Bragg's Tuesday

jbragg10 · May 11, 2010

Overall: 83-59
(+46.7 units)
1* 35-28
2* 35-27
3* 11-3
4* 1-1
5* 1-0

Got my big play yesterday, but missed all the small ones. Oh well. Hopefully today's card is not to confusing ... I just feel spreading the money around on the RL and ML's.

2* Cardinals RL -105 (2.1 to win 2)
2* Rays -110 (2.2 to win 2)

2* Jays
ML +150 (1.2 to win 1.8)
RL -130 (.8 to win .62)

2* Rangers
ML -168 (1.25 to win .74)
RL +120 (.75 to win .9)

2* Phillies
ML -170 (.75 to win .44)
RL even (1.25 to win 1.25)

DiceController · May 11, 2010

lets cash

jbragg10 · May 11, 2010

I had a little mistake on the Phillies game ... here is the correct version. Sorry about that.

2* Phillies RL -110
ML -170 (1.25 to win .74)
RL even (.75 to win .75)

LockedampLoaded · May 11, 2010

Excellent, splitting between RL and ML :103631605

GL today JBragg :toast:

@)

rowdy · May 11, 2010

Thanks JB, best of luck today!

BigBrowns · May 11, 2010

bragg what is ur most solid pick today rays or cards run line? i could use a big winner

also are u gonna post for the preakness u gave me a boost with super saver at the derby.

thanks again bragg u rock bro

jbragg10 · May 11, 2010

I will post for the preakness. I like the Cards RL more than the Rays (but not by much).

BigBrowns · May 11, 2010

roger! thanks

alkimyst · May 11, 2010

gOOD lUCK!!

MikeyLo · May 11, 2010

Good Luck

eldian · May 11, 2010

GL JB,

Is that Jays RL +1.5 @ -130

:toast:

jbragg10 · May 11, 2010

eldian said:
GL JB,

Is that Jays RL +1.5 @ -130

:toast:

yes it is

eldian · May 11, 2010

Can someone explain the formula behind the splitting of ML and RL?

jbragg10 · May 11, 2010

it basically gives you a -1 run line instead of a -1.5

Look at this game:
2* Rangers
ML -168 (1.25 to win .74)
RL +120 (.75 to win .9)

If the Rangers win by 1 run ... I basically break even ... where as if I played the Rangers only on the RL ... I would have lost 2 units (and I didn't want to play a whole 2 units on the Rangers at the price of -168)

It basically gives me a little insurance on that .5 aspect of the -1.5 line.

eldian · May 11, 2010

jbragg10 said:
it basically gives you a -1 run line instead of a -1.5

Look at this game:
2* Rangers
ML -168 (1.25 to win .74)
RL +120 (.75 to win .9)

If the Rangers win by 1 run ... I basically break even ... where as if I played the Rangers only on the RL ... I would have lost 2 units (and I didn't want to play a whole 2 units on the Rangers at the price of -168)

It basically gives me a little insurance on that .5 aspect of the -1.5 line.

Thanks for the explanation... Is there an exact formula of how to split the ML and RL units or are you just doing trial and error?

jbragg10 · May 11, 2010

This is the official way to get the -1 runline. My numbers are a little different than this ... but this will give you the idea.

Example:
ML = -160
RL = +120

Take 100/160 = 0.63
take the 0.63 and add 1 = 1.63
then take the 1.63 and divide it again.. 100/1.63 = 61.34

61.34 is what you are going to risk on the ML
Whatever the payout of that, you take and risk it on the RL
and that's how you get the -1 RL

jbragg10 · May 11, 2010

well crap ... just realized I misposted the Jays. The units should be swapped in the RL and ML. My bad!
It should be:

2* Jays
ML +150 (.8 to win 1.2)
RL -130 (1.2 to win .92)

jbragg10 · May 11, 2010

For tracking purposes ... re-posting the correct plays:

2* Cardinals RL -105 (2.1 to win 2)
2* Rays -110 (2.2 to win 2)

2* Jays 
ML +150 (.8 to win 1.2)
RL -130 (1.2 to win .92)

2* Rangers
ML -168 (1.25 to win .74)
RL +120 (.75 to win .9)

2* Phillies RL -110 
ML -170 (1.25 to win .74)
RL even (.75 to win .75)

luCky-luCky · May 11, 2010

Hey Bragg .. I don't if this is an error but... Why would the jay's ML be +150 and the RL at -130. Isn't it the other way around.

luCky-luCky · May 11, 2010

Nevermind... Just caught u previous post. But u still didn't switch up ML and RL correctly ... Let's cash this!

Bragg's Tuesday

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