three today (Wed) w/analysis

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<table width="500" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="50%" align="left">Yesterday</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">1</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="20%" align="right">-2.00 Units</td></tr> <tr> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="50%" align="left">Last 30 Days</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">13</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">8</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="20%" align="right">+17.38 Units</td></tr> <tr> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="50%" align="left">Season To Date (Since March 2010)</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">13</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">8</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="20%" align="right">+17.38 Units</td></tr></tbody></table>
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.


Tampa Bay –1½ +1.15 over BALTIMORE http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o:p></o:p>
The Orioles are off to a horrible start and with just over a week gone by in the season they’re already feeling a lot of pressure. The season may have started but the O’s bats have not. The O’s are hitting a collective .237 and they’ve made some previously very average pitchers look like Sandy Koufax and things aren’t getting better. The O’s have scored two runs or less in three of its last four games and has scored three or fewer in five of its eight games. Brad Bergeson was not good in his first start, and he struggled in one start against the Rays last year. Now in his second year but really his first year out of spring training, he’ll also be feeling the pressure of getting this team off the mattress. Then there’s the O’s pen, which has blown up a few times already and were used extensively yesterday. In fact, the O’s pen has faced 71 batters and 26 of those have reached base. Ouch. The O’s pen has an ERA of 7.25 and an off-the-charts slugging percentage against of .569. The Rays are 5-3 and David Price looked very good in his season debut against the potent Yanks. He went 7.2 innings in that game and allowed just seven hits and three runs. He’ll take a huge step down in class now to face a squad that’s seeing BB’s and has the worst RPG (2.9) in the AL. Price was also decent is two starts vs the O’s last year and reports are that he looks a lot more polished this season. Remember, he came in as a highly touted rookie with outstanding minor league credentials. Play: Tampa Bay –1½ +1.15 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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Texas –1.08 over CLEVELAND http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o:p></o:p>
C.J. Wilson has paid his dues and now looks ready to stay in the rotation and make an impact. He’s been around for five years and has appeared in 249 major-league games but only seven of those were starts. However, he’s showed that he has the stamina to last deep into games and he’s also coming off a great spring in which he went 0-2 but allowed just 11 hits in 21 frames. Wilson has shown confidence in his ability to start now that he's healthy. He got his chance to prove that on Thursday in a superb outing against the Jays in which he threw seven shutout innings in Arlington and allowed just five hits, walked two and struck out nine. He has a full array of good pitches and draws an Indians squad that is struggling with the bats. The Indians are 2-5 and they’ve scored just 24 runs in those seven games but if you take away the eight they scored in one game against the Tigers, the numbers look a lot worse. It would be 16 runs scored in six games, thus the team batting average of .221 is even worse than it looks. Justin Masterson had a solid season debut but he faced an equally struggling South Side squad. He throws a ton of pitches and rarely makes it past five or six innings. This past spring his ERA was 5.14 after allowing 28 hits and 12 earned runs in 21 frames. Lastly, the Rangers play their best ball against this squad and in fact, have now won six in a row against them and nine of the last 10. Play: Texas –1.08 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2). <o:p></o:p>
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Houston +2.00 over ST. LOUIS (1st 5 innings)http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o:p></o:p>
The Astros are going bad and resemble a minor-league team more than a major league one but we’re not asking them to win here. We’re asking them to score some runs off of Brad Penny and take a lead into the sixth inning. The bottom line is that Penny should not be better than a 2-1 favorite over anyone because he’s on his last legs in the majors and might not even make it through this year. Yeah, he had a good season debut but so what, a lot of pitchers do and Penny does not have a good track record in April over the last three years and he’s not younger, nor lighter. In fact, he’s probably mowing down a few hamburgers right now. The Astros, if they can get on, should be able to run against Penny too. He’s rather easy to run against (28 SB last year in 31 attempts) and one thing the Astros possess is speed. Brett Myers is hit and miss but he’s more miss than hit. However, this isn’t about him. This is about taking back a ridiculous price against Penny and that’s all there is to it. Play: Houston in the first five innings +2.00 (Risking 2 units).
 

RX Dirt bag
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Looks good. I have TB first 5, and Houst over. Agree this is a good spot for Penny to have a rough outing.
 

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977 RANGERS PITCHING CHANGE
C LEWIS -R FOR C WILSON -L


bol an thanks ...........
 

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