Saturday (6/5) Bases

Buccosabove.500 · Jun 5, 2010

Week: 5/31 - 6/6: 6-8 (+180)
Total: 6-8 (+180)

Saturday June 5, 2010:

Damn, my phone died while tailgaiting and I couldn't get my plays in. Loved Rangers with a passion yesterday and missed out. Also was in love with the over in the Rocks/D-Backs game... cmon they hang a total of 10 out there on a team that hasn't scored in 32+ innings. Vegas was fishing for unders there. Damn, Damn, Damn.

1:00 play coming in a few.

Buccosabove.500 · Jun 5, 2010

1:07

Toronto Blue Jays +115 (200/230)
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 -150 (300/200)
Romero has been lights out at home this year. In his 5 home starts, he is 4-1 with a 1.58 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. Opponents are batting a cold .157 off him in Toronto. The most runs he has given up in a home start this season was 3... that was 5 weeks ago. In his last two home starts he has given up 1 ER while grabbing complete games both times out. That's 18 IP with 1 ER, 11 hits, 19 K's and only 3 walks. Lights out. Toronto is 10-3 at home their last 13. The Yanks may have just a good record, but who have they played lately? So they lost last night, they swept the last place O's, they won the series against the powerful Indians, they won the series against the Twins (good quality series win), but then they lost 6 of their past 8 to the Mets, Rays, Red Sox, and Twins. So what have they done lately? This team is actually 14-13 since Nick Johnson went on the 60-day DL and with the heavy vig on this team they are -$540 on a $100 player. It would be okay if they were a .500 team who is usually a dog, but they rarely are. The Yanks are 3-9 in their last 12 as a favorite of -160 or lower. I am playing both the ML and the RL here. The Yanks are only +9 units on the RL this year (and you can credit that to bashing the last place O's and Indians) while the Blue Jays are +22 units on the year on the RL.

Best of luck.

:dancefool

Buccosabove.500 · Jun 5, 2010

Week: 5/31 - 6/6: 6-8 (+180)
Total: 6-8 (+180)

Saturday June 5, 2010:

1:07

Toronto Blue Jays +115 (200/230) (POSTED ABOVE - PENDING)
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 -150 (300/200) (POSTED ABOVE - PENDING)

4:10

Over 9.5 Florida Marlins/New York Mets (440/400)
The Mets have posted 4+ runs in 9 of their last 12 games and they are going against a gas can in the name of Nate Robertson. Robertson has been lit up for 4+ runs in 2 of his last 3 starts going 5.1, 6, and 6 innings each. That leaves quite a number of innings for the Marlins bullpen to pitch and they have not been great lately (5.40 ERA in last 3 games). The Marlins have been swinging the bat very well also lately averaging 5.8 runs per game during their last 5 games. They are going against Jonathen Niese who has been absolutely horrible lately. He is 0-3 his last three starts going 6 innings giving up 4 runs (off 12 hits), 4.1 innings giving up 6 runs, and 2.1 giving up 5 runs. He has not had a quality start or even went deep into games in awhile and the Mets bullpen has been piss poor lately with an ERA of 10.34 their last 3 games.

Tampa Bay Rays -140 (280/200)
Shields was torched his last time out giving up 7 ER, however, prior to that start he has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the league. Outside of his last game, he has giving up 2 ER or less in 6 of his last 7 games (the only game where he gave up more was 3 ER on the road in Yankee Stadium against the one of the best offenses in the majors). I look for him to get back on track and put a quality start on the board. The Rays are also the best road team in the majors posting an impressive 21-7 record away from Tropicana. That being said, are you really going to count on them dropping two in a row on the road after opening the season 21-6? I don't think so, not with their ace on the mound. They get the pleasure of going against Tommy Hunter who has yet to throw a pitch this season. Even when he was healthy, he was far from a great pitcher with a career ERA of 5.4 in two season with the Rangers since he was drafted in 2007. He has quite the task ahead of him, first game back after surgery he has to go against the Rays and their monster offense. I really see no value in only getting Rangers at +120 with a career average pitcher on the mound coming back after surgery in his first start against the the best team in the majors (winning percentage wise). I'll ride with the public with this one, even though I hate to, because -140 is very cheap with Shields on the mound.

Best of luck.

:dancefool

Buccosabove.500 · Jun 5, 2010

Week: 5/31 - 6/6: 6-8 (+180)
Total: 6-8 (+180)

Saturday June 5, 2010:

1:07

Toronto Blue Jays +115 (200/230) (POSTED ABOVE - WINNER)
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 -150 (300/200) (POSTED ABOVE - WINNER)

4:10

Over 9.5 Florida Marlins/New York Mets (440/400) (POSTED ABOVE - PENDING)
Tampa Bay Rays -140 (280/200) (POSTED ABOVE - PENDING)

7:05

Over 9 San Diego Padres/Philadelphia Phillies (550/500)
Really love this over as it just begs for under bets. Garland is not near as good on the road as he is at Petco. He's got a 3.53 ERA on the road and last time out on the road he was blasted for 9 hits, 2 walks, and 3 earned runs in just 5 innings against the Dodgers. Jamie Moyer is a hit or miss pitcher. Here is what he has given up in his most recent starts: 1 ER, 4 ER, 2 ER, 4 ER, 0 ER, 5 ER, and 4 ER. To me it seems like everytime he has a good, quality start, he follows it up by only going 5 innings and giving up 4 or 5 ER. Tonight would be due for a "bad" game for him. I could never have faith betting an under with him on the mound. I realize Philly has been struggling lately to produce some runs, but tonight is a good spot for them. Just as I said about yesterday's Diamondback's game. Vegas hangs a total of 10 out there on a home team that hasn't scored 1 run in 32+ innings (nearly 3.5 games). That was just begging for under money. Tonight I see the same thing. You have a good pitcher on the road vs. a mediocre pitcher at home and you see a very high total for a struggling Philly offense. You should see some fireworks from both teams tonight and I can't foresee both teams being held under 4 runs tonight. Phillies blast through their "3 runs or less scored" streak.

