MistaFlava's MLB Baseball Sunday ***POWER SELECTIONS*** (June 6, 2010)

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MistaFlava's 2010 MLB Record: 0-1 (-10.00 Units)





Sunday, June 6


Toronto Blue Jays ML +122 (10 Units)

You can base you stats and your predictions all day and night on guys and their previous performances. If that's the case you are going to have a bet on the Yankees for the simple fact that Javier Vazquez in his last three visits to Toronto has pitched 23.2 innings and allowed only 16 hits and only 2 ER's in all those innings pitched with 27 strikeouts in complete domination. Well the last time he pitched in Toronto was in 2008 and none of those games were as a member of the Yankees. The Yankees are 0-4 this season when Vazquez pitches during the day where he is 0-3 with an ERA of 7.58 and a WHIP of 1.79 in those games and has allowed 4 of the 10 HR's he has allowed this season. Brendan Morrow has faced the Yankees twice in his career while with the Seattle Mariners and in 11.4 innings pitched he allowed only 6 hits, 2 ER's and had 12 strikeouts in the game. The story has been two sided this year for Brendan Morrow and the Jays as the team is 4-1 when he pitches at home where he has an ERA of only 3.90 and a WHIP of only 1.23 but they are only 2-4 when Morrow pitches away from home. The Yankees are 0-5 in their last five games as a road favorite, they have dropped 7 of the last 9 where Vazquez pitches on the road versus a team with a winning record on the season and they are only 1-4 in his last five starts versus AL East opponents. The Jays on the other hand have won five straight games played on a Sunday, they are a very impressive 12-2 in their last 14 games versus a right handed starter and they have won four straight when Morrow is on the mound at the Rogers Centre. The Jays were leading in the 9th inning of every game against the Rays earlier this week, they are playing tremendous baseball and this sweep is very important to the team.

Trend of the Game: Toronto is 12-2 in their last 14 games versus a right handed starter.



Toronto 5, NY Yankees 2





more to come...
 

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Sunday, June 6



Cincinnati Reds ML -119 (10 Units)

The Cincinnati Reds are playing well right now that they are worth a shot in this game. The series is on the line in this game and that should make it all that more exciting to watch. The bottom line for me here is that there two teams are going in different directions and right now the Reds are playing much better baseball. What's intriguing is that so far this season Craig Stammen has made 5 starts in day games and he is 0-0 in those games with an ERA of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.47 in those games. Not one single decision and his fate has always been put in the hands of the bullpen. That's not really a bad thing because the Nats bullpen has been tremendous all season long and is one of the best in MLB so far this season but overall Washington is only 4-7 in Stammen's 11 starts this season and they just don't really show up to play for a guy who can't really go a few games without allowing 3-4 ER's. The Reds on the other hand are 7-4 when Bronson Arroyo is on the mound in 2010 and they are 4-2 when he pitches on the road despite his ERA of 5.89 and WHIP of 1.47 in those games. In his six career starts versus Washington, the Reds are 5-1 and again they seem to put things together for Arroyo when they need to. Cincinnati is 6-0 in Bronson Arroyo's last six road starts versus a team with a losing record on the season and they have won 21 of his last 31 starts as a favorite. Stammen has bene outstanding in Game 3 of a series and that's a bit of a concern but Washington is 1-4 in his last five starts versus NL Central opponents, they are only 2-6 in his last eight starts overall and again he does not have one single decision in five day time starts this season. Cincinnati is the better team and this makese sense.

Trend of the Game: Cincinnati is 6-0 in Bronson Arroyo's last six road starts versus a team with a losing record.


Cincinnati 7, Washington 5





more to come...
 

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Ya left out one key ingredient in the recipe for a Jays win. Of those 4 Morrow home wins, three were against the Rays, the Rangers and Oakland, pretty good company from which to put pelts on the belt. Got both above in today's repertoire. GL

~T~
 

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Sunday, June 6



Chicago Cubs ML -111 (10 Units)

The series is once again on the line in the third and final game between these two teams and the first time they met in 2010 the Astros managed to win the series in extra innings in the third and deciding game of the series. Randy Wells is on the mound for the Cubs in this game and believe it or not in three career starts versus Houston he is 3-0, he has never allowed an earned run in those games and his pitching line is 20.2 IP, 0 ER's allowed, 17 hits and 9 strikeouts. Sure all the games were at Wrigley and those numbers are impressive but Wells has been good on the road this season going 2-1 with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.31 in those games as the Cubs have gone 3-3 and had a few bullpen blow jobs along the way. The Astros are outstanding behind Brett Myers when he pitches at home going 5-1 in those games while he is 2-0 in those games but Myers has been horrendous so far this season in day games as the team is 1-3 when he pitches during the day and has an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.65 in those games which is going to be a problem against the Cubs. The difference in this game is going to be the bullpens. Both teams are 6-5 when respective pitchers pitch this season but the Cubs bullpen has an ERA of 2.40 the last 10 games while the Astros bullpen has an ERA of 7.71 the last 10 games. Despite struggling against righties this season, the Cubs have won 4 of their last 5 Game 3 of a series and they have won 9 of their last 13 games in Houston. The Astros have won five straight now when Myers pitches at home but they are not a profitable team to wager on and they are just not worth the bullpen's problems right now. Randy Wells has dominated this lineup in the past and I just don't see that changing here.

