Monday's MLB Best Bets !

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
05/23/10 17-11-2 60.71% +4095 Detail
05/22/10 15-13-2 53.57% +260 Detail
05/21/10 11-18-1 37.93% -4665 Detail
05/20/10 15-13-2 53.57% +360 Detail
05/19/10 12-18-0 40.00% -3375 Detail
05/18/10 18-10-2 64.29% +5190 Detail
05/17/10 11-17-0 39.29% -3300 Detail
05/16/10 14-14-1 50.00% 0 Detail
05/15/10 16-15-0 51.61% +705 Detail
05/14/10 12-10-2 54.55% +590 Detail
05/13/10 7-6-0 53.85% +1485 Detail
05/12/10 13-13-0 50.00% -300 Detail
05/11/10 12-13-1 48.00% -395 Detail
05/10/10 9-8-0 52.94% +150 Detail
05/09/10 15-14-1 51.72% +20 Detail
05/08/10 18-11-0 62.07% +2840 Detail
05/07/10 13-13-0 50.00% -455 Detail
05/06/10 11-10-1 52.38% -165 Detail
05/05/10 16-13-1 55.17% +1775 Detail
05/04/10 12-15-3 44.44% -1885 Detail
05/03/10 9-10-1 47.37% -645 Detail
05/02/10 9-21-0 30.00% -6870 Detail
05/01/10 14-12-1 53.85% +2450 Detail
Totals 299-298-21 50.08% -2135

Monday, May 24Game Score Status Pick Amount

Chi. White Sox - 7:05 PM ET Cleveland +132 500 *****
Cleveland - Under 8 500

Boston - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -127 500
Tampa Bay - Over 9 500 *****

Pittsburgh - 7:10 PM ET Pittsburgh +169 500 *****
Cincinnati - Under 9.5 500

Toronto - 10:05 PM ET Toronto +119 500 *****
LA Angels - Over 9 500 *****

MLB
Short Sheet


Monday, 5/24/2010

PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
BURRES: Pittsburgh 3-22 SU as a road underdog of +150 to +175
HARANG: Cincinnati 29-10 SU at home in May

CHI WHITE SOX at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
DANKS: White Sox 19-8 SU off 3+ interleague games
MASTERSON: Cleveland 7-21 SU off 3+ interleague games

BOSTON at TAMPA BAY, 7:10 PM ET ESPN2
BUCHHOLZ: Boston 9-21 SU in dome stadiums
DAVIS: Tampa Bay 14-3 SU as a favorite of -150 or less

TORONTO at LA ANGELS, 10:05 PM ET
CECIL: Toronto 10-4 SU away off a win
SAUNDERS: Angels 14-4 Over after blowing a save

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

MLB
Long Sheet


Monday, May 24

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PITTSBURGH (19 - 25) at CINCINNATI (25 - 19) - 7:10 PM
BRIAN BURRES (L) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 36-66 (-19.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 29-69 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 179-364 (-84.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 3-22 (-17.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 30-71 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 9-30 (-17.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 14-6 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 25-19 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 29-10 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 62-44 (+25.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 25-19 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 72-66 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 63-64 (-38.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
HARANG is 7-17 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday since 1997. (Team's Record)
HARANG is 24-39 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HARANG is 13-26 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-3 (+0.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

BRIAN BURRES vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

AARON HARANG vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HARANG is 12-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.131.
His team's record is 13-8 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-11. (-3.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (18 - 25) at CLEVELAND (16 - 26) - 7:05 PM
JOHN DANKS (L) vs. JUSTIN MASTERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-23 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 10-17 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 4-10 (-8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 18-25 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 48-76 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 29-52 (-22.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 81-123 (-39.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 18-36 (-16.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 42-58 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 75-95 (-36.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 74-110 (-35.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MASTERSON is 6-18 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MASTERSON is 6-16 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MASTERSON is 0-11 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-1 (+5.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JOHN DANKS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DANKS is 2-5 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.89 and a WHIP of 1.193.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.7 units)

JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MASTERSON is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.944.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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BOSTON (24 - 21) at TAMPA BAY (32 - 12) - 7:10 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. WADE DAVIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 24-35 (-17.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-21 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-57 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 128-66 (+33.4 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 138-74 (+36.0 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 148-101 (+29.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-8 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 66-32 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-12 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 127-63 (+36.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 14-4 (+9.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-0 (+5.1 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 2-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.01 and a WHIP of 1.149.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

WADE DAVIS vs. BOSTON since 1997
DAVIS is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 10.56 and a WHIP of 2.086.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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TORONTO (26 - 20) at LA ANGELS (21 - 25) - 10:05 PM
BRETT CECIL (L) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 93-63 (+25.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 109-87 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 123-94 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 113-86 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 78-47 (+20.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SAUNDERS is 48-26 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 23-8 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 45-24 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 51-28 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 29-13 (+15.4 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 36-21 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 14-7 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TORONTO is 10-4 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
TORONTO is 11-4 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 26-20 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 15-9 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

