Jeff Mattingly: Saturday MLB Handicapper Report - Winning Info!

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  • The New York Yankees have now covered the run-line in all 11 victories at Yankee Stadium this season.
  • Including Opening Day, Houston SP Roy Oswalt and San Francisco SP Tim Lincecum have matched up in four games throuthout their careers. Lincecum has posted a 2-0 record and a 1.03 ERA over Oswalt's 1-2 mark and 3.33 ERA.
 

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Bettors need to be wary of placing money on the White Sox as a road favorite, losing their last three chances in that role (-399), including Friday’s 6-1 loss. The under is a perfect 4-0 on the White Sox current road trip, after the South Siders had gone over the total in their last five road games heading into this trip.

Even with Chicago’s failures on the road this season, Kansas City will be hard to back on Saturday night. The Royals haven’t put together a winning streak longer than two games all season. Backing Hochevar as a home underdog is difficult as well, going 1-5 (-383) in the last six opportunities.
 

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Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels

Oakland came into this divisional series with a 9-13 record since April 17, when they were a season-high five games over .500 (9-4). The key for the Athletics is scoring four runs or more in a game, as they possess a sparkling 17-1 record when doing so. On the flip side, Oakland is a miserable 1-16 when failing to do so. The pitching staff has managed a 5.43 ERA on the road compared to 2.78 at home. They have also yielded 26 home runs in 16 road games, while just allowing nine home runs in 20 games at home.

Athletics SP Justin Duchscherer has tallied a perfect 6-0 record and 1.44 ERA in 24 career appearances against the Angels (three starts). In those appearances, he’s actually allowed 16 runs over 50 innings pitched, but only eight have been earned. Oakland has won four of his five starts on the year, as the right-hander is coming off his worst start of the season, a 6-3 loss at Toronto. He managed to last just 3 2/3 innings and allowed four earned runs and five hits (two HR).

Los Angeles is suffering through its worst start since 1990 and has been outscored by 51 runs this season. The Angels have a chance of turning things around against a team that they haven’t lost a season series to since 2003. Of the last 78 games between the two teams, 43 have been decided by two runs-or-fewer and 25 have been one-run decisions. Offensively, the team is hitting just .223 in the month of May and scoring 3.5 runs. The pitching staff hasn’t been much better this month, issuing an average of 5.1 walks per game.

Angels SP Ervin Santana can certainly match Duchscherer’s stats against their opponent on Saturday. The right-hander is a dominating 10-2 with a 1.41 ERA in 17 career games (15 starts) against the Athletics. He has managed to allow just 79 hits over 108 1/3 innings over those contests. The Angels have lost his last two starts, as the offense has mustered up just two runs of support. He has been very shaky during the month of May in his career, posting a 7-12 record and 5.25 ERA in 25 career starts.

Bettors can certainly find value in the under in Saturday’s game, considering it has cashed in 12 of Santana’s last 15 starts against the A’s. This also fits in nicely with the under being 8-3 in Duchscherer’s last 11 road starts.

With both pitchers possessing dominating numbers against the opposition, the underdog may be the only solution. The Angels are also 0-7 (-934) in Santana’s last seven home starts as a favorite of this kind, with the offense producing just 19 runs in those contests.
 

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Friday MLB Recap-Pittsburgh's Garrett Jones is batting .571 versus the Cubs with two strikes in the count, while the rest of Major League Baseball is hitting .196. He went 4-for-5 with a HR and 5 RBI on Friday with two strikes.
-The Pirates came into the game tied for 28th with Seattle in runs and had gone 19 scoreless innings before an RBI single by McCutchen.
-Pirates 2B Awi Iwamura is now hitless in his last 24 at-bats after going 0-for-6.
-Baltimore matched a season-high with its third straight victory. SP Jeremy Guthrie got the win, striking out five and retiring 16 consecutive at one point.
-Cleveland SP Justin Masterson dropped his 10th straight decision and is winless in his last 14 starts overall.
-Boston DH David Ortiz didn't homer in his first 11 games this season, but has collected five homers since then, as his batting average is over .200 for the first time this season.
-Detroit began the night with a baseball-best 12-4 record at home, but SP Max Scherzer gave up three homers for the third time in his career and has allowed 27 runs in his last four starts.
-New York 3B Alex Rodriguez is now 4-for-4 with 2 HR and 14 RBI following intentional walks to Teixera.
-The Yankees have won 24 of 27 regular-season home games against Minnesota dating to 2002, including nine in a row.
-Toronto pounded out 15 total hits and boosted their major league lead in home runs (57) and extra-base hits (162).
-Texas SP Rich Harden is 0-3 in eight career starts against Toronto.
-St. Louis SP Jaime Garcia has gone at least six innings and given up two or fewer earned runs in all seven starts. It's the best such opening streak by a rookie since Fernando Valenzuela in 1981.
-The Cardinals have 87 home runs at Great American Ball Park, the second-most by a visiting team (Chicago Cubs, 88).
-New York Mets have the fewest road wins in the majors, falling to 4-10 in away games. They have lost five of six overall.
-The up-and-down Marlins have now won two games in a row, matching their longest winning streak of the season.
 

