four today (Wed) w/analysis

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<table width="500" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="50%" align="left">Yesterday</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">1</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">2</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="20%" align="right">-2.00 Units</td></tr> <tr> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="50%" align="left">Last 30 Days</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">26</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">35</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="20%" align="right">-7.94 Units</td></tr> <tr> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="50%" align="left">Season To Date (Since March 2010)</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">26</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">35</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="10%" align="right">0</td> <td class="rs_value" valign="top" width="20%" align="right">-7.94 Units</td></tr></tbody></table>

I was red-hot to start the year but have been ice-cold lately and when I'm cold I don't like to post here.


All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.

San Diego +1.05 over FLORIDA http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o:p></o:p>
Note the 12:10 PM EST start. Kevin Correia has been rock solid over four starts thus far and that includes a start in both Cincinnati and Arizona, two of the best hitter’s parks in the majors. Correia has allowed just 17 hits in 23 frames for a BAA of .202. His 1.13 WHIP is also impressive, as is his strikeout rate of 22 batters in 23 innings. Correia has won his last three starts while allowing only four runs in 17 innings and he took a no-hitter into the sixth inning in his last start. Nate Robertson allowed six runs in his only home start this year against the Reds. Robertson is a career stiff that’ll throw a good game from time to time but more often than not he’ll allow four or five runs. His command is average, his career ERA is 4.91 and that’s over a span of 173 starts. Nate Robertson is one of the more unappealing favorites in the league and when he is the chalk it’s recommended to go against him because his career record of 53-70 and career ERA of 4.91 is a true indicator of who he is. Play: San Diego +1.05 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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Pittsburgh +1.41 over MILWAUKEE (1st 5 innings)http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o:p></o:p>
Note the 1:10 PM EST start. The Pirates got an important win last night after going through what might be the roughest stretch any team will go through this year. The Pirates were outscored by an incredible count of 55-12 over a seven-game losing streak before last night’s 7-3 win. A single win will do wonders to a team’s psyche and morale. Even in that 17-3 loss on Monday the Pirates showed some signs of breaking out, as they had eight hits and left 11 runners stranded. This afternoon they’ll face a reliever by the name of Chris Narveson. Narveson has appeared in nine games this season, all in relief, and only twice in those nine games did he not allow a run. In fact, in those two games he didn’t allow a run he was asked to get one out only. In 10 innings of relief he’s allowed 17 hits and walked seven for an off the charts WHIP of 2.40, a BAA of .381 and an ERA of 7.20. Frankly, it does not matter who is pitching for the Brewers, as this choice is all about playing against Narveson. Play: Pittsburgh +1.45 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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ST. LOUIS –1½ +1.33 over Atlanta http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o:p></o:p>
The Braves are a team is serious trouble. They blew two late leads in this series already and have now dropped seven in a row. The Braves offense is hitting a measly .228 on the year and that’s after facing a whole slew of stiffs that include guys like Kyle Kendricks, Kyle Lohse, Todd Wellemeyer and Jonathon Niese to name a few. Looking at the Braves line-up and it’s easy to see why they’re losing. Nate McClouth is hitting .149, Troy Glaus is batting .200, Jason Heyward is down to .224, leadoff man Yunel Escobar is hitting .192, Chipper Jones is batting .259 and Melky Cabrera is hitting .179. Now the Braves will face a pitcher they’ve never seen and that can’t work in their favor. Jamie Garcia has oonly allowed 12 hits in 19 frames and has a BAA of .179 to go along with an impressive ERA of 1.42. Two starts ago when Garcia faced the Mets, another weak hitting line-up, he threw a seven-inning, one-hit gem. The Card should easily have its way with Braves starter, Kenshin Kawakami. Kawakami has just six k’s in three starts this season and that reveals he isn’t fooling anyone. In his last two starts he faced 50 batters combined and 27 of them flew out while just 15 hit the ball on the ground, another troubling indication of potential disaster. The Braves pen is a mess, the whole team is reeling big time and it sure does not figure to end here. Play: St. Louis –1½ +1.33 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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Boston –1½ +1.06 over TORONTO http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o:p></o:p>
Speaking of teams that are reeling and one need not look further than the Blue Jays. The Jays have lost five straight and when they don’t go yard they don’t score runs. The best news for Red Sox backers is that the Jays will face a struggling Jon Lester here but there’s no reason to worry about Lester’s slow start. He’s faced some of the top hitting teams in the AL and he’s just too good to sustain his bad run much longer. Lester has dominated the current crop of Jays hitters and this one should be no different. On the other side is Brett Cecil and the current Red Sox hitter’s has had no trouble figuring him out. Cecil faced the Red Sox twice last year and all they did was hit .415 off him to go along with seven bombs. The Jays are 0-2 at home against lefties and despite his slow start, Lester is one of the best lefties in the game and will very likely dominate this line-up again. Play: Boston –1½ +1.06 (Risking 2 units).
 

RX Dirt bag
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Love the Bucs first five. Also like the play against the Hanley-less Marlins
 

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