Sawyer's 1st Inning Plays Workshop: A run to be scored in 1st inning? Let's discuss!

Sawyer

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• May 24, 2010

• #1

A run will be scored in 1st inning? or not?

Do you think this bet is nothing but a coin flip? Or you think bookies are very vulnerable in this bet (that's why TheGreek removed this prop) and this prop is a Gold Mine? Which books you use?

Let's discuss!

Let's 4 Plays on board for monday..

Leaning YES for CIN-PIT and NO for TOR-LAA.

All opinions & comments are welcome.

 

WorldNumberOne

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• #2

its not a coin flip...

you need to keep detailed records for teams and pitchers.

also doesnt hurt to know how often teams teams score against lefties

 

Sawyer

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• #3

I think so. And the best part is, you get the result of your investment in just 10 minutes!

 

MisterShady

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• #4

i love the quick return on this prop. any good ones tonight?

 

parlayallday

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I like what lazzonya has done over the years. He keeps track of the pitchers home and road record in the first inning.

 

MisterShady

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completely off topic, my apologies, but any thoughts on tonights bball game?

 

parlayallday

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Ya sawyer I would like to know too???

Of course i love the celtics tonight (im from boston) but I have a hard time backing a sweep. I want to lay a wager on the under...? any thoughts.

 

Sawyer

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I'm expecting Celtics to win.
-7 is ok for me since i'm expecting a blow out.
No plays for Total.

 

Sawyer

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parlayallday said:

I like what lazzonya has done over the years. He keeps track of the pitchers home and road record in the first inning.

Click to expand...

Searched the archieves and found it, Thanks

I'll keep an eye on Lazzonya's thread.

Btw, anyone know shark's 1st inning system? I found it in google. looks like a chase system? I dont know if its good or not.

 

parlayallday

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ive never seen but there is no one better than lazz

 

ScreaminPain

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• #11

World Number One said:

its not a coin flip...

you need to keep detailed records for teams and pitchers.

also doesnt hurt to know how often teams teams score against lefties

Click to expand...

Yes!, this is correct. For today: Score in the 1st inn.

Toronto 25.9%
B. Cecil 17.4%
Angels 27.2%
J. Saunders 23.3%

Use pythag and the probability of a run in the 1st inn. is 32%

Research the posted line and you'll know whether this is a +EV or not...depending on your books odds.

 

WorldNumberOne

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• #12

where do you come up with 17.4 % for cecil ? he has allowed a run in 2 of his 6 starts .