Week: 5/31 - 6/5: 0-0 (+0)
Total: 0-0 (+0)
Wednesday June 2, 2010:
Philadelphia Phillies +115 (400/460)
Derek Lowe travelled to Philly on May 2nd just to get rocked (5 IP, 11 H, 7 ER), but since then has been very efficient producing 3 quality starts out of 4 tries. However, Kyle Kendrick has been very inconsistent, he either gives up 0 ER or gets waxed for 4 or 5 ER. He faced the Braves on April 20th and threw 8 shut out innings of 4 hit ball. Just looking at the value in this game points me to Philly because you are getting a great offensive team at plus money due to their recent slump. Everything comes around in full swing, a vicious circle if you will, and what goes up, must come down. The Braves, in my honest opinion, are playing over their heads, and the Phils are under achieving right now. I mean c'mon, nearly every position on the all-star ballot is leading with Phils and they are playing terrible ball. I think it's time they bust out of their slump because you will not be seeing the Phils at plus money versus a mediocre pitcher (Lowe is 7-4 with a 4.9 ERA) for much longer. I think the Phils hit their turning point with Utley's lead-off doulbe in the 6th inning yesterday. From the 6th inning on yesterday they tallied 7 hits and 3 runs; they were one swing of the bat away from tieing the game in the 9th. Even Werth busted his 0-21 stretch with 2 doubles. It takes a few hits, a homer, and all of a sudden hitting was contagious again for the Phils. In no way do I feel the Phils are going to get 16 hits and 12 runs today or anything ridiculous, but I feel that Utley double was the beginning of a nice Philly run to regain a 3 or 4 game lead in the NL East. Overall, I'd say that you are getting an extremely large amount of value in the Phils at plus money versus a sub-5 ERA pitcher. I don't care who they have on the mound (especially Kendrick who has shown the ability to pitch great games, who has thrown shut out ball in 3 of his starts this season). You are getting the so called number 1 offense in the league at plus money versus a sub-5 ERA pitcher in a game that they need badly to regroup and gain control of the NL East. You would be a fool to lay 35 cents of vig as there is little value in an overachieving team. No lock by any means, but betting bases is a game of picking spots of value and this is one that I see.
Best of luck.
Total: 0-0 (+0)
Wednesday June 2, 2010:
Philadelphia Phillies +115 (400/460)
Derek Lowe travelled to Philly on May 2nd just to get rocked (5 IP, 11 H, 7 ER), but since then has been very efficient producing 3 quality starts out of 4 tries. However, Kyle Kendrick has been very inconsistent, he either gives up 0 ER or gets waxed for 4 or 5 ER. He faced the Braves on April 20th and threw 8 shut out innings of 4 hit ball. Just looking at the value in this game points me to Philly because you are getting a great offensive team at plus money due to their recent slump. Everything comes around in full swing, a vicious circle if you will, and what goes up, must come down. The Braves, in my honest opinion, are playing over their heads, and the Phils are under achieving right now. I mean c'mon, nearly every position on the all-star ballot is leading with Phils and they are playing terrible ball. I think it's time they bust out of their slump because you will not be seeing the Phils at plus money versus a mediocre pitcher (Lowe is 7-4 with a 4.9 ERA) for much longer. I think the Phils hit their turning point with Utley's lead-off doulbe in the 6th inning yesterday. From the 6th inning on yesterday they tallied 7 hits and 3 runs; they were one swing of the bat away from tieing the game in the 9th. Even Werth busted his 0-21 stretch with 2 doubles. It takes a few hits, a homer, and all of a sudden hitting was contagious again for the Phils. In no way do I feel the Phils are going to get 16 hits and 12 runs today or anything ridiculous, but I feel that Utley double was the beginning of a nice Philly run to regain a 3 or 4 game lead in the NL East. Overall, I'd say that you are getting an extremely large amount of value in the Phils at plus money versus a sub-5 ERA pitcher. I don't care who they have on the mound (especially Kendrick who has shown the ability to pitch great games, who has thrown shut out ball in 3 of his starts this season). You are getting the so called number 1 offense in the league at plus money versus a sub-5 ERA pitcher in a game that they need badly to regroup and gain control of the NL East. You would be a fool to lay 35 cents of vig as there is little value in an overachieving team. No lock by any means, but betting bases is a game of picking spots of value and this is one that I see.
Best of luck.