Trend of the Game: Chicago is 4-1 during their last five Game 3 of a series.


Chicago 6, Houston 5




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Sunday, June 6



Texas Rangers ML +122 (25 Units) ***PLAY OF THE DAY***

Does the value on a team get any greater than what we are getting on the Rangers to win this game or what. When you put things into perspective the Tampa Bay Rays are 2-3 in their last five games (three in Toronto and two here in Texas) but in reality they are really 0-5 in those games because the Blue Jays blew two of those games in the 9th inning with the lead and the bottom line is that the Rays are not playing good baseball right now. I find it hard to believe that after losing the first two games of what has been a messy road trip for the Rays, they would be favored by this much against the Rangers who are 8-3 in Rich Harden's 11 starts so far this season. I know Harden has not pitched well at all this season but his team has been there for him. He has an ERA of 6.32 and a WHIP of 1.79 in his last three starts but the Rangers are 3-0 and have provided him with 7.0 runs of support per game. Matt Garza has been equally bad his last three starts with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.60 in those games while the Rays are 0-3 in those games and have provided him with only 2.0 runs of support in those games. The Rangers are actually 4-1 this season when Rich Harden pitches at home where his ERA is only 3.70. He has made five career starts versus Tampa Bay (all of the with the Oakland A's) and his team was 4-1 in those games. Tampa Bay is only 1-4 in their last five games versus right handed starters, they are 1-7 in their last eight games where they have lost the first two of a series and they are only 3-13 in Matt Garza's last 14 road starts versus a team with a winning record on the season. The Rays have lost six straight games when Garza is on the mound against a team with a winning record and this is the one plays Tampa Bay has always struggled to win games. Texas on the other hand is 7-1 in Rich Harden's last eight starts overall, they are 6-0 in Harden's last six starts that come when he has at least four days of rest in between starts and the Rangers are not going to miss this chance to complete the sweep. Again the difference between the two struggling pitchers is that one is getting the run support, the other is not. The Rays should have been swept earlier this week by the Jays and the Rangers won't miss this chance.

Trend of the Game: Tampa Bay is 0-6 in Matt Garza's last six games versus a team with a winning record.


Texas 8, Tampa Bay 4





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Sunday, June 6


Oakland Athletics ML -133 (10 Units)

Unless the A's bullpen comes in a blows this game, Gio Gonzalez is not about to let his team get swept by a team that struggled to win any games away from home in 2009. The Twins have won the first two games of this series by one run in each game and the A's had their chances to get it done but they failed in both games and I just don't see that happening here. I do have to say that the value is 100% with the Twins and Nick Blackburn because Minnesota is an outstanding 8-2 when he is on the mound this season and they have supported him with 6.40 runs of support per game in those games which is among the highest in MLB but what's important to note is that the two losses for the Twins when Blackburn is on the mound have been on the road and Blackburn has an ERA of 6.44 away from home with a WHIP of 1.81 in those games. Somehow the Twins have provided him with enough runs to be 3-2 when he pitches on the road but Blackburn has been horrible away from home. Gio Gonzalez on the other hand does not have the luxury of run support from his team but the lefty is a master of daytime games where he is 3-0 in three starts during the day this season with an ERA of 0.83 and a WHIP of 0.69 in those games. Gonzalez is untouchable in day games and he has been good enough in his last three starts allowing only 6 ER's in 19.2 innings pitched to give him another go in this game. Minnesota is only 1-5 in their last six games as a road underdog, they are only 3-13 in Nick Blackburn's last 16 road starts versus a team with a winning record and believe it or not Minnesota is 1-7 in Blackburn's last eight games versus AL West opponents. Oakland is 6-0 in Gio Gonzalez's last six starts as a favorite, they are 5-0 in his last five starts as a home favorite and it should be know that Minnesota is 0-5 in Nick Blackburn's last five starts versus Oakland. This is a great spot to back the A's and I'm not missing out.

Trend of the Game: Minnesota is 1-8 in Nick Blackburn's last nine starts versus AL West opponents.


