Thursday's MLB Best Bets !

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Early MLB Best Bets :

Thursday, May 20Game Score Status Pick Amount

Kansas City - 12:05 PM ET Cleveland -124 500
Cleveland - Over 9 500*****

Cincinnati - 1:05 PM ET Cincinnati +142 500 *****
Atlanta - Over 7.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 1:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +107 500
Philadelphia - Over 9 500

Florida - 1:40 PM ET Florida +210 500 *****
St. Louis - Over 7.5 500 *****

Detroit - 3:35 PM ET Detroit -117 500
Oakland - Under 8.5 500 *****

Toronto - 3:40 PM ET Toronto -119 500
Seattle - Over 7 500

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The Rest of the Days Schedule posted later.......

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Baseball Betting Beat

The Houston Astros are not the worst team in baseball or the poorest wager, however do not worry, they have time to still get there. Houston is 13-26, -8.7 units, both good (and bad enough) to rank in the bottom five of Major League baseball.

The Astros could likely be the best play against team at the moment, but somehow they swept the Cardinals near The Arch in St. Louis starting back on May 11 and picked up +6.35 units.

Why is Houston so bad? This is a franchise full of neglect with owner Drayton McLane calling the shots. McLane would not have his millions if he ran his other businesses in the same manner as his baseball franchise.

McLane has always liked to overpay for his own stars, with B to C level talent he thought would help fill seats and maybe help his team win. Free agents like Carlos Lee, Jeff Kent, Andy Pettitte and Roger Clemens (he of the part-time duty in his days in southeast Texas) all received big contracts, but never produced the type of numbers over the expanse of their deals.

Lance Berkman might be 34, but his deterioration has been in full view for a couple of years for those betting baseball.

The numbers tell the story about the ‘Stros. In the National League they are last in runs scored (2.9), batting average (.228), doubles (51), home runs (20), total bases (408) and on-base percentage (.273).

To understand their ineptitude, compare those numbers to league averages, please understand not the best, just what the average NL team profile looks like. (Thru May 18)

Runs scored (4.5)
Batting average (.256)
Doubles (70)
Home runs (36)
Total bases (536)
On-base percentage (.329)

These are mind-boggling numbers for sports betting aficionados. At the aforementioned date with these number compiled, Houston did not have above average player at ONE field position (excluding pitcher) when it came to adding up these shown figures in the senior circuit, not one.

The Astros play the old-school way like a Kirby Puckett, who went to the dish hacking. One problem they don’t have a player of his talent on the roster and rank 15th in pitches taken and dead last in walks with 75. (The Giants are 15th at 118 base on balls by comparison, a 36.5 percent differential)

About the only thing Houston batters don’t do a lot of is strikeout (lowest in the NL), but they have so little patience at the plate, they don’t give opposing pitchers a chance to send them back to the bench and instead flail away at whatever is pitched.

With the poorest farm system in the big leagues according to Baseball America, one top notch pitcher in Roy Oswalt and two average to slightly above hurlers in Wandy Rodriguez and Brett Myers, prospects are not good this season will improve. Take away a 9-6 record at present against NL Central partners and the 2010 Astros are 4-20 (-16.6) against the record of the league.

The best way to sum up Houston is compare them to baseball’s best team, Tampa Bay, in one category. The Rays are 15-3 in games determined by four or more runs and the Astros are 2-13. You would think Rachel Phelps was running the team. (The Cleveland Indians owner in the movie - Major League)

I wouldn’t read too much into the Pittsburgh Pirates hovering just below .500 thus far in 2010. The Bucs have been good underdog wager at 16-21, +6.5 units; however their run differential is -102. That number is higher than last place teams Kansas City and Baltimore combined (-99) and even if Pittsburgh was like a bank and could write off it’s bad debt, they would still be the worst in baseball tossing away 20-0 meltdown to Milwaukee.

I just love the so-called experts who have fallen in love with saying starting pitching doesn’t mean what it used to. They site pitch counts, the lack of complete games and greater dependence on bullpens.
While those points are mildly valid, their reference point is like that of politician selectively choosing quasi-numbers and facts to make a point.

The Los Angeles Dodgers started the year with one of the best offenses in the National League, yet on the morning of May 9 were 13-17 and being written off for their lack of pitching.

Joe Torre’s starting pitchers finally found a groove and in harmony with those in the bullpen, put together a streak in which they conceded 2.0 runs per game and the Dodgers won nine in a row, while a bit over average in runs scored at 5.5 compared to 5.2 for the season.

What changed was the starters began throwing strikes, which led to more innings of success with lower pitch counts. This helped setup the pen with pitchers in their normal roles of coming in the game in the seventh, eighth or ninth innings, which is their comfort zone and once success was achieved, the confidence swelled among the entire staff.