Pittsburgh Pirates -130 (1,040/800)
I absolutely LOVE the Pirates in this spot. Paul Maholm has worked his way into becoming the ace of this staff. He has consistently lowered his ERA from 6.0 to 3.9 by producing quality start after quality start (4 gem quality starts in past 6 games, other 2 he gave up 4 runs by going 6 and 7 innings, respectively). His last two outings he gave up only 2 earned runs total and they were both on the road. He pitched shut-out ball at Cincinnati (arguably one of the best offenses in the NL) and slipped up at Atlanta by giving up a 2-run homer (during the stretched of Atlanta's 9 game winning streak where they averaged over 7 runs per game). For any pitcher to be put in that situation it would be difficult, let alone a team like the Pirates with a very poor offense. They get a hold of Todd Wellenmeyer who has been anything but good on the road. In his 4 road starts, he is 0-3 with a 9.35 ERA. Those games were against the Diamondbacks, Dodgers, Padres, and Mets; none of which in my eyes are offensive beasts. The Giants overall have a winning record of 29-24 (54%), but are just 4-6 when Wellenmeyer starts (40%). It gets even worse, the Giants as a ball club are 0-4 when Wellenmeyer pitches on the road. I just can't see them competing tonight with how poorly he pitched on the road and how good Maholm has been pitching lately.

Houston Astros -110 (330/300)
This would be a much larger bet if I had more trust in Oswalt, but I don't. The reason I don't trust him is because he doesn't want to pitch in Houston anymore. He has nothing to prove either. It's the Astro's decision whether or not to trade him. It doesn't matter if he gets blasted or throws a shut out because teams in contention will still be interested in him no matter what. And that's scary... especially how he pitched in his last outing (2.1 IP, 4 hits, 3 walks, and 4 earned runs). His outing was cut short because he was frustrated with the officiating and got ejected from the game. The sad part was every ball he showed frustration over was actually a ball. He was bitching just to bitch. Again that's scary because he is getting extremely frustrated with the Astros' offense. He is 3-7 on the year with a 2.73 ERA. I would be frustrated too if I had a sub-2 ERA and only received 3 wins on 11 starts. Anyways, that's my rant on why this isn't a larger bet. I'm basically just fading the Cubs (who are absolutely reeling now and only 10-17 on the road this year) and hoping that Oswalt DOES pitch his heart out in hopes to impress some teams (but we all know teams will be interested in him regardless). The Astros, though, are playing some good ball lately winning 4 straight including 3 over the hot Nationals. Back to my fade of the Cubs... they have lost 6 of their last 8 including bad losses to bad teams (Pirates swept them, Astros and god awful Paulino beat them last night). It hasn't just been the Cubs reeling either as Dempster is coming off of his worst start of the season. His last time out he got rocked for 6 ER while giving up 9 hits and 3 walks in just 6 inning at home versus the Cardinals. Now he is traveling to a "hot" Astros team on a 4-game winning streak in which they are averaging 5.5 runs per game. Oswalt would sure be happy if he got 5 or 6 runs tonight and that should be WELL enough for him to get the win.

Best of luck.

:dancefool

Buccosabove.500 · Jun 5, 2010

Week: 5/31 - 6/6: 6-8 (+180)
Total: 6-8 (+180)

Saturday June 5, 2010:

1:07

Toronto Blue Jays +115 (200/230) (POSTED ABOVE - WINNER)
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 -150 (300/200) (POSTED ABOVE - WINNER)

4:10

Over 9.5 Florida Marlins/New York Mets (440/400) (POSTED ABOVE - LOSER)
Tampa Bay Rays -140 (280/200) (POSTED ABOVE - LOSER)

7:05

Over 9 San Diego Padres/Philadelphia Phillies (550/500) (POSTED ABOVE - PENDING)
Pittsburgh Pirates -130 (1,040/800) (POSTED ABOVE - PENDING)
Houston Astros -110 (330/300) (POSTED ABOVE - PENDING)

8:10

Arizona Diamondbacks +115 (300/345)

Best of luck.

:dancefool

goin4broke · Jun 5, 2010

buccos lookin good

Buccosabove.500 · Jun 5, 2010

Week: 5/31 - 6/6: 6-8 (+180)
Total: 6-8 (+180)

Saturday June 5, 2010:

1:07

Toronto Blue Jays +115 (200/230) (POSTED ABOVE - WINNER)
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 -150 (300/200) (POSTED ABOVE - WINNER)

4:10

Over 9.5 Florida Marlins/New York Mets (440/400) (POSTED ABOVE - LOSER)
Tampa Bay Rays -140 (280/200) (POSTED ABOVE - LOSER)

7:05

Over 9 San Diego Padres/Philadelphia Phillies (550/500) (POSTED ABOVE - LOSER)
Pittsburgh Pirates -130 (1,040/800) (POSTED ABOVE - WINNER)
Houston Astros -110 (330/300) (POSTED ABOVE - LOSER)

8:10

Arizona Diamondbacks +115 (300/345) (POSTED ABOVE - PENDING)

10:10

Under 7 Atlanta Braves/Los Angeles Dodgers (660/600)
Los Angeles Dodgers -125/Under 7 Atlanta Braves/Los Angeles Dodgers Parlay (200/440)

Best of luck.

:dancefool