Oakland 5, Minnesota 1





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Sunday, June 6


Atlanta Braves ML +115 (10 Units)

So Tim Hudson is 6-1 this season and he is an underdog in this game? Well to me that's some serious value because the team usually wins when he pitches, the Braves are one of the hottest teams in MLB the last few weeks if not the hottest and the Braves are 5-2 in his last seven starts against the Dodgers since moving to Atlanta from Oakland. This will no doubt be one of the best games of the day because both pitches have been outstanding but at this point you just can't go against the Braves. They are 3-0 in Hudson's last three starts where he has allowed only 4 ER's in 18.0 innings pitched in those games. The Dodgers are 2-1 in John Ely's last three starts but he has been outstanding allowing only 3 ER's in 20.1 innings pitched. Having said all of that, run support is huge and Tim Hudson has been a lot luckier than John Ely. Hudson is getting 7.33 runs of support per game his last three starts while Ely is getting only 2.33 runs of support in his last three starts. The Dodgers are 5-2 this season when John Ely is on the mound but they are only 1-2 when he starts in a day game, the only situation that has seen him struggle a bit with an ERA of 3.72 in daytime games. So despite pitching so well, the minimal run support is going to be a problem for Ely and the Dodgers against such a hot team. Atlanta is now 9-1 in their last 10 games versus a right handed starters on the road and they are 17-4 in their last 21 games overall versus a right handed starter. The Braves are also 5-0 in Tim Hudson's last five starts, they are 12-2 in their last 14 games coming off a win the game before and they have won 5 of their last 6 played in Los Angeles against the Dodgers. The boys in blue are only 1-6 in their last seven games versus NL East opponents and despite playing so well when John Ely is on the mound, the Braves and Hudson have been better and this pitchers dual will probably come down to bullpen performances and the Braves pen has been better overall this season, overall on the road and overall during the span of the last 10 games. Hudson and the Braves for me.

Trend of the Game: Atlanta is 17-4 in their last 21 games versus a right handed starter.


Atlanta 3, LA Dodgers 1





more to come...
 

Pain in Lang's side
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Instead of giving advice, you should strongly consider starting to take some. Here is some advice- you were much better off in hiding like you were the last three months than continuing to embarrass yourself here. Your comments on the games are horrible. Can't wait for your 50 unit power play to help mask these losing bets.

Why the hate for Mista Flava. Seems like lots of people bash him? Is there something I missed? He always seems respectable, and takes an awful lot of time to post write ups.

He made a killing on college bowl season.
 

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Yeah hey at least he post picks more than I can say for most including me.

You gotta have thick skin to post plays around here.
 

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Instead of giving advice, you should strongly consider starting to take some. Here is some advice- you were much better off in hiding like you were the last three months than continuing to embarrass yourself here. Your comments on the games are horrible. Can't wait for your 50 unit power play to help mask these losing bets.

What Is your Record LIP? Asshole!!
 

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Why the hate for Mista Flava. Seems like lots of people bash him? Is there something I missed? He always seems respectable, and takes an awful lot of time to post write ups.

He made a killing on college bowl season.


1) He may seem respectable but it's easy to do that when you use ghosts to bash anyone that opposes you. It was nice to see them in hiding though during his hiatus... (Coincidence, I think not)

2) He has the worst record of any capper on this site. He chased and chased and in one NFL season he lost about $200,000... You gotta really suck to do that losing $100 a game.

3) He plays with monopoly money.

4) He admitted that he gets NBA picks from simulating games on his PS2. And writeups are around that.

5) His writeups sucks, with trends often going back years when it was basically a different team.

6) He continually updates and posts his rare winning days, but cries when someone asks him why he lost so much in one day.

7) He pretends to be a big shot watching games in person when he doesn't even leave his mom's basement. He's been caught by this by not adjusting for time zone differences.

8) He was banned from another site for stealing money from other users when he was supposed to hold money from the contestants.

9) He comes in acting like a pro to impress n00bs, and goes into hiding after a trainwreck of a capping season.

10) He's just annoying, as is his ghosts.

11) He faked a great tennis record. Never posted his pics but did come in and claim he was doing awesome when all his posted picks were losing.

12) Pretended to give money to someone that follows him and loses but does so in private. (Like his tennis picks)

13) There's more I just can't remember.

And to counter what his alternate profiles are gonna say, no I did not follow him and lose. I never followed one of this picks. I was often on the other side. (Too bad I didn't fade him all the way, woulda won $300,000 or more in 2009. :)
 

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This -35 units is actually a good day for him.

And before anyone says I should shut up and give my own picks, I beat your hero MistaFlava by 2300 units in one season.
 

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Sorry, forgot about number 14 which is one of the most annoying....

14) After any kinda win he has hoards of ghosts come in and compliment him and blow it out of proportion. After a loss he uses the same people act liek it was no big deal, and he's still the man, despite being down thousands of monopoly dollars.
 

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