The days of complete games and high pitch counts are gone; nevertheless if the starting pitcher can take a tie game or lead into the final three innings, most baseball bettors are positioned to earn a victory.

Always check the latest numbers at Bookmaker.com.
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Thursday Day Tips

Prior to the start of interleague this weekend, the Thursday baseball card features a handful of solid afternoon matchups. Three contests inside the National League showcase NL East versus NL Central showdowns, including red-hot Cincinnati battling Atlanta.

Reds at Braves - 1:05 PM EST

Cincinnati is turning the corner inside the NL Central by winning nine of eleven to take the lead inside the division. The Reds send out prized rookie Mike Leake to the mound, while the Braves counter with fireballer Tommy Hanson.

Leake (4-0, 3.09) has been fantastic through his first seven starts of the season, compiling quality outings on seven occasions. The Reds are 6-1 when Leake takes the mound, including victories over the Cardinals and Cubs his last two outings. The ex-Arizona State righty has made just two starts on the road, but Leake went seven innings in each game at Houston and Pittsburgh.

The run support for Hanson (3-3, 2.88 ERA) is hit-or-miss with the Braves scoring one run or less in three of his starts, but tallying at least six runs in three other outings. Hanson's numbers are better on the road than at home, as the righty has compiled just one quality outings in four starts at Turner Field. Hanson managed to strike out 10 in seven innings of an 11-1 loss to Arizona, while allowing a season-high five earned runs. In his only career start against the Reds, Hanson scattered three hits in six scoreless innings of a 7-0 shutout at the Great American Ballpark last June.

The Reds are 6-1 the last six games against right-handed starting pitchers, while going 6-3 to the 'under' the previous nine road contests. The Braves have won five of their last six Game 2's, dating back to the start of May.

Cubs at Phillies - 1:05 PM EST

Philadelphia continues a seven-game homestand as the Phillies wrap up their series with the Cubs. Charlie Manuel's team is 8-4 the last 12 games at Citizens Bank Park, while Chicago is goes for its fifth straight win following Wednesday's 4-1 victory.

Joe Blanton (1-2, 5.49 ERA) makes his fourth start of the season, but the righty has allowed 12 earned runs and 21 hits so far. Blanton is coming off a victory over the Brewers in his last outing, giving up six hits and five earned runs in seven innings of work. The former Oakland A's hurler shut down the Cubs last season at home, 4-1, by delivering seven innings of five-hit ball, while striking out five.

Ryan Dempster (2-4, 3.49 ERA) continues to go deep into his starts, but the Cubs are 1-5 in his last six trips to the mound. Four of those losses came as a favorite of at least $1.50 against the Pirates twice, Nationals, Astros. However, the Cubs lost each of those games by one run apiece as Dempster delivered a quality start in all four defeats. Dempster's career numbers against the Phillies are not very solid, allowing ten earned runs in his last two outings versus Philadelphia dating back to 2008.

The Cubs are 2-8 in Dempster's last ten starts as a road underdog, while five of his six starts this season have finished 'under' the total. Each team is riding nice 'under' runs with the Phillies going on an 9-2 'under' run at home and the Cubs cashing the 'under' in seven of the last nine overall.

Marlins at Cardinals - 1:40 PM EST

The Fish are trying to put the Hanley Ramirez situation behind them as the reigning NL batting champion played in Wednesday's game at St. Louis. The Cardinals send out their second ace to the mound with Adam Wainwright listed as a substantial favorite over Nate Robertson.

Wainwright (5-2, 2.48 ERA) is making his first home start since April 29, as the Cards have dropped two of his last three outings. The righty failed to turn in a quality start for the first time in eight outings this season in a 4-3 setback at Cincinnati his last time out. Wainwright allowed seven hits and four earned runs in six innings, while extending his streak to 38 consecutive starts in which he has struck out more batters than walked. The Cardinals are 3-1 in his four career starts against the Marlins, with the lone loss coming as a $2.15 home favorite last September in a 2-1 defeat.

Robertson (4-3, 4.35 ERA) has become a viable addition to the back end of the Marlins' rotation after getting acquired right before the season. The southpaw is coming off consecutive wins over the Cubs and Mets, while allowing two earned runs in each of his last three outings. The Marlins have won two of Robertson's three road starts despite Florida scoring just seven runs. Robertson has made only one start at Busch Stadium, but that came in the 2006 World Series as a member of the Tigers. The lefty was on the wrong side of a 5-0 defeat, lasting only five innings and allowing two earned runs, giving the Cards a 2-1 series advantage on their way to the title.

St. Louis owns a 25-6 record since 2007 when Wainwright starts following a loss in his last outing. Florida has sailed 'over' the total in eight of 12 games when facing a right-handed starter after a left-hander, as the Marlins are coming off a 5-1 win over rookie lefty Jamie Garcia in the series opener.
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LHP - Good and Bad

The baseball season is moving right along with the first round of interleague series starting on Friday. There are many teams that are developing certain traits against particular types of pitching, and this week we'll focus on six clubs that have skewed positively or negatively against left-handed starting pitchers. One of the three best teams versus southpaw starters is a surprise on this list that sits atop their division out west.

