"Accu"score Betting Results Spreadsheet

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May 8, 2010
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I made this spreadsheet that maybe some of you will find interesting... maybe not.

It calculates the % of wins required to break even on a money line bet and compares it to the Accuscore predicted winning %. Assuming Accuscore is accurate, it calculates the expected value of each bet and will tell you what to bet on if the EV surpasses the threshold set at the top (separate Favorite and Dog thresholds in cells P1 & P2). I also added the four columns (J-M) to calculate how many units you would have won/lost had you bet on the games. Cell M3 gives the ROI you would be at.

With the current values, the record is:
37-27 +10.78 Units

But enough of my rambling. Check it out if you want. Let me know your thoughts. I know this isn't the most promising way to make picks but at the very least, it's a nice way to track accuscore.
!~~~!
 

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Apr 15, 2010
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I did something similar, over about 350 games it was pretty far off expected value, about 30-40 units off.
 

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