HOUSTON +1.05 over Chicago http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o
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Can someone explain why the Cubbies are favored over the Astros in Houston? It’s simply incorrect, as the Cubs are just 4½ games better than the Astros, they have the second best starter going here, its offense is as bad and probably more unreliable than the Astros and its bullpen is among the lousiest in the game. In fact, over the last 15 games, the Astros have scored 21 more runs than the Cubbies and they’re batting 30 points higher. Over that same stretch, the Astros have also struck out 24 less times than the Cubs have. Than we have the starters. Randy Wells has allowed 69 hits in 61 innings for a BAA of .280. He’s been crushed in three of his last six starts and that includes a game in which he did not make it out of the first inning. His numbers are average and so is his stuff. Brett Myers has been one of the best pitchers in the game over the last month or so. He is coming off a start that featured a season-high 10 strikeouts. His dominance has been surging, with 27 strikeouts in his last four starts, covering 28 IP. Myers has pitched seven full innings or more in seven of his last 10 starts. Typically plagued by the HR in the past, Myers has shown major improvement in that area this season, allowing six jacks to-date (0.7 hr/9). Again, the Cubbies favored here is wrong. Play: Houston +1.05 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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TORONTO +1.25 over NY Yankeeshttp://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o></o>
Javier Vazquez has had two good starts in his last three outings but so what. He had a good game at Citi Field against the Mets and a good game against the lame Orioles. He still sports an ERA of 6.06 and the high majority of his outings this year have been disasters. Throw out those two games against the Mets and O’s and his ERA would be close to 7.50. The Jays have killed righties all year, as their 16-8 record at home against right-handers will attest to. Vazquez has also been taken yard 10 times in 49 IP and that could be a huge problem here as the Jays continue to crush the field in homeruns hit. In fact, the Jays have smacked a lead-leading 96 jacks and the closest to them is a distant 18 behind. Brandon Morrow is the Jays worst starter with the best stuff on the staff. When he’s on he’s wickedly good and he’s been on at home way more often than not. In fact, at the Rogers Center, Morrow is 4-1 with a 3.90 ERA and is coming off a seven-inning, three-hit, one-run gem against the Rays. Yanks may win here but the true value is on the Jays, as this is not a team that is going away anytime soon and has proven they’re for real. Play: Toronto +1.25 (Risking 2 units).
></o>Can someone explain why the Cubbies are favored over the Astros in Houston? It’s simply incorrect, as the Cubs are just 4½ games better than the Astros, they have the second best starter going here, its offense is as bad and probably more unreliable than the Astros and its bullpen is among the lousiest in the game. In fact, over the last 15 games, the Astros have scored 21 more runs than the Cubbies and they’re batting 30 points higher. Over that same stretch, the Astros have also struck out 24 less times than the Cubs have. Than we have the starters. Randy Wells has allowed 69 hits in 61 innings for a BAA of .280. He’s been crushed in three of his last six starts and that includes a game in which he did not make it out of the first inning. His numbers are average and so is his stuff. Brett Myers has been one of the best pitchers in the game over the last month or so. He is coming off a start that featured a season-high 10 strikeouts. His dominance has been surging, with 27 strikeouts in his last four starts, covering 28 IP. Myers has pitched seven full innings or more in seven of his last 10 starts. Typically plagued by the HR in the past, Myers has shown major improvement in that area this season, allowing six jacks to-date (0.7 hr/9). Again, the Cubbies favored here is wrong. Play: Houston +1.05 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>TORONTO +1.25 over NY Yankeeshttp://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers<o
></o>Javier Vazquez has had two good starts in his last three outings but so what. He had a good game at Citi Field against the Mets and a good game against the lame Orioles. He still sports an ERA of 6.06 and the high majority of his outings this year have been disasters. Throw out those two games against the Mets and O’s and his ERA would be close to 7.50. The Jays have killed righties all year, as their 16-8 record at home against right-handers will attest to. Vazquez has also been taken yard 10 times in 49 IP and that could be a huge problem here as the Jays continue to crush the field in homeruns hit. In fact, the Jays have smacked a lead-leading 96 jacks and the closest to them is a distant 18 behind. Brandon Morrow is the Jays worst starter with the best stuff on the staff. When he’s on he’s wickedly good and he’s been on at home way more often than not. In fact, at the Rogers Center, Morrow is 4-1 with a 3.90 ERA and is coming off a seven-inning, three-hit, one-run gem against the Rays. Yanks may win here but the true value is on the Jays, as this is not a team that is going away anytime soon and has proven they’re for real. Play: Toronto +1.25 (Risking 2 units).
