YTD: 7-5 +1.5
Today: 1-0 +.97
Picked up a nice win so far today with SD with a wild one pending with Colorado. Here are the plays I like for tonight.
Boston -141 (sportsbook) - Lester started off last year pitching bad and got things turned around and he'll come around this year as well. His match-up last week with the Orioles was encouraging and now he gets to face Toronto, who he has had success against in his career, 59.1 IP, 3.03 ERA, .205 BAA. Factor in that Toronto is batting a paltry .185 against lefties and this is a match-up Boston should be able to exploit. 2.5 units
Cleveland + 161 (sportsbook)- It's hard to bet on a Cleveland team that is averaging just over 3.5 runs per game, but I think this line is too high for LAA. Ervin Santana is 0-6 in 7 career starts against Cleveland with an ERA over 6 and BAA of .300. Westbrook has had some success against LAA, posting a 3.11 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 66.2 innings. 1 units
NY/Bal under 8.5 -110 (5dimes) - Sabathia has dominated Baltimore in 14 career games to a 9-1 record, 2.55 ERA, and .209 BAA. I don't see Baltimore getting more than 1-3 runs, so we're looking at NYY to score 6-8 runs to push this over. They are averaging 4 runs over their previous 6 games and 5.25 for the season. 1 unit
Oakland +145 (sportsbook) - Braden has been nasty this year and TB is only batting .223 against lefties this year. Shields is a solid pitcher, especially at home, so I think this should be a close game. Decent value is this line. 1.5 units
Chi/Texas over 9 -115 (sportsbook) - 33 walks in 40 innings and almost 4 base runners per inning between Peavy and Harden. With that many guys on base per inning, there's going to be some scoring. 1.5 units
Good luck tonight guys, lets win some money.
