All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
TORONTO –1½ +1.35 over Texas http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o
></o>Scott Feldman had a horseshoe up his rear end last season, as every bounce went his way. He was an average pitcher on an average team and ended up winning 17 games. He’ll be lucky to win half that amount this year. He’s had two good outings thus far, one against the South Side and one against the Mariners. In most of his other starts he’s been torched and on the road he’s been eaten up and spit out. In fact, in two road starts covering just 9.1 innings, Feldman has allowed 17 hits and 11 runs for a BAA of .378. Overall, he’s walked 16 batters and struck out just 22 in 37 frames and that ratio is not going to help your cause at all. Meanwhile, the Jays are feeling it and each player is coming to the plate with a ton of confidence. Both Aaron Hill and Adam Lind went yard last night and once these two get going, look out. The Jays are pounding out hits, doubles and long balls and it’s not likely to stop here. Ricky Romero is a quality pitcher that has a BAA of .218 and an ERA of 3.42. He’s only allowed two bombs in 47 frames. Romero has improved both his strikeout and walk rates while maintaining a tremendous 57% GB rate. He’s clearly building something here, as are the Blue Jays. After a tremendous offensive display last night in front of the first decent crowd since opening day, expect the surging Jays to get right back at it again today. Man, are these guys smacking that ball around. Play: Toronto –1½ +1.35 (Risking 2 units).<o
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></o>Minnesota +1.26 over NY YANKEES http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o
></o>This line is definitely inflated only because it’s the Yankees. Based on the starters, there is just no way that Andy Pettitte should be –1.34 chalk over Francisco Liriano. Liriano’s skill set is as close as ever to his pre-Tommy John surgery levels. He’s already gone through a three game stretch in which he did not allow a single earned run in 23 straight innings. He’s 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA and has not allowed a single jack all season. Furthermore, the Twins are 8-2 against southpaws and while Pettitte has tremendous numbers thus far, you know it’s only a matter of time before he throws in a few stinkers. This could be that day, as he missed his last start due to elbow inflammation. Also note that Pettitte’s numbers at the new Yankee Stadium are worse than at any other park in the majors, with the exception of Camden Yards, in which he’s amassed at least 70 innings. The Yanks are dangerous as hell and they can beat anyone anytime but the Twins are no pushovers and certainly they’re undervalued in this one contest. Play: Minnesota +1.26 (Risking 2 units).
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></o>Boston –1½ +1.02 over DETROIT http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o
></o>Don’t forget about Jon Lester. He got off to a rough start but is one of the best lefties in the game and one of the best overall, period. He works quickly and efficiently and he throws strikes. Since that rough start, Lester has allowed only three earned runs in his last four starts. Over that span, he also has a nice 30/10 K/BB. This is his first start ever at Comerica Park and it’s very pitcher-friendly to dominant hurlers like Lester. The Red Sox are definitely warming up and can be considered one of the hottest teams in the majors right now. They’ve won four of five and eight of its last 11. They also possess one of the most patient line-ups in the business and they’ll absolutely make you throw strikes. That could be a problem for Dontrelle Willis, as he can never be trusted to throw strikes. It’s also worth noting that 24% of balls hit off Willis have been line-drives and that’s a sure sign of big trouble. Willis also missed his last start because of the flu and frankly, it would be a shock if he succeeded in this outing. Don’t miss this one. Play: Detroit –1½ +1.02 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>NY Mets +1.11 over FLORIDA http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o
></o>John Maine gave up 15 earned runs in his first three starts but has only given up six earned runs in his last four. If you remove his April 13 start at Coors Field, his ERA drops from 5.45 to 3.69. He has 34 K’s in 34 frames and is clearly a better pitcher than Nate Robertson. Robertson has made it six innings only twice in his seven starts this year. He is walking too many batters and RH batters are hitting .301 against him this year. Robertson hasn’t really put together anything of consequence since 2006, and is a poor bet here. Jeff Francoeur and David Wright are a combined .385 against southpaws this year and Robertson might be the worst lefty they’ll have faced all season. Mets plus anything here is a bonus. Play: NY Mets +1.11 (Risking 2 units).