Good:

San Diego Padres (7-2)

The Padres have turned many heads this season with their impressive start, while leading the competitive NL West. San Diego has done much of its damage against southpaws, racking up a 4-2 mark as an underdog. Bud Black's squad isn't afraid of facing lefties on the road, either, with a 4-1 ledger.

San Diego has beaten Jonathan Sanchez twice and Barry Zito, as the Padres are 6-0 this season against the Giants. The Padres were shut down by Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers on Saturday, 4-1 as short home underdogs. The most interesting part behind San Diego's success in this category is the Padres are hitting just .226 as a team, including a .235 average from Adrian Gonzalez and a .186 average from Chase Headley.

The Padres will get to face their fair share of left-handers this week, beginning with Sanchez and the Giants on Tuesday. San Diego gets a rematch with Kershaw at Dodger Stadium on Thursday, followed by a pair of lefties this weekend. The Padres head to Seattle for the start of interleague against Cliff Lee on Friday and Ryan Rowland-Smith on Saturday, which will no doubt be two 'under' opportunities.

Minnesota Twins (8-3)

The Twins jumped out of the gate and have been slowed down when they face their arch-nemesis, the Yankees. Minnesota has performed well against southpaws, going 4-1 as a favorite and profiting as an underdog at 4-2.

As opposed to the Padres, two of Minnesota's top hitters excel against left-handed pitching. Joe Mauer is hitting at a .378 clip, while Justin Morneau is batting .365 versus southpaw pitching. Four other regulars in the lineup are hitting above .260 against lefties (Denard Span, Michael Cuddyer, Delmon Young, and Orlando Hudson), which has helped these team be successful in this spot.

Minnesota faces three southpaws this week in three different cities. The Twins will see Dana Eveland in Toronto on Monday, followed by Red Sox' southpaw Jon Lester on Friday. The first interleague opponent for the Twins is Milwaukee, who invades Target Field this weekend. Minnesota takes on the struggling Doug Davis on Friday night, who owns an ERA of 7.56 in seven starts.

Detroit Tigers (6-3)

This lineup may not impress many past Miguel Cabrera and Magglio Ordonez, but the Tigers keep finding ways to win thanks to young players stepping up. Detroit has beaten three quality left-handers over the last two weeks by knocking off Lester, CC Sabathia, and Scott Kazmir all at Comerica Park.

Cabrera is torching left-handed pitching this season with a .393 average, while Johnny Damon is hitting .333 against southpaws. The Tigers have won four of five at home versus lefty starters, while going 3-1 as an underdog in this spot.

Detroit will see only two southpaws this week, facing a pair of difficult left-handers. The Tigers host the White Sox for two games starting Monday, and will try to beat John Danks on Tuesday. The Tigers head out west on Wednesday to battle Oakland, as Dallas Braden takes the mound to try and slow down this Tigers offense.

Bad:

Los Angeles Dodgers (4-7)

The Dodgers are one of the hottest teams in baseball by winning seven straight games following a slow start. However, if you have bet on the Dodgers against left-handed starting pitchers, you would be digging out of a deep hole. Los Angeles is down 6.9 units, including home losses to Doug Davis, Chris Narveson, and Brian Burres as substantial 'chalk.'

Many of the Dodgers position players aren't necessarily struggling against left-handers, but Los Angeles played nine straight games versus right-handed starters, which has resulted in an 8-1 mark prior to Sunday's 1-0 win at San Diego. Andre Ethier (.378), Matt Kemp (.278), and James Loney (.275) have paced the Dodgers in this category, but the power outage against lefties is interesting to note. Los Angeles has hit 31 homers against right-handed pitching, but just three long balls versus southpaws.

The Dodgers face only one left-hander this week, taking on Wandy Rodriguez and the Astros at Chavez Ravine. Los Angeles will be a huge favorite in that game, but if the Dodgers are listed as reasonable 'chalk' the rest of the week against right-handed pitchers, Joe Torre's team is definitely worth a look.

Milwaukee Brewers (4-7)

Not much is going right for Ken Macha's team, who owns the worst home record in baseball. Facing left-handed starters is another hurdle for this team to jump, even though the Brew Crew is batting .260 against southpaws.

The Brewers are 3-5 as a home favorite in this situation, including three losses as $1.40 or higher 'chalk.' Ryan Braun is hitting a solid .378 against lefties, but Prince Fielder is batting just .213 with 15 strikeouts. The 'over' is cashing a nice rate recently in five of the last six versus southpaw starters.

