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Large
A’s +155
The market wants nothing to do with Sheets. They made it clear from his first start of the season. The A’s have won just one game in which he has started in. This has added fuel to the fire of the market being turned off by him. However, he has allowed more than three runs in just one of his starts this season. He is coming off of his worst start in five years. He has been known to be a solid bounce back starter in the past. Until he puts forth another bad outing , I think the market is being overly cautious about him not being recouped from his elbow surgery. He is backed by a solid and deep bullpen which should allow a plug to be pulled early if he is showing signs of replicating last weeks start. The market has price Marcum as a really solid pitcher right out of the gates. So far they have been correct with their pricing. I am still reluctant to be as bullish as the market is on him. His fastball is weak, and he has been overly dependent on opposing hitters to swing out of the zone against him. Facing aggressive lineups in almost all of his starts has benefited him. This will not be the case today. The Blue Jays have won just 3 of their last nine games. Priced too high in this one.
<o> </o>
<o> </o>
Upper Medium
Indians +145
Liriano is priced for perfection. So far he has pitched that way and has shown no signs of deviating form current form. But when oddsmakers and the market becomes euphoric on a pitcher, I tend to look the other way. This is his first start facing a lineup that has already seen the new and improved Liriano. See how that plays out. Huff is a decent home dog to back. He only allowed three hits to the Twins in his first start against them this year. The Twins will once again be without Mauer. For a team that is built to win the close game, his absence is material. The Indians have a winning record against southpaws this year. They have also played only one team with a losing record this season, and their true worth has been masked a bit.
Large
A’s +155
The market wants nothing to do with Sheets. They made it clear from his first start of the season. The A’s have won just one game in which he has started in. This has added fuel to the fire of the market being turned off by him. However, he has allowed more than three runs in just one of his starts this season. He is coming off of his worst start in five years. He has been known to be a solid bounce back starter in the past. Until he puts forth another bad outing , I think the market is being overly cautious about him not being recouped from his elbow surgery. He is backed by a solid and deep bullpen which should allow a plug to be pulled early if he is showing signs of replicating last weeks start. The market has price Marcum as a really solid pitcher right out of the gates. So far they have been correct with their pricing. I am still reluctant to be as bullish as the market is on him. His fastball is weak, and he has been overly dependent on opposing hitters to swing out of the zone against him. Facing aggressive lineups in almost all of his starts has benefited him. This will not be the case today. The Blue Jays have won just 3 of their last nine games. Priced too high in this one.
<o> </o>
<o> </o>
Upper Medium
Indians +145
Liriano is priced for perfection. So far he has pitched that way and has shown no signs of deviating form current form. But when oddsmakers and the market becomes euphoric on a pitcher, I tend to look the other way. This is his first start facing a lineup that has already seen the new and improved Liriano. See how that plays out. Huff is a decent home dog to back. He only allowed three hits to the Twins in his first start against them this year. The Twins will once again be without Mauer. For a team that is built to win the close game, his absence is material. The Indians have a winning record against southpaws this year. They have also played only one team with a losing record this season, and their true worth has been masked a bit.