I'm mostly gonna sit back and watch other people pick for me, but this is an idea I came up with a couple weeks ago and have been excited to get going. It starts tomorrow. Here's how it works:
1. Bet the Red Sox TO WIN 1 Unit on the RL -1.5 anytime they have 4 consecutive home games (can have off-days in between, but no more than one --like in the case of the All Star Game)
2a. If they WIN, stop the "set" and grade it as a WIN for +1 unit. Then it resets and bet to win 1 unit again in the next set (when it qualifies).
2b. If they lose, bet to win 1.0 unit + whatever amount was lost on first game of the set.
3. If they fail to cover the -1.5 four straight times in the set, then quit and count your losses.
3. Anytime "set" ends, the next one starts the very next time the Sox have four consecutive home games.
-example: If Sox cover -1.5 tomorrow, the next "set" starts Saturday because they still have 4+ games on the homestand
If something doesnt make sense, let me know. I went back and checked and by my count this would have gone approx 30-1 the last 2 yrs. A series "loss" (4 straight losses) would likely be around minus 10-12 units depending on the odds, so last two years this wouldve won about 15-20 units in my estimation. This year I think its even better because of their rotation. Gonna be unlikely to have long losing streaks at home. Lets see how it goes though...I'll have first pick later tonight or in the morning.
1. Bet the Red Sox TO WIN 1 Unit on the RL -1.5 anytime they have 4 consecutive home games (can have off-days in between, but no more than one --like in the case of the All Star Game)
2a. If they WIN, stop the "set" and grade it as a WIN for +1 unit. Then it resets and bet to win 1 unit again in the next set (when it qualifies).
2b. If they lose, bet to win 1.0 unit + whatever amount was lost on first game of the set.
3. If they fail to cover the -1.5 four straight times in the set, then quit and count your losses.
3. Anytime "set" ends, the next one starts the very next time the Sox have four consecutive home games.
-example: If Sox cover -1.5 tomorrow, the next "set" starts Saturday because they still have 4+ games on the homestand
If something doesnt make sense, let me know. I went back and checked and by my count this would have gone approx 30-1 the last 2 yrs. A series "loss" (4 straight losses) would likely be around minus 10-12 units depending on the odds, so last two years this wouldve won about 15-20 units in my estimation. This year I think its even better because of their rotation. Gonna be unlikely to have long losing streaks at home. Lets see how it goes though...I'll have first pick later tonight or in the morning.