Milwaukee will see just two left-handers this week, both at PNC Park against the Pirates. The Brewers face Brian Burres on Wednesday followed by Paul Maholm on Thursday. The Pirates beat the Brewers when Maholm started back on April 28 in extra-innings, as Pittsburgh cashed as $1.40 underdogs.

Chicago Cubs (4-8)

The Cubs have certainly been an enigma this season with the demotion of Carlos Zambrano to the bullpen, while Derrek Lee and Aramis Ramirez have struggled mightily at the plate. Chicago hasn't fared much better against southpaws, dropping a pair of home games as 'chalk' of nearly $2.00 in the weekend series against Pittsburgh lefties.

Lee (.179) and Ramirez (.175) are not contributing in a positive way in the middle of the Chicago lineup, but Marlon Byrd (.467) and Alfonso Soriano (.368) have pulled their collective weight against southpaw pitching. The Cubs have lost four games this season as a favorite of at least $1.80 versus lefties, so that's something to keep an eye out for as the season continues.

Chicago will face ex-Cub Jamie Moyer on Wednesday when it faces Philadelphia, followed by a matchup against young lefty Derek Holland and the Rangers on Friday.
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Evening Games:

Tampa Bay - 7:05 PM ET Tampa Bay +134 500 *****
NY Yankees - Over 9 500

Milwaukee - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +107 500 *****
Pittsburgh - Under 9.5 500

NY Mets - 7:05 PM ET Washington -114 500
Washington - Over 9 500

Minnesota - 7:10 PM ET Boston -132 500
Boston - Under 9 500 *****

Baltimore - 8:05 PM ET Texas -138 500
Texas - Over 9.5 500 *****

Colorado - 8:05 PM ET Houston +131 500 *****
Houston - Under 6.5 500

LA Angels - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -117 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 9 500

San Francisco - 9:40 PM ET San Francisco -168 500
Arizona - Under 7.5 500 *****

San Diego - 10:10 PM ET San Diego +150 500 *****
LA Dodgers - Under 7 500
 

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NL West skirmish has one-sided system

The Los Angeles Dodgers had their nine-game win streak snapped at an inopportune time, losing last night to division leading San Diego 10-5. The Padres were the first team in ten games to rip thru the Dodgers pitching, who had allowed 18 total runs during their scorching streak.


Los Angeles (22-18, -1.7 units) will attempt to begin another charge at first place and split the quick two game series against San Diego.

The Dodgers defense has been a source of concern all year, ranking 11th in the National League. However they have tightened up all aspects of their game and have gone six contests without an error.

Manager Joe Torre will hand the horse-hide over to Clayton Kershaw (3-2, 3.55 ERA, 1.358 WHIP), which should put smile on everyone face (along with video below) preferring the home team for sports betting purposes. Kershaw has allowed one run in his last two starts, permitting five hits over 15 innings, striking out 16 opposing batters. Equally as important for him the left-hander is giving up just five walks.




L.A. is 29-8 in home games after a loss and will face Kevin Correia (4-3, 4.35, 1.220) who Kershaw and the Dodgers downed 4-1 last Saturday in San Diego. Correia allowed the four runs over 5 1/3 innings in the defeat while attempting to overcome the emotional scars of losing his younger brother, Trevor, who died after falling from a 60-foot cliff while hiking on Santa Cruz Island.

Bookmaker.com has Los Angeles as -158 money line favorites, despite having Andre Either out the lineup and possibly Manny Ramirez, who injured his left foot before yesterday’s contest and was scratched from the starting nine and later was used as pinch-hitter. Nevertheless, the situation is quite favorable for the home team in this I-5 conflict.

Play On favorites with a money line of -125 to -175, after three straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher who gave up one or fewer earned runs in his last two outings.

This baseball system is 62-16, 79.5 percent since Daniel Powter’s No. 1 Billboard hit “Bad Day” (2006) and the margin of victory has been decisive, with the favored club winning by 2.4 runs per contest.

Everything points to a Dodgers triumph with L.A. 33-13 in May games since last year.
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Today’s Betting Information

In afternoon baseball action, Detroit has moved from a -135 road favorite to -115 or less at most sports books as they go for the sweep of Oakland. Both clubs have a sharp daytime record with the Tigers 14-6 and the Athletics 10-5. However, those betting on sports should be aware, off Oakland’s 5-1 loss last night; they are 7-0 at home after scoring two runs or less this season.

A tremendous pitching matchup in Houston this evening with Ubaldo Jimenez of Colorado facing Roy Oswalt. The Rockies started as -170 betting choice but has since moved to -150 or below. In trying to determine why, we find Jimenez and Colorado 4-15 trying to break a two or more game losing streak and Oswalt 7-1 with exquisite 1.78 ERA against the Rocks.

