Some #'s for 6/7 Games

BudhaKane · Jun 7, 2010

Been tracking early line movement since day 1 of the season. It's just another tool to help handicap the games. Using 2 sets of data and sometimes the plays listed will contradict. Teams noted will be based all teams %'s for certain situations (prior games results and movement). They are situations that the specified teams are in for todays games only.

#1
Cinn 23-9 overall, 10-2 G1, <140 fav 10-7

Colo 29-11 overall, 12-4 G1, won last game (WL) 22-5

Sea 6-2 overall, 3-0 G1

Cubs 17-3 overall, 8-2 G1

#2
Cinn <150 fav 7-8

Colo 17-4 overall (rl winner 70%), 7-0 G1

Oak 17-4 overall (rl winner 70%), 7-0 G1

Cubs 21-7 overall, 5-2 G1, lost last game (LL) 12-4

Yes, they are all favs. I am sure that 90% of the listings will be just that. Personally, I like it when both agree on the same team and have some sort of sustained track record (ie not crazy about Sea).

Goget · Jun 7, 2010

Trying to interpret your finding. Any chance you could summerize the above.

Las8 · Jun 7, 2010

Im assuming G1 is game 1 of a series... i like cincy with bronson and the cubs with silva today

BudhaKane · Jun 7, 2010

Goget said:
Trying to interpret your finding. Any chance you could summerize the above.

Hope this helps:

Cinn 23-9 overall: NOT that Cinncy is 23-9 ats but teams that are in this situation from Day 1 of the season are 23 wins/ 9 losses.

G1: Game 1 of a series

<140 fav: less than 140 as a fav are 10-7 ats. So since Cinncy is about a 130 fav they fall into the 10-7 category.

17-4 overall (70% rl winner): of the 17 wins here, 12 were by 2 runs or more.

BudhaKane · Jun 7, 2010

Las8 said:
Im assuming G1 is game 1 of a series... i like cincy with bronson and the cubs with silva today

Las8, thanks for the help. Congrats on the cubs, good luck with Cinncy.

VicVega91 · Jun 7, 2010

So is Colorado a play as well? Thanks in advance

BudhaKane · Jun 7, 2010

VicVega91 said:
So is Colorado a play as well? Thanks in advance

Vic- I don't want to list any of these as "plays". They are just statistics/%'s compiled from the begining of the season. If the info helps you decide one way or another, great. As I said earlier, I like it when the the same team shows up twice.

VicVega91 · Jun 7, 2010

Budha, Thanks for the reply. I understand what you are saying about not listing these as "plays". However, having said that, the fact that Colorado shows up twice would then cause you to give them a good look. Correct?

BudhaKane · Jun 7, 2010

VicVega91 said:
Budha, Thanks for the reply. I understand what you are saying about not listing these as "plays". However, having said that, the fact that Colorado shows up twice would then cause you to give them a good look. Correct?

Vic - Truth be told, I did not play them earlier at 160-65. Now they are at 180ish. I have a few dollars in my pocket from the afternoon and I think that a split of the ml/rl (3/2 ratio) would be worth a shot just to lower my exposure.

VicVega91 · Jun 7, 2010

Thanks Budha

Las8 · Jun 7, 2010

Budha Kane said:
Vic - Truth be told, I did not play them earlier at 160-65. Now they are at 180ish. I have a few dollars in my pocket from the afternoon and I think that a split of the ml/rl (3/2 ratio) would be worth a shot just to lower my exposure.

Colo RL :thumbsup:

cordial · Jun 8, 2010

Nice work BK...impressive results

Some #'s for 6/7 Games

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