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Saturday Items (Part I)
-The Cubs won seven-straight against the Pirates from July 1 - September 29 of last season, but have followed that with six-straight losses.
-Chicago is hitting .284 in May, 18 points higher than their .266 April batting average, but has gone just 4-8 to start this month.
-The Cubs' May ERA of 5.68 is nearly two runs higher than its 3.88 April ERA.
-New York Yankees are 23-12 in 2010 and have the second-best record in baseball behind the 24-11 Tampa Bay Rays.
-On Friday the Yankees won their series opener versus Minnesota, 8-4, giving them eight straight regular season games against the Twins and 11-straight overall.
-The Yankees have an even 4-4 record against the AL Central this year (11-4 vs East, 8-4 vs West)
-RP Mariano Rivera has not allowed a run in 11.0 IP in 2010. RHP Joba Chamberlain has not allowed a run in his last eight relief appearances, tossing 7.1 scoreless innings and two saves over the stretch.
 

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Saturday Items (Part II)
-Seattle has won three of five games since an eight-game losing streak. The Mariners are 8-10 at home and 6-11 on the road.
-Today is the fifth (1-3) of nine games between the Rays and Mariners this season. Seattle went 5-3 versus Tampa Bay last season and leads the series 23-18 over the last six seasons.
-The Mariners scored two runs in the first inning last night, marking the first time since April 20 versus Baltimore that hte Mariners have scored in the first inning, breaking a stretch of 19 consecutive games.
-Last night for Texas marked the first time all season Nelson Cruz and Ian Kinsler appeared in the same game, as both players have spent time on the DL. The Rangers' 1-thru-6 hitters on Friday went a combined 9-for-24 with 8 RBI and 8 runs scored.
-With 14 games remaining in May, the Rangers are 9-4 for the month, which is tied with Toronto for the best record in the AL and 3rd-best in the Majors.
-Texas has batted a major league-best .298 over 13 games in May to raise the club's overall average to .262
-Rangers bullpen has logged the most innings by any bullpen in the AL this season (120.2IP). Over the club's last eight contests, the pen has tossed 32.1 innings. By comparison, the starting rotation has amassed 45.2IP over the same eight-game span.
 

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Saturday MLB Info (Part III)
-Philadelphia enters play today leading the National League in slugging percentage (.460) and runs per game (5.47). They rank 2nd in runs scored (186), HR (42) and average (.274).
-The Phillies are 7-6 in day games so far this season. Their 3.38 ERA ranks 6th among all NL teams. Six players are hitting .300 or better during the day this season.
-Philadelphia is 7-1 against the NL Central this season.
-The Phillies and Dodgers are tied for the best record among NL teams this month at 9-3.
-Minnesota is 10-7 on the road this season, after starting their current road trip with a loss against the Yankees last night.
-The Twins are an even 4-4 versus the AL East this season (15-8 vs Central, 3-1 vs West).
-Minnesota has compiled a 15-10 record against RHP and 7-3 versus LHP.
-Twins C Joe Mauer owns the highest batting average versus left-handed pitching for a left-handed batter in the American League at .394 this season.
 

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MLB Info (Part IV)
-Cincinnati has won five of their last six, seven of their last 11 and 12 of their last 17 games. The Reds currently sit in second place in the NL Central, 1.5 games back of the Cardinals and 4 games ahead of the 3rd place Brewers.
-Reds starters have gone 5-1 with a 2.01 ERA over their last six games. They have allowed just 27 hits while striking out 36 batters and walking just five over 44.2IP over that span.
-Over the last seven days, Reds' batters rank third in the National League and fifth in the majors with a .292 batting average (Washington .315, Rangers .301, Braves/Twins .294)
-Pittsburgh banged out a season-high 16 hits in its 10-6 win over the Cubs on Friday. The Pirates #3 and #4 hitters went a combined 10-for-11 with 2 HR and 7 RBI yesterday.
-In four games against the Cubs this season, the Pirates are batting .316 with 5 HR and 28 runs scored.
 