Another quality pitching matchup is in Boston with Jon Lester facing off against the Twins and Francisco Liriano. Oddmakers put out a total of nine and the wagering public has taken it down to eight at this juncture. Lester and the Red Sox are 23-5 in night home games with average score of 7.8 runs per contest and the BoSox are 30-12 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher who throws more than 6.5 innings per start.

Hockey Betting Nuggets

The Montreal Canadiens are 8-40 when they score two or less goals this season.

MLB Betting Nuggets

Play Under on teams likes the Angels when the total is 9 to 9.5, ice cold batting average of .225 or worse over their last 15 games, against opponent starting a pitcher who walked one or less hitters each of his last two outings. (63-27, L13Y)

The Florida Marlins are 7-0 (+12.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last two seasons.

The Dodgers skipper Joe Torre is 5-14 after his team has allowed 10 or more runs since moving to L.A.
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MLB
Dunkel


Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia

The Phillies look to rebound from yesterday's 4-1 loss and build on their 8-3 record in Joe Blanton's last 11 starts as a home favorite. Philadelphia is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 20

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Atlanta
(1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 16.558; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.629
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+135); Under

Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Dempster) 15.550; Philadelphia (Blanton) 16.421
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Over

Game 955-956: Florida at St. Louis (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Robertson) 14.734; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.350
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-230); Under

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Narveson) 14.627; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 13.600
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-120); Under

Game 959-960: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Maine) 14.434; Washington (Atilano) 15.797
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120); Under

Game 961-962: Colorado at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 14.083; Houston (Oswalt) 15.643
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+130); Over

Game 963-964: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.805; Arizona (Lopez) 15.573
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+160); Under

Game 965-966: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Correia) 15.950; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.837
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-165); Under

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Cleveland (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.621; Cleveland (Talbot) 15.365
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-130); Under

Game 969-970: Detroit at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Bonderman) 14.726; Oakland (Ross) 15.215
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Under

Game 971-972: Toronto at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 16.317; Seattle (Vargas) 14.053
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-125); Under

Game 973-974: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.653; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 16.320
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Under

Game 975-976: Minnesota at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano); 15.966; Boston (Lester) 16.926
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under

Game 977-978: Baltimore at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 14.365; Texas (Feldman) 16.322
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-140); Over

Game 979-980: LA Angels at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 15.406; White Sox (Peavy) 16.590
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-130); Under
 

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Write-Up



Thursday, May 20

Hot pitchers

-- Leake is 3-0, 2.77 in his last four starts. Atlanta is 5-0 with Hanson if they score more than one run; they've scored total of one run in his three losses.
-- Wainwright has a 3.15 RA in his last three starts.
-- Atilano is 3-0, 3.90 in five starts this season.
-- Jimenez is 7-1, 1.12 in eight starts this season. Oswalt has 2.51 RA in his last six starts, but Astros scored seven runs in his last four.
-- Lopez has a 2.86 RA in his last three starts.
-- Lincecum is 5-0, 1.76 in eight starts this season.
-- Kershaw is 2-0, 0.60 in his last couple starts.

-- Talbot is 5-1, 3.19 in his last six starts.
-- Romero is 3-0, 3.78 in his last five starts. Vargas is 2-1, 2.34 in his last five starts.
-- Bronx is 7-0 when Pettitte starts (5-0, 1.79). Shields is 3-1, 3.00 in his last five starts.
-- Lester is 3-0, 1.82 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Dempster is 0-4, 4.34 in his last four starts. Blanton is 1-2, 5.49 in three starts this season.
-- Robertson is 2-3, 6.48 in his last five starts.
-- Narveson has a 4.43 RA in four starts this season. Maholm has 5.52 RA in his last five starts.
-- Maine is 0-2, 6.35 in his last three starts.
-- Correia is 1-2, 6.06 in his last three starts.

-- Hochevar is 1-2, 8.88 in his last five starts.
-- Bonderman is 0-2, 7.84 in his last six starts. Ross allowed three runs in 3.2 IP (62 PT) in his first big league start.
-- Liriano is 1-2, 5.21 in his last three starts.
-- Feldman is 0-4, 9.20 in his last six starts. Orioles lost last five Matusz starts (0-3, 3.77).
-- Buehrle is 0-5, 7.43 in his last six starts. ESantana has a 5.68 RA in his last two starts.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Dempster starts.
-- All four Robertson road starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- Four of five Atilano starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Jimenez starts.
-- Five of last seven Lincecum starts went over the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 San Diego games; 7-3-1 in last 11Dodger games.

-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Cleveland home games.
-- Three of last four Bonderman starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of seven Vargas starts stayed under the total.
-- Last three Shields starts stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Lester starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of Rangers' last five games stayed under the total; six of last seven Feldman starts went over.
-- Three of four Buehrle home starts went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Cubs won last four games, giving up a total of eight runs.
-- Braves won seven of their last nine games. Reds won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Pirates won four of their last six games.
-- Marlins won eight of their last ten games. Cardinals are 9-5 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Dodgers won nine of their last ten games.
-- Giants won four of their last six games.

