MLB 5/17 Plays

buffettgambler · May 17, 2010

Will add later
No time for write ups for the 4pm games

Large
Braves -146

Upper Medium
Red Sox +170

Stabler12 · May 17, 2010

Thanks and GL, BG! I take it at the earlier price that Boston was a large play?

buffettgambler · May 17, 2010

Stabler12 said:
Thanks and GL, BG! I take it at the earlier price that Boston was a large play?

No, the drop in price was coincided with a increase in fair value for the Red Sox.

buffettgambler · May 17, 2010

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Large
Cardinals -154
After losing five of their last six, the market is overreacting to the downtick on what I think is the best team in the NL. At the same time, they continue to inflate the Nationals, a team I think are pretenders. Stamen looks to be overmatched here. He is a crafty pitcher that is above average at getting hitters to swing outside the strike zone. He lacks overpowering stuff. So when he faces patient lineups that will not go out of the zone, he will struggle. This is the reason for the continual disconnect between his WHIP and ERA. The Cardinals provide a tough matchup for his pitching style. Stamen has really struggled on the road this season, and is backed by a below average bullpen. The Nationals lineup is coming back down to earth. Being without Dunn or Mogan will not help matters. Lohse has not looked good so far this season, but this may be a good spot for him to put forth a good start. He has actually pitched well at home this year, and had a large disparity between home and away production last year. While he is on a downtick, it is much better to back him at home. He has struggled mostly against left handed hitters, and the Nationals lack talent from the left side. Bullpen edge goes to the Cardinals
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Upper Medium
Rockies +114
The Rockies continue to be on the cheap. It won’t be long, as they are slowly playing to their potential, and once the market starts to realize how solid this team is, they will once again put a premium on their price tag. But don’t expect that to happen against a secularly overvalued Cubs team. Wells appears to be in a bit of a sophomore slump. He is getting hit harder and hit more. The Rockies have the best lineup in the National league, and their depth should give problems for Wells. He got roughed up last year by the Rockies and is backed by a subpar bullpen. The Cubs lineup continues to struggle and has shown no signs of breaking out. Without Soto or Byrd, their worth decreases even more. Cook matches up well against a lineup that lacks talent from the left side. Bullpen edge to the Rockies.

NyMets609 · May 17, 2010

like the Cardinals tonight too. like the line up they have put out with Lopez leading off.

what do you think about the Giants tonight? I think San Diego is finally showing their true colors and Richard is beginning to become more and more hittable with each game and more advanced scouting on him, he absolutely lives and dies on the outside corner, the Giants should be able to exploit this being they just saw him a few days ago.

though I don't trust the Giants line up or Bocci's decision making.

Stabler12 · May 17, 2010

Thanks and GL, BG. Was thinking the same thing re:Washington. They just got beat up in Denver and are still carrying a respectable price vs. St. Louis.

LouHoltz · May 17, 2010

buffettgambler said:
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Upper Medium
Rockies +114
The Rockies continue to be on the cheap. It won’t be long, as they are slowly playing to their potential, and once the market starts to realize how solid this team is, they will once again put a premium on their price tag. But don’t expect that to happen against a secularly overvalued Cubs team. Wells appears to be in a bit of a sophomore slump. He is getting hit harder and hit more. The Rockies have the best lineup in the National league, and their depth should give problems for Wells. He got roughed up last year by the Rockies and is backed by a subpar bullpen. The Cubs lineup continues to struggle and has shown no signs of breaking out. Without Soto or Byrd, their worth decreases even more. Cook matches up well against a lineup that lacks talent from the left side. Bullpen edge to the Rockies.

Just throwing it out there have you seen the Phillies lineup lately?

fugazi · May 17, 2010

I know it's not over but Gawd Atlanta is fucking frustrating team to bet on. They've already batted into 3 double plays to end each inning

TheHungerForMore · May 17, 2010

Surprised that you did not have a Upper Medium play on the Indians. With the different obvious valuation on Niemann between us and the Odd makers. Its currently tied 3-3 bot of 10.