Dogs with a SP advantage (0-0 record)

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BEACH BUM
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Oct 9, 2005
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Good morning fellas!I used to play the Stoffo Underdog system a few years back, and though it did well for awhile, it seems as if the books have adjusted (as some numbers I've researched over the past 2 years or so show it breaking about even).However, I've always wanted to try tweaking Stoffo's system a little bit by only playing the dogs when the dog's starting pitcher is ranked higher (according to the Sagarin NPERA ratings). For example, the Mariners are a +150 dog today and have Fister on the hill (who is #2 rated), whereas the Rays have Davis (#21 rated). Although I hate playing against the Rays, I think there is value with the M's... I'm going to list these plays each day and see how they do for awhile....Comments, questions, or chatter is welcome. Good luck this weekend guys!PLAYS FOR FRIDAY 5-14PHILLIES +100ASTROS +130MARINERS +150A's -105
 

BEACH BUM
Joined
Oct 9, 2005
Messages
2,025
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Good morning fellas!I used to play the Stoffo Underdog system a few years back, and though it did well for awhile, it seems as if the books have adjusted (as some numbers I've researched over the past 2 years or so show it breaking about even).

However, I've always wanted to try tweaking Stoffo's system a little bit by only playing the dogs when the dog's starting pitcher is ranked higher (according to the Sagarin NPERA ratings).

For example, the Mariners are a +150 dog today and have Fister on the hill (who is #2 rated), whereas the Rays have Davis (#21 rated). Although I hate playing against the Rays, I think there is value with the M's... I'm going to list these plays each day and see how they do for awhile....Comments, questions, or chatter is welcome. Good luck this weekend guys!


PLAYS FOR FRIDAY 5-14

PHILLIES +100

ASTROS +130

MARINERS +150

A's -105
 

BEACH BUM
Joined
Oct 9, 2005
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2-2 (+0.5 units)

Well, not a huge night but getting the Mariners to come through helped us pick up a half unit. I'll take a half unit gain anyday, even if it is small..lol...Not much value on the card today fellas!

Plays for SAT. 5-15

TWINS +130 (Liriano is ranked #6 while Pettite is ranked #13)

NATS (game 2 with Atilano) +135 (Hammel is #103, while Atilano is #59)

Best of luck boys! have a big Saturday!
 
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