-- Blue Jays won 15 of their last 20 games.
-- Red Sox are 3-1 in second game of home series if they won the opener.
-- Rays won seven of their last eight games. Bronx won 12 of its last 16 home games.
-- Rangers won 11 of their last 13 home games.
-- Royals won five of their last seven games.
-- A's are 9-4 in their last thirteen home games.

Cold teams
-- Phillies lost their last two games, scoring one run in each.
-- Mets lost nine of their last 11 games. Nationals lost five of their last six games.
-- Brewers lost their last nine games, outscored 68-31.
-- Arizona lost nine of its last twelve games.
-- Padres lost four of their last six games.
-- Astros lost five of their last six games. Colorado lost five of its last six road games.

-- Indians lost six of their last seven home games.
-- Twins lost four of their last six games.
-- Orioles lost four of their last five games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five home games. Angels lost ten of their last thirteen road contests.
-- Tigers lost four of their last six road games.
-- Mariners lost 15 of their last 18 games.

Umpires
-- Cin-Atl-- Underdog won last three Barksdale games.
-- Chi-Phil-- Last five Hohn games stayed under the total.
-- Fla-StL-- Favorites won last five Gibson games.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Five of last seven Hirschbeck games stayed under total.
-- NY-Wsh-- Four of last five Tschida games stayed under the total.
-- Colo-Hst-- Under is 5-3 in Nauert games this season.
-- SF-Az-- Last six Wegner games went over the total.
-- SD-LA-- Road team won five of six Crawford games.

-- KC-Clev-- Under is 5-2-1 in Foster games this season.
-- Det-A's-- Average total in last four Dimuro games: 6.9.
-- Tor-Sea-- Three of last four McClelland games went over te total.
-- TB-NY-- Five of seven Vanover games stayed under the total.
-- Min-Bos-- Three of last four Runge games stayed under the total.
-- Blt-Tex-- Five of last six Bucknor games stayed under the total.
-- LA-Chi-- Three of last four Cousins games went over the total.
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Thursday, May 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CLEVELAND
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

1:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PHILADELPHIA
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games

1:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ATLANTA
Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

1:40 PM
FLORIDA vs. ST. LOUIS
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:35 PM
DETROIT vs. OAKLAND
Detroit is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

3:40 PM
TORONTO vs. SEATTLE
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Toronto is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

7:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PITTSBURGH
Milwaukee is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
Tampa Bay is 5-11 SU in their last 16 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. WASHINGTON
NY Mets are 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
NY Mets are 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. BOSTON
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

8:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TEXAS
Baltimore is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Texas
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Texas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore

8:05 PM
COLORADO vs. HOUSTON
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games on the road
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games

9:40 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco

10:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
San Diego is 5-11 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home
LA Dodgers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games
 

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Thursday, May 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds (-165, 7.5)

The first-place Cincinnati Reds don't need much relief after taking a Leake ... in the first round of the 2009 draft, that is.

Rookie righty Mike Leake is off to an impressive 4-0 start (perhaps more importantly, 6-1 against the money line) with a team-best 3.09 ERA and has not thrown fewer than six innings in each of his seven starts. He came straight to the majors after starring for four seasons at Arizona State.

"I'm passed being surprised," manager Dusty Baker said of the rookie sensation. "Just do your thing."

Beyond his effectiveness, Leake's ability to stay on the mound has avoided the need for relying too heavily on a shaky bullpen, which is overrated considering the team has won 10 games in their last at-bat this season.

It's rare for a rookie not have have a breakdown against big-league hitting. It's a good thing the Braves aren't big-league hitters. After their 11-run explosion against Arizona on Saturday they scored just six runs in their next three games and rank in the bottom third in batting average, home runs and RBIs.

Look for Leake to make it rain against the light-hitting Braves.

Pick: Reds


Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates (105, 9)


The Brewers and Pirates play today for the seventh time this season and only one of those meetings has gone under the posted total of 9.

In fact, two of those meetings resulted in a total of 20 runs. Apparently average hitting wins out when it runs into sub-par pitching.

Expect no different today when Milwaukee's Christopher Narveson (3-1, 5.29 ERA) battles Pittsburgh's Paul Maholm (3-3, 4.40) on the mound.

Narveson was just added as a starter last month and the Brewers lost Doug Davis due to a heart condition over the weekend, further throwing their rotation out of whack.

Malholm has been hammered by the Brewers on a consistent basis. He is just 3-9 in his last 12 starts vs. Milwaukee, not including a no-decision in last month's 6-5 victory by the Brew Crew.

The Brewers, which rank in the top five in virtually every offensive category, have lost eight straight while the Pirates are 3-6 in their last nine. Both team's recent poor play makes it tough to pick a winner, but not necessarily a number.

