Yankees as cheap favorites

billhill999 · Jun 5, 2010

Been trying to warn you guys for awhile now about the Yankees as a short faves.
Here are the numbers to back it up.

My definition of a short fave is NYY -100 up to NYY -160

Results from the past 3 weeks as a short fave

06/04/10 @ TOR L 1-6 A.J. Burnett (R) Brett Cecil (L) L -127
05/27/10 @ MIN L 2-8 Javier Vazquez (R) Nick Blackburn (R) L -107
05/25/10 @ MIN W 1-0 A.J. Burnett (R) Scott Baker (R) W -102
05/23/10 @ NYM L 4-6 CC Sabathia (L) Johan Santana (L) L -137
05/22/10 @ NYM L 3-5 Philip Hughes (R) Michael Pelfrey (R) L -160
05/21/10 @ NYM W 2-1 Javier Vazquez (R) Hisanori Takahashi (L) W -159
05/20/10 TB L 6-8 James Shields (R) Andy Pettitte (L) L -136
05/19/10 TB L 6-10 Wade Davis (R) A.J. Burnett (R) L -141

billhill999 · Jun 5, 2010

2 and 6 in eight such situations.

You would have picked up 200 on two winning dimes bets.
You ould have lost 788 on six losing dime bets.

Do the math.

Buccosabove.500 · Jun 5, 2010

Bill... if you carry it out more the Yanks are actually 3-9 their last 12 as a fave of -160 or lower. That's made vig down the toilet. All the Yanks are good for is bashing the O's and Indians as -300 faves. They are a very bad low vig team.

billhill999 · Jun 5, 2010

Yeah, I could have carried it out all season, but I just wanted to make it recent.

And to expand on your point, if you flat bet the Yanks at -300 all year, for every one you lose, you need to win three to break even.

tmader7 · Jun 5, 2010

billhill999 said:
Yeah, I could have carried it out all season, but I just wanted to make it recent.

Stating the obvious?
And to expand on your point, if you flat bet the Yanks at -300 all year, for every one you lose, you need to win three to break even.

:lolBIG: If this board hasn't figured out by now how to play the Yanks, why bother??? Only one play IMO and that's on the RL at home, IF, and only IF your numbers support a win. Plain and simple, they either loose or win by 2 or more.

~T~

rolltide · Jun 5, 2010

early numbers are nearly 80% on NYY today...

NyMets609 · Jun 5, 2010

bill you banking on your boys losing 2 straight to open the series?

billhill999 · Jun 5, 2010

I am, and I did

Coldweather · Jun 5, 2010

BOL today and hope you win a bunch of baseball money and horsey money too! :103631605

:toast:

Bannedit · Jun 5, 2010

only problem i see here is Toronto can't hits lefties. .202 BA bottom of the league

MemphisMonroe · Jun 5, 2010

Toronto +1.5 is a good play here.

STACKSONDECK · Jun 5, 2010

on under

billsfan · Jun 5, 2010

on over

NyMets609 · Jun 5, 2010

wow these guys and their home runs. when is the last time they went a game with out one?

NyMets609 · Jun 5, 2010

numba 2. DEREK GEEEETAAAAAAAH.

LockedampLoaded · Jun 5, 2010

Memphis Monroe said:
Toronto +1.5 is a good play here.

:toast:

LockedampLoaded · Jun 5, 2010

And I only had to pay .10 cents more for the 1.5. I will take my chances.....

NyMets609 · Jun 5, 2010

wow. get the feeling that top of the 7th could come back to haunt the Yanks. 2nd and 3rd 1 out and Jeter hits a rope into a DP.

NyMets609 · Jun 5, 2010

and there it is right there 2 seconds after I type that. unbelievable these motherfuckers with these fucking home runs.

MemphisMonroe · Jun 5, 2010

Memphis Monroe said:
Toronto +1.5 is a good play here.

:grandmais:grandmais:grandmais:grandmais

Yankees as cheap favorites

New member

New member

New member

New member

New member

I'm from the government and I'm here to help

New member

New member

Member

New member

New member

MY HEART IS A HOME AND FEAR DONT LIVE HERE

RX Member

New member

New member

New member

New member

New member

New member

New member

Forum statistics

Share this page