• It's great news for Cole Hamels that possibly the biggest threat he'd face, Juan Uribe (hold your laughter), might not be able to play. Aside from Pablo Sandoval, the San Francisco Giants really don't have much offense; Bengie Molina and Mark DeRosa, their two best hitters outside of Sandoval, are a combined 1-for-23 against Hamels. So the fact that the Giants are hitting .294 against left-handed pitching should be discounted, especially since Hamels isn't your average left-hander. Though the start may be on the road, it's on the road in a pitchers' park, hardly a cause for concern. Expect a strong rebound start and, hopefully, no home runs allowed.
Juan Uribe, SF 2B
News Archive
San Francisco Giants
Day-To-Day
Uribe (elbow) is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Phillies, the Giants' official site reports.
Spin:
Uribe appeared as a pinch-hitter Tuesday, which indicates that a return to the lineup probably isn't far off.
Juan Uribe, SF 2B
News Archive
San Francisco Giants
Day-To-Day
Uribe (elbow) is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Phillies, the Giants' official site reports.
Spin:
Uribe appeared as a pinch-hitter Tuesday, which indicates that a return to the lineup probably isn't far off.
Phils' bats have been ice cold nothing has been going their way on the basepaths either. Utley and Howard both thrown out at 2nd with no outs last night. Hamels numbers are pretty brutal and even gave up 4 home runs in one inning in his last start! Despite his numbers and recent shallacking he has looked pretty good getting his fastball up to 94. Location is another story. With all of this said the Phils+140 is a good value bet. Teams of their caliber don't lay down after losing 4 outta last 5
lol you remember that... damn that hurt yesterday... and it was brewers til the 9th when the washed up hoffman imploded... unrealhno:
Had to dig into retirement account, my moms checking account, and brother's savings account to recoup me the money lost yesterday @)
Just busting your balls. I remember you had some nice winners a few weeks back and I highly doubt you unloaded on brew crew too heavily yesterday. Don't moosh Timmy today though. lol Wait til the 1st of month and start robbing fools for their WIC checks and leave your family alone.:lol:
Its not that they are laying down, they have hit a cold spell that has had them overvalued for the last several games. They have been a great play against for the following reasons, and these are the parameters:
Play AGAINST any team:
- That has a winning percentage of 60% or higher
- Has a winning percentage of 55% or higher on the road
- Had a 5 or more game winning streak
- Following the winning streak of 5 or more games, lost 2 in a row or 2 out of 3.
For the next 10 games play against this team when they are favored. They are in a downswing, yet the public will continue to play on them despite this. The Yankees are a current example (which will probably be every freaking game).
They had a 6 game winning streak from 4/15 - 4/21. Lost 4/22 (TH) and 4/23 (FRI). So play against them for the next 10 games when they are favored.
They were favored Saturday against Anaheim and won, Anaheim and NY were both laying juice Sunday so pass. Yesterday against Baltimore O's were +150 and they won. So after 3 games the plays are 1-1 for a profit of .5 units.
The Phillies are currently in the same trend. They won 5 in a row from 4/9 to 4/14. Lost 2 out of next 3. Over the next 8 games (today will be the 9th game out of the 10) they are 3-5 and most have been favored, including the last 2 in SF when they went against Halladay.
It takes a really good team to find these plays, because most teams aren't 60% winners with a 55% road record. But when you find this situation, many good plays can be found.
You won't win every game, but getting juice from an overvalued favorite when they are in a downward trend is a good thing. Splitting out the games you will win money.
Thanks Grits.
I have a friend that has been handicapping sports for many many years, very sharp guy. He told me about this one and alerts me when the situation arises. We had the Giants the past 2 nights and some of the other games including beating Hamels Saturday night getting big juice can't quite remember the price but around +150.
Good luck with your plays.