BRETT CECIL vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

JOE SAUNDERS vs. TORONTO since 1997
SAUNDERS is 2-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.156.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

MLB


Monday, May 24

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Tips and Trends
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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays [7:10 PM ET]

Red Sox: Boston stands at 23-21 this season, yet they are in 4th place in the American League East. Such is life in the AL East, as the 3 teams ahead of the Red Sox are a combined 33 games over .500 so far this year. Boston has won 4 of their 5 games, quite a feat since their schedule has been so difficult of late. The Red Sox are 9-10 this season in road games. Boston is -4.44 units overall this season, and an even worse -11.21 units on the RL this year. Boston will send Clay Buchholz to the mound today, as he looks to continue his fine season. Buchholz is 5-3 this year, with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.43. The Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 road games against a right-handed starter. Boston is 7-0 in Buchholzs' last 7 road starts. The Red Sox are 10-1 in Buchholzs' last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his previous appearance.

Red Sox are 7-20 last 27 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%.
Over is 6-2 last 8 games against the American League East.

Key Injuries - CF Mike Cameron (abdominal) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

Rays (-130, O/U 9): Tampa Bay has been the best team in baseball for most of this year, but they are starting to appear dominant. The Rays have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, and are the only team in baseball with a winning percentage of .620% or higher. Tampa Bay is 31-12 overall this season, leading the American League East by 5 games. The Rays are 13-7 overall in home games this season. Tampa Bay is up 13.07 units overall this year, as well as 6.53 units on the run line. The Rays will send prized youngster Wade Davis to the mound today against Boston. Davis is 4-3 this year, with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.38. The Rays are 12-5 in their last 17 during game 1 of a series. Tampa Bay is 22-9 in their last 31 games against a right-handed starter. The Rays are 4-1 in Davis' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

Rays are 7-1 last 8 games against a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-1 last 8 home games against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - RF Matthew Joyce (elbow) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (OVER - Total of the Day)

MLB
Write-Up


Monday, May 24

Hot pitchers
-- Pirates won last four Burres starts (2-0, 3.63).
-- Danks has 2.54 RA in his last seven starts; White Sox lost last three, scoring total of four runs (0-3, 3.32).
-- Buchholz is 2-0, 1.88 in his last couple starts. Davis is 4-2, 2.95 in his last seven starts.
-- Angels won last three Saunders starts (2-0, 1.61). Cecil is 2-1, 2.75 in his last three road starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Harang is 2-4, 6.69 in his last seven starts.
-- Masterson is 0-4, 7.34 in his last seven starts.

Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Cincinnati games.
-- Eight of last nine Cleveland home games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Angel games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Reds won six of their last seven home games.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last nine games. Red Sox won five of last six games.
-- Angels won five of their last seven home games.

Cold teams
-- Pirates lost three of their last four games.
-- Indians lost six of their last seven games, allowing 43 runs. White Sox are 5-11 in their last 16 road games.
-- Toronto lost three of its last four games, allowing 24 runs.

MLB


Monday, May 24

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

7:10 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Boston
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

10:05 PM
TORONTO vs. LA ANGELS
Toronto is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Angels's last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto

MLB
Dunkel


Boston at Tampa Bay
The Rays look to build on their 17-6 record in their last 23 home games against Boston. Tampa Bay is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MAY 24

Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burres) 15.328; Cincinnati (Harang) 14.263
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+160); Under

Game 953-954: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.228; Cleveland (Masterson) 15.151
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+145); Over

Game 955-956: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 16.063; Tampa Bay (Davis) 17.473
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Over

Game 957-958: Toronto at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Cecil) 14.868; LA Angels (Saunders) 16.305
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Over

MLB


Monday, May 24

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
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Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians (150, 8)

Two of the lightest hitting teams in the American League square off in this one, which could be a pitchers' duel by default with the way these squads are swinging the sticks.

The Indians are ranked 11th in the 14-team AL, batting a poor .245 on the season. That number drops to .219 when they face a lefty, as they do in Chicago's Joe Danks today. The Tribe has lost six straight of their last seven outings and have not scored more than four runs in a game during that span.

Indians manager Manny Acta has tried shuffling the lineup in search of the right combination but nothing has been working lately. The numbers don't lie and the frustration is building.

"I love stats, but I don't go by stats every single day," Acta said. "If you do that, you're going to have a different lineup every day."

Fortunately for them, they face one of the few weaker swinging teams in the White Sox, who ranked 13th in the AL at .238 before being shut out 13-0 on Sunday. Cleveland's Justin Masterson handled the Chi-Sox in opening week.

With the exception of the last meeting between these two teams on April 18, a 7-4 Indians' victory, the under was 7-0-1 in their previous eight clashes. Expect that trend to continue.

