LightsOut MLB 5/22

LightsOut56

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• May 22, 2010

• #1

Record 60-48 (+19 units)

Will explain some info later, very tired and need some sleep, but I just finished analyzing every aspect of a game I absolutely love. Yesterday I pulled the trigger and lost some good juice by not waiting, hopefully that wont happen again today. I felt really good about the past two plays Ive made, and feel just as good about this one. BoL

*9 TB Rays ML -150 List Niemann

I got some crucial info on this game and feel the line should be -200 TB. After a good nights sleep the Rays should be ready to roll today! Ive had this game on my radar for a few days and can't believe the line is so low. BoL

 

LightsOut56

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• May 22, 2010

• #2

Yesterday I hit my biggest play of the year, but still felt a little unsatisfied. One, I could have hit the Braves RL and made a lot more money, two I could have waited and got a better line, but most important I went very small on interleague and cleaned up. Absolutely loved the Twins yesterday, and didn't play them large basically because I had over 25% of my bankroll on another game. Shoulda woulda coulda will make you go crazy, but every game just went right for me yesterday. The only game I missed yesterday out of the entire board was the TB Rays in a 2-1 affair. Today should be a different story for TB and I'm about to tell everyone why I think so after I eat some lunch!

 

HacheMan

hacheman@therx.com

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• May 22, 2010

• #3

Best of luck Lights Out

 

LightsOut56

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• May 22, 2010

• #4

Where should I start with so much simple info favoring the Rays, I'll start with wittle Wandy Wodriguez. Wandy is a good pitcher and always has a chance for a QS, but today his chance's IMO are slim. If the Ray's line-up is the same as last game, Crawford will be batting #2, where hitters are batting .652 off Wandy at the #2 spot. That's good news for the Houston native who will see some good pitches to hit. Gets worse for Wandy, #3 hitters are hitting .300 and #4 hitters .421 off Wandy this year, and the way Zobrist is playing right now that could be scary. Right bats are already hitting Wandy a solid .315, I look for Longoria and Zobrist to have good games at the plate off Wandy. The stats get worse for Wandy, who is letting batters hit .409 on 0-0 counts, and .429 on 1-1 counts. Obviously those stats get worse when he's behind, and are real bad with runners on. With runners on, hitters are batting .361, runners in scoring position .429, and runners in scoring position with 2 outs, .400. These numbers show one thing, Wandy is not clutch, and with bases juiced hitters are 1.000, the Rays seem to always get the bases loaded and if so I look for them to bust this thing wide open.

 

LightsOut56

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• May 22, 2010

• #5

I have the NL central as the weakest in the league, and the Asstros at the bottom of the barrel. The AL east, like always, is the best in baseball, with TB Rays being the cream of the crop. Your telling me the best team in baseball right now going against the worst team, is only a -150 fav?? The best road team in the MLB going against a team who is 9-16 at home, is only -150? Now for Niemann, this Texas giant, and hometown boy is absolute fire right now. I can't see the Asstros getting 1 run of Jeff, who will be pitching in front of a crowd that loves him, in his hometown. Unlike Wandy, Jeff is clutch and consistent. The meat of line-ups can't hit Jeff, #3 hitters are batting .182 and #4 a whopping .091. Unlike Wandy, Jeff is money with runners on .224 and in scoring position .233, and with no one on .232. That's some consistency for you, and today Jeff should be dominant. Its like night and day comparing these two pitchers and teams, all Rays no doubt about it!!! BoL

 

MikeyHoops

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• May 22, 2010

• #6

on it as well, good luck!

 

LightsOut56

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• May 22, 2010

• #7

Thx, Mikey, seems too good to be true, wish this one came on at 2pm!

 

MikeyHoops

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• May 22, 2010

• #8

i agree! all my games i want to bet are on at 7pm except the twinkies!

 

LightsOut56

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• May 22, 2010

• #9

Also like the Twins again, ML, RL, and maybe even an ALT RL, BoL!!

 

LightsOut56

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• May 22, 2010

• #10

This posting 1 play a day crap is killing me....should have rated the Twins again....Also like NYY to continue their dominance over the Mets...

 

w8lifterguy

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• May 22, 2010

• #11

Two other selling points for Rays tonite.

They are 4-0 in game 2 of series after Gm1 loss.
Also, in a Niemann start after a team loss this season the Rays have won both and covered the RL in each.

Good Luck

 

LightsOut56

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• May 22, 2010

• #12

Nice, I see the Rays are 6-2 in all off Niemann's starts, this bet should be money... Would take the RL, think the RL should be good, but dating back to last year the Rays just play in a lot of 1 run games, this year they have 13 already going 7-6 in those close games.