Attempt to doube my bank every 30 days or less

Search

New member
Joined
Dec 5, 2009
Messages
391
Tokens
I am using 3 Games 6 teams and 8 different parlays to double my bank every 30 days. Starting Bank $500.00


Todays Teams are


A = Min
B= KC


C = Pitt
D = Cincy


E = Oak
F= Balt

The parlays are as follows

1. Teams ACE for $13.30
2. Teams ACF for $13.13
3. Teams ADE for $18.07
4. Teams ADF for $17.85
5.Teams BCE for $15.87
6 Teams BCF for $15.68
7. Teams BDE for $21.57
8. Teams BDF for $21.31

that's a total of $136.78 to win $100.00

As long as teams A C or E don't just win by 1 run this play will win me $100.00
 

New member
Joined
Nov 12, 2007
Messages
294
Tokens
If I put 13.30 on the first parlay it wins 58.00. How are you figuring this?

Thanks
 

New member
Joined
Dec 5, 2009
Messages
391
Tokens
If I put 13.30 on the first parlay it wins 58.00. How are you figuring this?

Thanks


Sorry on teams A C and E you will use the -1.5 run line and on Teams B D and F use the moneyline


what Book are you using and what are you wanting to win?
 

New member
Joined
Nov 12, 2007
Messages
294
Tokens
I was just trying to figure your system out. I would like to follow, but don't understand what you are doing.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 5, 2009
Messages
391
Tokens
I was just trying to figure your system out. I would like to follow, but don't understand what you are doing.

The 6 teams are all given a letter

A
C <----- = run ine -1.5
E

B
D <-----= Money line
F

There is 8 3 team parlays as long as neither of the Teams listed at -1.5 wins by only 1 run this will produce a profit.

I have a spread sheet that if I knew what your book was and how much you was wanting to win I could give you exact Numbers to wager.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 5, 2009
Messages
391
Tokens
Try putting
min -1.5
pitt -1.5
oak -1.5

as your 1st parlay for 13.30 tell me what you have ?
 

New member
Joined
Dec 5, 2009
Messages
391
Tokens
Parlays

1 13.95
2 13.78
3 17.03
4 16.82
5 16.65
6 16.45
7 20.33
8 20.08


this is to win a 100.00 if you want less just divide example 50 bucks by 2 ect
 

New member
Joined
Mar 28, 2009
Messages
170
Tokens
Well, guess someone has got to burst the bubble. While I do not know how favorites have fared so far this season, this seemingly clever way of betting is not going to double you up under normal circumstances - or give you profit for that matter.

To use the KC/Min game as example, we see at pinny lines for Min of -134 at the ML and +165 at the RL. A simple calculation [Min winning by 1 = Min winning - Min winning by more than 1 = 134/234 - 100/265 = 19.5] there is a chance of 19.5% that Min wins by 1. Using another method to calculate this [Min winning by 1 = 1 - (KC winning + Min winning by more than 1) = 1 - (100/226 + 100/265) = 18.0] we get a percentage of Min winning by 1 of 18.0%.

Averaging above numbers (18.0+19.5)/2 = 18.75 we see there is a chance of 81.25% [100-18.75] each separate bet succeeds. Therefore there is a chance of 0.8125^3 * 100%= 53.64% that one of your parlays succeeds. Considering you are laying about 135 to win 100, you are getting pretty bad odds.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 12, 2007
Messages
294
Tokens
Now that is complicated!

well, guess someone has got to burst the bubble. While i do not know how favorites have fared so far this season, this seemingly clever way of betting is not going to double you up under normal circumstances - or give you profit for that matter.

To use the kc/min game as example, we see at pinny lines for min of -134 at the ml and +165 at the rl. A simple calculation [min winning by 1 = min winning - min winning by more than 1 = 134/234 - 100/265 = 19.5] there is a chance of 19.5% that min wins by 1. Using another method to calculate this [min winning by 1 = 1 - (kc winning + min winning by more than 1) = 1 - (100/226 + 100/265) = 18.0] we get a percentage of min winning by 1 of 18.0%.

Averaging above numbers (18.0+19.5)/2 = 18.75 we see there is a chance of 81.25% [100-18.75] each separate bet succeeds. Therefore there is a chance of 0.8125^3 * 100%= 53.64% that one of your parlays succeeds. Considering you are laying about 135 to win 100, you are getting pretty bad odds.
 

New member
Joined
Mar 28, 2009
Messages
170
Tokens
Now that is complicated!

There are a load of numbers but the maths are not that hard.

Basically, I first took the pinny-lines and recalculated the odds what the lines implied [e.g. at -150 you lay 150 to win 100 + your original bet so the odds are 150/250 = 60%].

The exact implied percentage for "Min winning by one" differed a little depending on which lines for the game were used [Fav Ml & Fav RL Versus Fav RL & Dog ML] due to the betting market and general juice so I averaged the 2 outcomes.

The odds for a single bet winning would be 100% minus the calculated percentage [in this case 81.25%] and seeing how we have a 3-way parlay we needed 0.8125*0.8125*0.8125 which gives the answer of 53.64%.

I got to go now, but so if I would need to explain it more than that will have to be tomorrow. For now, trust me on the maths.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 5, 2009
Messages
391
Tokens
Well, guess someone has got to burst the bubble. While I do not know how favorites have fared so far this season, this seemingly clever way of betting is not going to double you up under normal circumstances - or give you profit for that matter.

To use the KC/Min game as example, we see at pinny lines for Min of -134 at the ML and +165 at the RL. A simple calculation [Min winning by 1 = Min winning - Min winning by more than 1 = 134/234 - 100/265 = 19.5] there is a chance of 19.5% that Min wins by 1. Using another method to calculate this [Min winning by 1 = 1 - (KC winning + Min winning by more than 1) = 1 - (100/226 + 100/265) = 18.0] we get a percentage of Min winning by 1 of 18.0%.

Averaging above numbers (18.0+19.5)/2 = 18.75 we see there is a chance of 81.25% [100-18.75] each separate bet succeeds. Therefore there is a chance of 0.8125^3 * 100%= 53.64% that one of your parlays succeeds. Considering you are laying about 135 to win 100, you are getting pretty bad odds.

Interesting however the math is complicated and the back testing shows this has produced profits over the last 25 years. now I am not going to claim I will win every day what I will claim and if you watch you will be able to follow along is it will double the bank roll every 30 days or less and produce some very solid profits through the season. what I am anticipating is to have some where around 20 winning days out of 30.
 

New member
Joined
Dec 5, 2009
Messages
391
Tokens
well Pittsburgh's Pitching got me tonight Bank drops to 363.22 after losing $136.78
 

aka...shdw03
Joined
Jan 23, 2010
Messages
3,873
Tokens
seriously? all parlays?

Not to bash, but i'll give you odds that you wont double your bank in 30 days the way you are betting
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,106,146
Messages
13,433,474
Members
99,284
Latest member
sabraun02
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com