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MLB Info (Part V)
-Washington 3B Ryan Zimmerman posted a career-best 6 RBI in the Nationals' 14-6 win on Thursday at Coors Field.
-At 20-15, the Nationals own the club's best-ever 35-game mark.
-The Nationals have not allowed a first-inning run in its last nine contests, outscoring opponents 8-0 in the first frame. In the Nationals' last 20 games, they have won the first-inning battle with a 16-2 run differential.
-In 8 of the Nationals' last nine affairs, the bullpen has received the decision. The pen has gone 5-3 with a 4.45 ERA over that period.
-Toronto is 3-1 versus Texas overall this season and has won eight of their last 13 meetings at the Rogers Centre.
-Last night, the Blue Jays recorded a season-high five HR and now lead the Majors with 57 this season, nine more than Boston who ranks second.
-Toronto OF Fred Lewis currently leads the AL in the month of May in hits (22) and extra-base hits (10). The Jays are tied with the Rangers for the best winning percentage among the AL in May (9-4).
-In four games versus Texas this season, Toronto OF Vernon Wells is batting .467 with 5 HR and 11 RBI. Wells has homered in all four games played.
 

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MLB Info (Update VI)
-New York Mets have lost three straight games and five of its last six contests.
-The Mets four road wins (4-10) are the fewest in the Majors, as the team has gone 2-7 in their last nine road contests. New York has played 14 games away from Citi Field this year, the third-fewest in the Majors - only Houston (13) and Boston (13) have played fewer.
-OF Jason Bay has hit in eight straight games. During that span, Bay is batting .354 with two doubles and six RBI.
-Mets pitchers have posted a 4.58 ERA on the road, the 11th-best mark in the National League and 19th-best in the Majors.
-Milwaukee's 4-12 home record ties a franchise worst after 16 home games. The team is 1-9 over its last 10 home games with a current 6-game losing streak.
-The Brewers are 1-6 against the NL East division this season (6-9 vs Central, 8-5 vs West)
-Milwaukee has gone 24-20 all-time against Philadelphia at home, including a 15-13 mark at Miller Park.
 

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I like these stats Jeff, really cool to glance at from the forum, much appreciated!! Any chance you might have a stat on doubleheaders?? I know its very hard to sweep a doubleheader, just wanted to see maybe if you had any stats to confirm that. Maybe an all time doubleheader stat or one of the past few years or even just last years doubleheaders. Thanks in advance bud!!
 

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MLB Info (Update VII)
-Chicago White Sox have lost 10 of their last 13 road games.
-White Sox SP Jake Peavy is 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA over his last two starts.
-Chicago is 5-10 against the American League Central this season, after going 34-38 against the division in 2009 and 43-29 in 2008.
-White Sox lead the American league with 41 stolen bases, including seven games with three or more.
-Chicago has produced a 6-6 daytime record and is 11-14 on the season against right-handed starters.
-Tampa Bay is 9-7 at Tropicana Field this season and 15-4 on teh road. Last season the Rays tied for the third-best home record, but finished 17 games below .500 on the road.
-The Rays have scored 192 runs, 2nd-most in the Majors (NYY-198) and have allowed 108, tied with the San Francisco Giants for the 2nd-fewest allowed in the majors (SD-105).
-Rays pitching staff leads the AL with a 2.82 ERA, lowest on this date by an AL team since the 1989 Angels (2.56)
 

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MLB Info (Update VIII)
-Boston has played 13 games this season against teams with a .600 winning percentage or better, going 3-10 in those contests.
-If the Red Sox beat the Tigers tonight, they will have won six of their last eight series beginning on 4/20. The club has the second-best record in the majors in that time at 15-8, behind only San Diego (15-7)
-Red Sox starters are 7-0 with a 2.17 ERA in Boston's last eight games at Comerica Park beginning on 5/5/08.
-Boston DH David Ortiz has hit safely in a season-high six straight games, going 9-for-22 with 3 HR and 9 RBI.
-Detroit OF Magglio Ordonez enters tonight's game hitting .350 with 14 HR and 59 RBI in 88 career games agains the Red Sox.
-Tigers closer Jose Valverde has not allowed a run in his last 15 outings for the Tigers, tossing 14.2 scoreless innings.
-Detroit enters tonight's game against the Red Sox with a 3.59 ERA in 17 games at Comerica Park this season.
 

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Los Angeles Dodgers
-The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight games and 10 of their last 13 games dating back to April 30 for the best mark in baseball during that span (.769).
-Los Angeles has won five consecutive games for the first time this season and has gone above .500 for the first time as well.
-Pitching staff has posted a 2.20 ERA and limited opposing hitters to a .191 average during their five-game winning streak.
-Team is currently seven games (6-1) into a stretch of nine straight games against NL West opponents. Los Angeles led the Majors Leagues with a .638 divisional winning percentage and currently has the best winning percentage in 2010 (10-3, .769).
-From the seventh inning on this season, the Dodgers have outscored their opponents 73-58.
-SP Clayton Kershaw ranks second in the NL with 27 walks, but is near the NL's Top-10 in strikeouts (45, 11th).
-Kershaw is searching for his first career-win at Petco Park in making his third start here. The left-hander went 0-2 with a 2.18 ERA over four starts against the Dodgers in 2009.
 

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