MLB 5/6 Plays

buffettgambler · May 6, 2010

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Large
Braves -127
No surprise here. Will continue to ride the assumption that the Braves are in correction mode and the market is undermining their true worth. The market is getting a bit ahead of themselves with the pricing of the Nats as their hitting is overachieving and their bullpen has not been exposed. Olson is coming off a couple dominating outings. He has been known in the past for putting together a couple of good outings in a row and then falling off a cliff. This may be a good spot for another one, as he faces a team that knows him well and has had past success against him. He is more vulnerable against right handed hitters. The Braves will throw all but one at him from the right side. Hudson looks good. His stuff is really working right now, and has been hard to get good contact off of. Not a good spot for regression as he faces a team he has absolutely dominated in the past. He fundamentally matches up well against the youth that the Nats will send out. Bullpen edge to the Braves.

Stabler12 · May 6, 2010

Thanks and GL, BG, I'll guess that this will be the only play for today?

buffettgambler · May 6, 2010

Stabler12 said:
Thanks and GL, BG, I'll guess that this will be the only play for today?

Still waiting for the lineups, but the Mariners and/or Dodgers may be plays.

Rip007 · May 6, 2010

TheHungerForMore · May 6, 2010

I like the Mariners. What's your opinion on that game?

Looks like we're going to be on the Braves when they get no hit again.

Stabler12 · May 6, 2010

I'll keep checking, thanks for the headsup, BG.

buffettgambler · May 6, 2010

TheHungerForMore said:
I like the Mariners. What's your opinion on that game?

Looks like we're going to be on the Braves when they get no hit again.

I have been net long on the Rays and net short on the Mariners, but see some value on the Mariners tonight. Seems like the market is ignoring the "there are no bad teams, just bad prices" philosophy in betting, and hammering against a struggling team. Medium play.

buffettgambler · May 6, 2010

Stabler12 said:
I'll keep checking, thanks for the headsup, BG.

No Upper medium or large plays on the nightcap.
On to tomorrow. BOL

Stabler12 · May 6, 2010

buffettgambler said:
No Upper medium or large plays on the nightcap.
On to tomorrow. BOL

Thanks very much, GL on the Atlanta comeback (2-2 in the 9th).:toast:

TheHungerForMore · May 6, 2010

Stabler12 said:
Thanks very much, GL on the Atlanta comeback (2-2 in the 9th).:toast:

I reserved the jinx and you just jinxed it.

hno:

Stabler12 · May 6, 2010

TheHungerForMore said:
I reserved the jinx and you just jinxed it. hno:

Sorry, guy, the f**king Braves had the bases juiced with one out in the 9th and bounced into a DP.

buffettgambler · May 6, 2010

Stabler12 said:
Sorry, guy, the f**king Braves had the bases juiced with one out in the 9th and bounced into a DP.

Man on third in the 8th with one out as well. This has plagued the Braves all season. This is a variable that lacks sustainability, but they sure do a good job keeping it sustained.

See value on them tomorrow. Model bias is becoming evident, but a market bearish bias sure looks apparent as well.

TheHungerForMore · May 6, 2010

Can't catch a break. Ump just bailed out Jeff Niemann while he was struggling, basesloaded full count.

NyMets609 · May 6, 2010

TheHungerForMore said:
Can't catch a break. Ump just bailed out Jeff Niemann while he was struggling, basesloaded full count.

just posted a thread about that. that was absolutely sickening that he gave him that pitch.

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