I have to admit, earlier in the season I was not a believer that he was back. After watching his last 2 starts, wow. He is back and filthier than ever and his #'s prove it. 3-0, 0.93 ERA, 0.97 WHIP...that is sick. He completely dominated and had a scorching Tigers line up completely confused and off balance. Shouldn't this line be around -200? is this a trap? or has the market not adjusted to Liriano yet?
Ok I can tell you why the price is down on the Twins.. DIe hard Twins fan.
Joe Mauer is probably 90 percent chance of being out today with a bruised heal. He didn't even go onto the field yesterday. So that bat out of the lineup has kept the price down a bit. Plus I don't think Vegas is 100 % sold on Liriano on the road. This does look like a nice Twins victory. With Mauer in the lineup the Twins would be - 185
Joe Mauer is probably 90 percent chance of being out today with a bruised heal. He didn't even go onto the field yesterday. So that bat out of the lineup has kept the price down a bit. Plus I don't think Vegas is 100 % sold on Liriano on the road. This does look like a nice Twins victory. With Mauer in the lineup the Twins would be - 185
Francisco Liriano Career Vs Indians
3-3, 3.57 era, 1.49 whip, .253 baa
Francisco Liriano Career @ Progreesive Field
1-1, 4.96 era, 1.78 whip, .299 baa
The line, imo, is right where it should be. If he was at home, then you see it at -200 most likely. Also, the man he is facing, David Huff, has one start @ home this year: a complete game 3-2 victory over Texas, 2 runs, 1bb, 4 k's, and 1 hr allowed.
David Huff Career Vs Twins
2-3, 5.86 era, 1.70 whip, .304 baa
David Huff Career @ Home
6-4, 4.61 era, 1.34 whip, .267 baa
As someone mentioned earlier, the status of Joe Mauer's heel might also factor into this as well. .211 hitting Jason Kubel was hitting third last night. David Huff is also a lefty so there lineup would look different anyways due to having quite a few lefties themselves.
Hope this helps Mets explain the line, maybe :howdy:
Line @ time of post: -165(bookmaker)
GL with whatever you do Mets :toast:
@)
3-3, 3.57 era, 1.49 whip, .253 baa
Francisco Liriano Career @ Progreesive Field
1-1, 4.96 era, 1.78 whip, .299 baa
The line, imo, is right where it should be. If he was at home, then you see it at -200 most likely. Also, the man he is facing, David Huff, has one start @ home this year: a complete game 3-2 victory over Texas, 2 runs, 1bb, 4 k's, and 1 hr allowed.
David Huff Career Vs Twins
2-3, 5.86 era, 1.70 whip, .304 baa
David Huff Career @ Home
6-4, 4.61 era, 1.34 whip, .267 baa
As someone mentioned earlier, the status of Joe Mauer's heel might also factor into this as well. .211 hitting Jason Kubel was hitting third last night. David Huff is also a lefty so there lineup would look different anyways due to having quite a few lefties themselves.
Hope this helps Mets explain the line, maybe :howdy:
Line @ time of post: -165(bookmaker)
GL with whatever you do Mets :toast:
@)
One thing for Twinkies backers to relish in (undecided here) is Mauer only had one hit, single, in the two teams first adventure together and Liriano got the the SO. I know there's got to be an emotional component in not having your field general on the field, but I'll be damned if I can put a good number on it in baseball, unlike hoops and foots.
~T~
~T~