Pick: Over
 

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Short Sheet



Thursday, 5/20/2010

CINCINNATI at ATLANTA, 1:05 PM ET
LEAKE: Cincinnati 9-3 SU after winning 3 of their last 4 games
HANSON: 10-5 Under in home games

CHICAGO CUBS at PHILADELPHIA, 1:05 PM ET WGN
DEMPSTER: 6-13 TSR in day games
BLANTON: Philadelphia 33-13 SU off BB games scoring 3 runs or less

FLORIDA at ST LOUIS, 1:40 PM ET
ROBERTSON: Florida 7-0 SU as a road underdog of +175 to +200
WAINWRIGHT: St. Louis 21-11 Under as a favorite

MILWAUKEE at PITTSBURGH, 7:05 PM ET
NARVESON: Milwaukee 2-9 SU off 3+ division games
MAHOLM: 13-7 TSR vs. division opponents

NY METS at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
MAINE: Mets 15-39 SU away off an Under
ATILANO: Washington 10-3 SU after losing 2 of their last 3 games

COLORADO at HOUSTON, 8:05 PM ET
JIMENEZ: 4-15 TSR pitching off BB team losses
OSWALT: 15-4 TSR vs. NL West opponents

SAN FRANCISCO at ARIZONA, 9:40 PM ET
LINCECUM: San Francisco 17-5 SU after having 4 or less base hits
LOPEZ: Arizona 5-15 SU at home in May

SAN DIEGO at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
CORREIA: 17-9 TSR as an underdog of +150 or less
KERSHAW: 10-17 TSR in night games

KANSAS CITY at CLEVELAND, 12:05 PM ET
HOCHEVAR: Kansas City 7-21 SU off a win by 4+ wins
TALBOT: Cleveland 15-4 SU at home on Thursdays

DETROIT at OAKLAND, 3:35 PM ET
BONDERMAN: Detroit 17-31 SU away off a win
ROSS: Oakland 7-0 SU at home after scoring 2 runs or less

TORONTO at SEATTLE, 3:40 PM ET
ROMERO: Toronto 8-1 SU away with a line of +125 to -125
VARGAS: Seattle 3-14 SU in May

TAMPA BAY at NY YANKEES, 7:05 PM ET MLBTV
SHIELDS: Tampa Bay 10-1 SU away off an Over
PETTITTE: Yankees 8-1 Over off 3+ division games

MINNESOTA at BOSTON, 7:10 PM ET
LIRIANO: Minnesota 10-19 SU after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
LESTER: 30-8 TSR in home games

BALTIMORE at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
MATUSZ: Baltimore 15-31 SU vs. AL West opponents
FELDMAN: Texas 32-15 SU in May

LA ANGELS at CHI WHITE SOX, 8:10 PM ET
SANTANA: 8-1 TSR as an underdog of +150 or less
BUEHRLE: White Sox 5-14 SU off an Under

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
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Long Sheet


Thursday, May 20


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (23 - 17) at ATLANTA (20 - 20) - 1:05 PM
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. TOMMY HANSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 23-17 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 496-574 (+52.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 23-17 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 74-72 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 178-186 (-37.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-47 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-47 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 33-35 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

TOMMY HANSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HANSON is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (19 - 22) at PHILADELPHIA (24 - 15) - 1:05 PM
RYAN DEMPSTER (R) vs. JOE BLANTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 102-100 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 320-356 (-91.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 161-221 (-64.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 9-21 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 8-16 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 102-100 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 81-76 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 517-542 (-131.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
DEMPSTER is 15-24 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 6-15 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 6-13 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 15-24 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 27-26 (-14.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
DEMPSTER is 3-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.617.
His team's record is 6-8 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-2. (+9.9 units)

JOE BLANTON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BLANTON is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 0.947.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (22 - 19) at ST LOUIS (23 - 18) - 1:40 PM
NATE ROBERTSON (L) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ROBERTSON is 30-65 (-32.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 43-20 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 43-20 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 21-6 (+13.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 25-8 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 193-171 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 7-0 (+12.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 54-45 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 51-43 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 32-24 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 57-50 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-0 (+1.5 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

NATE ROBERTSON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ROBERTSON is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.20 and a WHIP of 1.898.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. FLORIDA since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 2-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 3-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

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MILWAUKEE (15 - 25) at PITTSBURGH (18 - 22) - 7:05 PM
CHRIS NARVESON (L) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 15-25 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-25 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-16 (-9.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 43-56 (-21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 38-31 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MAHOLM is 19-6 (+13.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MAHOLM is 13-7 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 32-21 (+16.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-4 (+0.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