Pick: Under


Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds (-180, 9.5)

Both teams play in the Midwest in relatively new stadia located on a river, but Cincinnati might as well be on another planet for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Bucs have struggled on the road against the Reds, going 1-7 in their last eight visits to the Great American Ballpark. But their road woes aren't limited to the Queen City, going 16-49 in their last 65 away games overall.

Of course, the Pirates seem to struggle no matter where they play the Reds, going 4-13 in the last 17 meetings and being swept and outscored 16-1 in a three-game home set two weeks ago.

The Reds are the National League's hottest team, winning 11 of their last 15. They rank fourth in the majors in ballpark OPS (.783) and should provide enough offense for starter Aaron Harang (2-5) to end his 2-8 home skid.

Pick: Reds

MLB


Monday, May 24

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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
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Streaking

Joe Saunders (3-5, 4.42 ERA) Los Angeles Angels

Despite getting off to a miserable 1-5 start to the season, Saunders has been on fire in his last three starts, going 2-0 with a miniscule 0.81 ERA during the stretch.

After going 0-3 with an 8.31 ERA in his previous four starts, Saunders threw just the second complete-game shutout of his career, outdueling Dallas Braden after his perfect game with a four-hit gem of his own against the Oakland A's on May 14.

"I don't know who was wearing Joe's uniform earlier in the year, but that's what we're used to," Angels manager Mike Scioscia said after the game. "He pitched a terrific game."

The southpaw showed it wasn't a fluke by following it up with a 3-2 win over the Chicago White Sox last week.Saunders has allowed just two earned runs over his last 22 1/3 innings.

Saunders got his only win in the month of April against these same Blue Jays, throwing eight innings without allowing an earned run.


Slumping

John Danks (3-3, 2.26 ERA) Chicago White Sox

With the possible exception of Roy Oswalt, no pitcher has been a bigger hard-luck loser lately than Danks, who is 0-3 over his last three starts despite a solid 2.91 ERA during that span.

Danks came out on the short end of 3-2 losses to the Los Angeles Angels and Minnesota Twins in his two most recent outings and started the slide with a 2-0 defeat to the Toronto Blue Jays. His latest loss to L.A. was a real heartbreaker, allowing a two-run homer to Torii Hunter that proved the difference.

"Basically, he made one mistake all game and Torii didn't miss it," White Sox catcher A.J. Pierzynski said of Danks. "Other than that, [Danks] was lights-out. We outhit them, 6-3, and found a way to lose. It's a shame. The way he's throwing the ball, he should have five, six or seven wins. He has been pretty money for us all year."

Danks' combined seven earned runs over 21 2/3 innings resulted in three straight defeats despite the fact that he allowed the same number of hits as he had strikeouts (18) and carried a 1.15 WHIP in that stretch.

MLB


Monday, May 24

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This Day in Baseball
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On May 24 in Baseball History...

1902 - Cleveland third baseman Bill Bradley is the A.L.'s first player to hit a home run in each of four consecutive games, a record not matched until Babe Ruth does it June 25, 1918.

1928 - In the first game of a doubleheader in Philadelphia, a record 12 future Hall of Famers take the field in the Yankees 9-7 victory over the A's. This number does not include non-playing Hall of Famers Herb Pennock and Stan Coveleski, managers Miller Huggins and Connie Mack, nor umpire Tom Connally.

1930 - Babe Ruth homers in both games of a doubleheader, giving him nine long balls in one week.

1935 - The Cincinnati Reds host the Philadelphia Phillies in the first major league night game, winning 2-1. On the initiative of Larry MacPhail, President Franklin D. Roosevelt throws the switch at the White House to turn on the lights. The Reds will play seven night games, one each against the other N.L. teams. Ben Chapman is on base seven times in the game, a major league record, on two doubles and five walks.

1940 - The Cleveland Indians edge the St. Louis Browns 3-2 in the first night game at Sportsman's Park before 24,827. Bob Feller beats Eldon Auker and adds a home run as well.

1946 - Joe McCarthy quits as Yankees manager Bill Dickey replaces him.

1979 - Billy Martin issues a public apology to Reno sportswriter Ray Hagar, with whom he brawled last November. Hagar had filed suit for assault, leading to an out-of-court settlement.

1984 - Detroit (35-5) beats California 5-1 for its 17th consecutive win on the road, breaking the A.L. record set by the 1912 Senators, and tying the major league mark set by the 1916 Giants. The Tigers will finally lose tomorrow in Seattle 7-3.

1989 - Yankees reliever Lee Guetterman gives up five runs in the ninth inning of New York's 11-4 loss to California, ending his consecutive scoreless inning streak at 30 2/3. It is the longest season-opening streak in the majors since Harry Brecheen's in 1948, and the longest season-opening streak ever by a reliever.