Across the board you see +170 on the Nats. Pinnacle positions themselves at +169 (you're going elsewhere to bet this team) and -125 on the run line (market number, can find better elsewhere). You can still land +177 at BetOnline (I have taken this number). Line is heading in the Nationals direction here, while the square side is the Rockies.
IMO the run line is a FANTASTIC bet. In Vegas you see +1.5 (-110) at Stations, BetEd and SIA both have +1.5 (-110). If you get this number at any of your outs take it, 4.26% EDGE. Easily scalp-able with Pinnacle (+115).
The one thing that concerns me is while the majority of bets are on the Rockies it doesn't appear to be a real "square" bet. I think squares are looking at -180 or higher and saying to themselves "I'm not paying that!" and opting for the -1.5, giving you a great price on +1.5 at square shops.
I'd put 4 units on +1.5 (-110) and 1 unit on +180. Would downgrade to 2 units at -115 and wouldn't play at -120. Wouldn't play the Nationals under +175.
IMO the run line is a FANTASTIC bet. In Vegas you see +1.5 (-110) at Stations, BetEd and SIA both have +1.5 (-110). If you get this number at any of your outs take it, 4.26% EDGE. Easily scalp-able with Pinnacle (+115).
The one thing that concerns me is while the majority of bets are on the Rockies it doesn't appear to be a real "square" bet. I think squares are looking at -180 or higher and saying to themselves "I'm not paying that!" and opting for the -1.5, giving you a great price on +1.5 at square shops.
I'd put 4 units on +1.5 (-110) and 1 unit on +180. Would downgrade to 2 units at -115 and wouldn't play at -120. Wouldn't play the Nationals under +175.