CHRIS NARVESON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
NARVESON is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MAHOLM is 3-5 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.479.
His team's record is 6-9 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-6. (+1.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (19 - 22) at WASHINGTON (21 - 20) - 7:05 PM
JOHN MAINE (R) vs. LUIS ATILANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 65-87 (-32.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 36-58 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 52-81 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-20 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-20 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 16-13 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 89-163 (-45.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 (+5.5 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JOHN MAINE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MAINE is 8-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.213.
His team's record is 10-4 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.5 units)

LUIS ATILANO vs. NY METS since 1997
ATILANO is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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COLORADO (19 - 21) at HOUSTON (14 - 26) - 8:05 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. ROY OSWALT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 72-138 (-49.2 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 61-131 (-47.8 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
HOUSTON is 91-82 (+19.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 179-206 (-52.1 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
OSWALT is 18-29 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
JIMENEZ is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.378.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

ROY OSWALT vs. COLORADO since 1997
OSWALT is 7-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.78 and a WHIP of 1.075.
His team's record is 8-2 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (22 - 17) at ARIZONA (17 - 24) - 9:40 PM
TIM LINCECUM (R) vs. RODRIGO LOPEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LOPEZ is 84-73 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 110-91 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 110-91 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 729-615 (+88.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 81-62 (+18.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-36 (+18.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 87-116 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 44-55 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 5-15 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 87-116 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 30-40 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 121-141 (-33.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 31-54 (-26.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 59-89 (-30.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LINCECUM is 5-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.87 and a WHIP of 0.876.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.9 units)

RODRIGO LOPEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.929.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (24 - 16) at LA DODGERS (22 - 18) - 10:10 PM
KEVIN CORREIA (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 33-13 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 58-30 (+18.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 89-59 (+18.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 29-8 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-16 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 24-16 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 17-9 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 50-48 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-4 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CORREIA is 23-17 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 23-17 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 33-26 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 11-5 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 5-14 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
KERSHAW is 10-17 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CORREIA is 3-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.399.
His team's record is 5-3 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.0 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
KERSHAW is 3-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.76 and a WHIP of 1.248.
His team's record is 5-3 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (16 - 25) at CLEVELAND (15 - 23) - 12:05 PM
LUKE HOCHEVAR (R) vs. MITCH TALBOT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 81-122 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 72-105 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-4 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 40-42 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 80-120 (-37.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 64-91 (-30.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 41-55 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 73-107 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 57-90 (-33.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 1-4 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.579.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

MITCH TALBOT vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (23 - 17) at OAKLAND (20 - 21) - 3:35 PM
JEREMY BONDERMAN (R) vs. TYSON ROSS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 121-137 (-35.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-31 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 70-70 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 172-203 (-54.1 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JEREMY BONDERMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BONDERMAN is 3-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.309.
His team's record is 5-3 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.5 units)

TYSON ROSS vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (25 - 17) at SEATTLE (14 - 26) - 3:40 PM
RICKY ROMERO (L) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 57-69 (-36.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
TORONTO is 25-17 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 14-6 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TORONTO is 13-5 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
TORONTO is 13-4 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TORONTO is 10-3 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
TORONTO is 10-1 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SEATTLE is 14-26 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 3-14 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
SEATTLE is 13-24 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 6-19 (-14.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

RICKY ROMERO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
ROMERO is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.11 and a WHIP of 1.865.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

JASON VARGAS vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (29 - 11) at NY YANKEES (25 - 15) - 7:05 PM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. ANDY PETTITTE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 41-49 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 76-35 (+26.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 77-30 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 41-12 (+19.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 77-30 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 93-47 (+28.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 38-13 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PETTITTE is 32-12 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PETTITTE is 22-7 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 29-11 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 16-4 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 7-0 (+7.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 8-0 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 16-4 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TAMPA BAY is 12-2 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 21-7 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 98-85 (-50.1 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SHIELDS is 1-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.77 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-9 (-8.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.7 units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PETTITTE is 16-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.437.
His team's record is 19-9 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-20. (-13.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (24 - 16) at BOSTON (21 - 20) - 7:10 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 23-44 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 55-24 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 30-8 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 30-8 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 23-5 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 75-54 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. BOSTON since 1997
LIRIANO is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

JON LESTER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LESTER is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.47 and a WHIP of 1.775.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (13 - 28) at TEXAS (23 - 18) - 8:05 PM
BRIAN MATUSZ (L) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 77-126 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 30-72 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 16-46 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 110-93 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 32-15 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 107-84 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 79-64 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 16-6 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)


BRIAN MATUSZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
MATUSZ is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
FELDMAN is 3-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.132.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (19 - 23) at CHI WHITE SOX (16 - 23) - 8:10 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BUEHRLE is 109-57 (+30.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 109-57 (+30.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 121-92 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 56-48 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 111-84 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 25-14 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 37-25 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 53-30 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-23 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-16 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SANTANA is 3-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.60 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-3.9 units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BUEHRLE is 3-6 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 9-9 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-7. (+2.3 units)
 

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