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<o> </o>
Large
Braves -136
Going right back on the Braves. The Phillies are a secularly overvalued team in which the market is undermines the importance of the injuries to Rollins and key bullpen pitchers. Yesterday they were able to mask these issues by only needing two runs to score and having Halladay avoid the bullpen. With Moyer on the mound today, I don’t think it will be as easy. Moyer doesn’t look so hot out of the gates. Opponents are 9 for 15 against him with runners on, and he is not doing a good job avoiding base runners. Moyer takes advantage of young aggressive lineups. The Braves have a veteran, patient lineup that knows Moyer well. They put up solid numbers against Moyer for four straight years. Don’t think that success should stop now as Moyer is not getting any younger. There are players spread all around the lineup with past success against him. The scoring opportunities should not stop when the Braves bullpen enters the game. Having a right handed sinkerball pitcher going up against a left handed dominated lineup is not the ideal situation. However, Lowe is one sinkerball pitcher that has had really good success against the Phillies lineup, including dominating starts against them last year. He has shown a propensity to get better the more looks he gets against them. Vitorino, Wether, Ibanez and Howard have all been owned by him. Things should not get any easier when the Braves pen enters the game.
<o> </o>
<o> </o>
Mets -156
When Santana becomes an undervalued favorite, you know the Cubs are an overvalued team. The market is claiming the Cubs are in a slump. I see it differently. They are an average team playing slightly below average baseball. Prior to last nights game, the Cubs went four straight games putting up three or less runs. It wont get any easier for them having to face Santana. Although I think Santana regresses this year, he is coming off his best outing of the season where he struck out nine, walked just one, and did not allow a run. His stuff seems to be working right now, and past success against the Cubs should parlay into a good start. The Cubs will also be without Ramirez. It’s hard to say if Gorzelanny has a carry over effect from taking a line drive off of his pitching arm. Although he has looked decent so far this season, the sustainability is lacking. He is also not a candidate to go deep into games even when on. This does not bode well for the Cubs chances, as their bullpen is a liability. The Cubs lack any advantage in this game to overcome the nice sized pitching disparity.
<o> </o>
Large
Braves -136
Going right back on the Braves. The Phillies are a secularly overvalued team in which the market is undermines the importance of the injuries to Rollins and key bullpen pitchers. Yesterday they were able to mask these issues by only needing two runs to score and having Halladay avoid the bullpen. With Moyer on the mound today, I don’t think it will be as easy. Moyer doesn’t look so hot out of the gates. Opponents are 9 for 15 against him with runners on, and he is not doing a good job avoiding base runners. Moyer takes advantage of young aggressive lineups. The Braves have a veteran, patient lineup that knows Moyer well. They put up solid numbers against Moyer for four straight years. Don’t think that success should stop now as Moyer is not getting any younger. There are players spread all around the lineup with past success against him. The scoring opportunities should not stop when the Braves bullpen enters the game. Having a right handed sinkerball pitcher going up against a left handed dominated lineup is not the ideal situation. However, Lowe is one sinkerball pitcher that has had really good success against the Phillies lineup, including dominating starts against them last year. He has shown a propensity to get better the more looks he gets against them. Vitorino, Wether, Ibanez and Howard have all been owned by him. Things should not get any easier when the Braves pen enters the game.
<o> </o>
<o> </o>
Mets -156
When Santana becomes an undervalued favorite, you know the Cubs are an overvalued team. The market is claiming the Cubs are in a slump. I see it differently. They are an average team playing slightly below average baseball. Prior to last nights game, the Cubs went four straight games putting up three or less runs. It wont get any easier for them having to face Santana. Although I think Santana regresses this year, he is coming off his best outing of the season where he struck out nine, walked just one, and did not allow a run. His stuff seems to be working right now, and past success against the Cubs should parlay into a good start. The Cubs will also be without Ramirez. It’s hard to say if Gorzelanny has a carry over effect from taking a line drive off of his pitching arm. Although he has looked decent so far this season, the sustainability is lacking. He is also not a candidate to go deep into games even when on. This does not bode well for the Cubs chances, as their bullpen is a liability. The Cubs lack any advantage in this game to overcome the nice sized pitching disparity.