Three tonight (Fri) w/analysis

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<table width="500" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="50%" align="left">Yesterday</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">2</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="20%" align="right">-4.20 Units</td></tr> <tr> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="50%" align="left">Last 30 Days</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">14</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">11</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="20%" align="right">+13.48 Units</td></tr> <tr> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="50%" align="left">Season To Date (Since March 2010)</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">14</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">11</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="20%" align="right">+13.48 Units</td></tr></tbody></table>
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.


Cincinnati +1.03 over PITTSBURGH http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o:p></o:p>
Mike Leake was selected by the Cincinnati Reds out of Arizona State University in the 1st round (No. 8 overall) of the June 2009 First-Year Player Draft and received a $2.7 million signing bonus. He made his season debut last week against the Cubbies and went 6.2 innings and allowed just four hits and one earned run. However, he walked seven batters and struck out just five and threw 107 pitches before he was yanked. The seven walks are alarming but don’t put too much weight on it. He was really being squeezed by the HP ump and had total control over his pitches but wasn’t getting the calls. This kid is the real deal and has an assortment of quality pitches with some outstanding movement on all of them. There is no substitute for watching the games, as the reports are not always accurate and that’s the case with leak and his seven walks. He’ll face Zach Duke and anyone that has ever watched Duke pitch knows he’s very hittable indeed. These Reds have seen plenty of him and in fact, Duke went 1-4 last year against the Reds with a 4.65 ERA and even that is a little misleading, as the Reds hit a collective .311 against him. Duke’s career BAA is .301 and his 2-0 record this season means absolutely nothing because he’s just not that good and the losses will start piling up just like they did last season after another 2-0 start. Play: Cincinnati +1.03 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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Kansas City +1.16 over MINNESOTA (1st 5 innings) http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o:p></o:p>
When you wager on the Royals you must play them in the first five innings because of a flammable bullpen and you can triple that when Zack Greinke is throwing. Greinke was a little shaky by his standards in his season debut but was a lot sharper in his second start of the year. He’ll now pitch in his third start and you can expect a Greinke-like performance. He’s still struck out nine and walked just one batter in 12.2 innings and that reveals his command is as sharp as ever. Greinke can be counted on to throw at least five strong innings in just about every start he makes and this year he should get a lot more run support. The Royals are scoring runs and they lead the AL with a .307 team batting average. They’ll see Scott Baker here, another one of those very average pitchers that offer up very little as the chalk. In Bakers two starts this year, he’s gotten just nine outs on the ground while 29 outs have come via the fly ball and that’s a sign that he’s been very fortunate thus far. Based on his command and fly ball rate, Baker’s expected ERA (xERA) is 5.60. So, chop this up any way you want but this is a must play in the first five innings, as we fully expect to get the money here. Play: Kansas City in the first five innings +1.16 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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Chicago –1½ +1.26 over CLEVELANDhttp://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o:p></o:p>
Mark Talbot has made four appearances in the majors, two as a starter and two in relief. Thus far, covering 14.2 innings, he’s allowed 22 hits, 16 runs and four bombs for a BAA of .367, a 2.59 WHIP and an ERA of 9.82. Those numbers are completely off the charts and it’s not like he has the run support to back him. The Indians are batting a league worse .211 and they’ll face one of the better lefties in the business in Mark Buerhle. Buehrle faced the Indians on opening day, tossing 7 shutout innings and fared similarly well against Cleveland in 2009. The White Sox are struggling out of the gate but this is still a good team and this is the right place for them to get it going. Frankly, this is a pitching mismatch of mammoth proportions. Play: Chicago –1½ +1.26 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
 

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thanks for the picks ..........couple more NHL barkers last night too ....
 

aka...shdw03
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thank for the picks sw...took chisox rl and ml. BOL today
 

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GL LOVE CWS PLAY, cinn was a strong lean for me, but felt over was better in that game. KC is good play 5ip, but feel Minn wil win this one in late innings.
 

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good luck sherwood
 

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