YTD: 10-12 -2.54
Yesterday: 0-4 -5
0-4 last night losing 5 units. Maybe a rookie mistake last night trying to force something that wasn't there with the light schedule. This is my first year trying this, so there will definately be some bumps along the way, we'll chalk that up as a lesson learned.
San Diego -135 (sportsbook) - Since coming to SD, Richard has pitched really well at PETCO. In 8 starts, he has a 2.27 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and opponents are batting under.200. SD is riding a 3 game winning streak, are 8-2 at home, and have won 11 of 13. Milwaukee has lost of 6 of their 7, with the lone win in that span a 17 run outburst against Pitt. Take away that game and they've averaged 2 runs per game. 1.5 units
Texas +124 (5dimes)- I like Texas in this spot to exploit Cliff Lee's first start off the DL and poor career numbers against them. He has a career ERA over 7.00 in 8 starts, and in his past three against Texas since 2008, it's over 8.00. Lewis won his first start of the year against Seattle, holding them to 5 hits and 1 run over 7 innings. 2.5 units
TB -1.5 -125 (5dimes) - TB offense is crushing it this season. They've scored at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 16, averaging 7.4 a game over that span while winning 14 of 16. In 2 starts against KC, Neimann is 2-0 with an ERA 0.53 and BAA of .107. He's also struck out 16 in 17 IP while issuing just 1 walk. TB has covered the RL in 14 of their 17 wins and this looks like another spot for them to roll. 3 units
NYM +133 (5dimes)- The Mets have won 7 in a row and 10 of 12. Kendrick's only good start this year was against ATL and they can't score. I don't see how he can be favored this much here. 1.5 units
Pitt/LAD over 8.5 +100 (5dimes) - Morton and Billingsley are putting over 4 guys on base per inning between them while they are in the game and then turn it over to the bullpens by the 5th. I don't trust either offense, but with that many guys on base, I'm betting on some runs. 1 unit
Houston +185 (5dimes) - Tommy Hanson or not, the way that offense is performing I think there is value on Houston. 1 unit
Sf -131 (5dimes)- Zito has been strong in his career against Colorado (77.1 IP, 1.98 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, .194 BAA) and dominated them last year, giving up only 3 earned runs in 28.1 IP. 2 units
LAA -114 (5dimes) - Pineiro took a turn against Detroit already once this year, holding them scoreless over 7.1 IP and is 7-2 in his career against Detroit. Porcello got lit up for 6 runs in 4.1 IP against LAA in his start this year and 4 runs in 5 IP last year. Opposing hitters are batting almost .400 against him this year. 1.5 unit
Hoping to get back in the black tonight.
Yesterday: 0-4 -5
0-4 last night losing 5 units. Maybe a rookie mistake last night trying to force something that wasn't there with the light schedule. This is my first year trying this, so there will definately be some bumps along the way, we'll chalk that up as a lesson learned.
San Diego -135 (sportsbook) - Since coming to SD, Richard has pitched really well at PETCO. In 8 starts, he has a 2.27 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and opponents are batting under.200. SD is riding a 3 game winning streak, are 8-2 at home, and have won 11 of 13. Milwaukee has lost of 6 of their 7, with the lone win in that span a 17 run outburst against Pitt. Take away that game and they've averaged 2 runs per game. 1.5 units
Texas +124 (5dimes)- I like Texas in this spot to exploit Cliff Lee's first start off the DL and poor career numbers against them. He has a career ERA over 7.00 in 8 starts, and in his past three against Texas since 2008, it's over 8.00. Lewis won his first start of the year against Seattle, holding them to 5 hits and 1 run over 7 innings. 2.5 units
TB -1.5 -125 (5dimes) - TB offense is crushing it this season. They've scored at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 16, averaging 7.4 a game over that span while winning 14 of 16. In 2 starts against KC, Neimann is 2-0 with an ERA 0.53 and BAA of .107. He's also struck out 16 in 17 IP while issuing just 1 walk. TB has covered the RL in 14 of their 17 wins and this looks like another spot for them to roll. 3 units
NYM +133 (5dimes)- The Mets have won 7 in a row and 10 of 12. Kendrick's only good start this year was against ATL and they can't score. I don't see how he can be favored this much here. 1.5 units
Pitt/LAD over 8.5 +100 (5dimes) - Morton and Billingsley are putting over 4 guys on base per inning between them while they are in the game and then turn it over to the bullpens by the 5th. I don't trust either offense, but with that many guys on base, I'm betting on some runs. 1 unit
Houston +185 (5dimes) - Tommy Hanson or not, the way that offense is performing I think there is value on Houston. 1 unit
Sf -131 (5dimes)- Zito has been strong in his career against Colorado (77.1 IP, 1.98 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, .194 BAA) and dominated them last year, giving up only 3 earned runs in 28.1 IP. 2 units
LAA -114 (5dimes) - Pineiro took a turn against Detroit already once this year, holding them scoreless over 7.1 IP and is 7-2 in his career against Detroit. Porcello got lit up for 6 runs in 4.1 IP against LAA in his start this year and 4 runs in 5 IP last year. Opposing hitters are batting almost .400 against him this year. 1.5 unit
Hoping to get back in the black tonight.
