


1*= strong play
.5*= medium play
.25*= Small plays


Note: Strong Plays never exceed 1*, medium plays never exceed .5*, and .small plays never exceeding 25*.

If you tail A) no one bet should exceed 4% (I personally never exceed 3%) of your bankroll B) always tail all my plays, never pick and choose, you will fail C) Open accounts at Matchbook, 5 Dimes, Bodog, and Looselines. I also recommend The Greek, Betonline, Bookmaker, and Bet Jamaica though I use them less. In other words the more outs the merrier. D) NEVER CHASE

If you don't know how to open accounts, money manage, or bet baseball i.e. what a RL is, etc. please ask I'll do my best to provide answers.
 
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at what point do you increase the size of your units? i've had a very nice first week and am considering increasing the size of my bets 25% per unit, but on the other hand, it's only been one week, which is a very small sample. so i think maybe i should wait 4 weeks and see if i'm winning consistent over that stretch.....what do you think?

Thanks!

It depends does a 25% mean an increase that will put you over 4% a bet then my answer is an emphatic no. To be clear, my biggest wager will never exceed 1 unit, which won't put me over 2% of my starting roll with any single bet. I know some of you reading this have read it before with me but I'll say this....if you were to bet lets say 5% of your bankroll on 5 separate bets in a single day, if you had the unfortunate event of losing then you'll be down 25% of your money, I know novices that play up to 15% of their bankroll on a game, this is asinine. In my college basketball thread I retold a story of a friend who tailed me early in a season and lost a considerable amount of his bankroll. Remember no one is immune of bad days, this is why money management is essential. Again at the end of the day 90% (I think the number is higher) of sports gamblers lose in the long run, I'm in the 10% so lets just say I know a thing or two about a thing or two.
 
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Sunday

.41* Metropolitans -240 (Matchbook)
.15* Metropolitans RL -108 (Matchbook)
.48* Pale Hose -126 (Matchbook)
.08* Pale Hose RL +165 (Matchbook)
.15* Pale Hose U8.5 +100 (5 Dimes)
.23* Beaners -159 (Matchbook)
.04* Beaners RL-101 (Matchbook)
.15* Yanks Over 9 -104 (Matchbook)
.15* Braves +172 (5 Dimes)
.03* Braves RL -130 (Bodog)
.15* Bucs (PItt) +185 (5 Dimes)
.03* Bucs (Pitt) RL -115 (Bet Jamaica)


Be back tonight to update record
 
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.15* Minn +120 (Matchbook)
.10* Washington +245 (Bodog)
.05* Washington RL +116 (Matchbook)
.08* KC +175 (5Dimes)
.02* KC +1.5 -120 (Bodog)
 
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.52* Pale Hose -123 (Matchbook)
.06* Pale Hose RL +140 (Matchbook)
.44* Cubbies -161 (5Dimes)
.14* Cubbies RL +135 (Matchbook)
.15* Fathers +111 (Matchbook)
.10* Seattle -123 (Matchbook)
 
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.02* Seattle -119 (Matchbook)

adding a little more on this one, think we have some value, not in love with the match up though.
 
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getting on these early, see some value:

.16* DBACKS +163 (Betonline)
.16* Metropolitans +135 (Betonline)
 
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.18* Tigers -121 (Matchbook)
.02* Tigers +162 (Matchbook)
.02* Mets +140 (Looselines)
.02* NYY -1.5 +108 (Matchbook)
.01* NYY ML -187 (Matchbook)
 
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Tuesday

.16* DBACKS +163 (Betonline)
.16* Metropolitans +135 (Betonline)
.02* Metropolitans +140 (Looselines)
.18* Tigers -121 (Matchbook)
.02* Tigers +162 (Matchbook)
.03* NYY -1.5 +108 (Matchbook)
.02* NYY ML -187 (Matchbook)
.03* LAD Over 7.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
.01* LAD Over 8 +106 (Matchbook)


back at 6:30pm with the rest.....
 
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Tuesday: 1-1 +0.093

.16* Metropolitans +135 (Betonline)
.10* Metropolitans +141 (Betonline)
.02* Metropolitans +140 (Looselines)
.02* Metropolitans RL +195
.09* Baltimore +112 (Bodog)
.01* Baltimore RL +220
.08* Toronto -112 (Matchbook)
.02* Toronto ML +187 (Matchbook)
.05* Cinci +111 (Betonline)
.06* Florida U9 +100 (Matchbook)
.06* Pale Hose Over 8 -130 (Matchbook)
 
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.06* Seattle +132 (Bodog)
.02* Seattle +1.5 -130 (Looselines)
.01* Seattle RL -1.5 +255
.05* Pitt +1.5 -120
.03* Pitt +183

extra small plays, some value hoping to split
 
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Wednesday

.50* Fish -122 (Matchbook)
.28* Metropolitans +175 (BetJamaica)
.16* Washington +190 (Just Bet)
.06* Washington +1.5 -110 (Justbet)
 
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.23* LAA +187 (Matchbook)
.04* LAA -1.5 +265
.23* Red Sox -105 (JustBet)
.04* Red Sox RL +150 (looselines)

will be on the cubbies, hoping to get a better line
 

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