Some #'s for 6/8 Games

BudhaKane · Jun 8, 2010

Been tracking early line movement since day 1 of the season. It's just another tool to help handicap the games. Using 2 sets of data and sometimes the plays listed will contradict. Teams noted will be based all teams %'s for certain situations (prior games results and movement). They are situations that the specified teams are in for todays games only.

#1
Wash 21-12 overall (rl winner 70%), 8-5 G1, 10-3 >140 fav

Phila 17-9 overall, 10-4 G1, 10-4 <140 fav

Sf 8-9 overall, 5-7 G2+, 3-7 won last game (WL)

Mets 4-2 overall (rl winner 75%)

Mil 23-10 overall, 10-3 G1, 13-2 >140 fav

Colo 1-0 overall (rl winner)

Atl 16-20 overall, 12-11 G2+, 6-13 lost last game (LL), 11-14 <140 fav

Stl 2-4 overall (rl winner 100%), 2-3 G2+

Bos 16-20 overall, 12-11 G2+, 10-7 WL, 5-6 >140

Nyy nothing

Tb 3-3 overall (rl winner 66%), 1-3 G1

Tex 11-10 overall, 8-8 G2+, 5-4 LL

Wsox 17-9 overall, 10-4 G1, 10-4 <140 fav

Minn 6-6 overall, 2-4 G1

Laa 16-20 overall, 12-11 G2+, 10-7 WL, 5-6 >140 fav

#2
Wash 2-2 overall, 2-1 G1

Phila 18-5 overall (rl 70%)

Sf 12-6 overall, 5-2 G2+

Mets 16-12 overall (rl 80%), 5-4 G1, 3-5 <150 fav

Mil 45-32 overall (rl 45%), 28-12 G1

Colo 1-5 overall, 0-1 G1

Atl 5-10 overall (rl 100%), 3-4 G2+

Stl 5-3 overall, 4-3 G2+

Bos 7-0 overall (rl 70%), 3-0 G2+

Nyy nothing

Tb 16-12 overall (rl 80%), 5-4 G1, 13-7 >150 fav

Tex 18-5 overall (rl 70%), 10-4 G2+

Wsox 45-32 overall (rl 45%), 28-12 G1

Minn 11-10 overall, 1-2 G1

Laa 24-34 overall, 12-14 WL

I decided to list all of the games today. A little too much info here to type. Just wanted to show all of the stats/%'s for every game. Once again, I like it when both agree on the same team and have some sort of sustained track record.

Deadbeats · Jun 8, 2010

Budha,
i wanted to make sure i was reading the information the same as you. You said if both 1&2 are favorable then it could be a good play, correct? I have Mets RL, Phillies RL, Brewers and White Sox from this list. don't want to be stupid just trying to understand.

thanks again.

BudhaKane · Jun 8, 2010

Deadbeats said:
Budha,
i wanted to make sure i was reading the information the same as you. You said if both 1&2 are favorable then it could be a good play, correct? I have Mets RL, Phillies RL, Brewers and White Sox from this list. don't want to be stupid just trying to understand.

thanks again.

DB- I look for both to agree on the same team and have a sustained track record. I am not suggesting that you do not play the Mets today, only that the %'s on the Mets in the 2nd set of data shows them 16-12 overall (rl 80%), 5-4 G1, 3-5 <150 fav. In other words, teams in the same situation that the Mets find themselves in today have won only 57% of the time (in all games), 55% in Game 1's and 38% when they are less than a 150 fav.
As for the Phila RL, it's great to get back +$ on the wager, but they have not really been tearing it up recently and is Kendrick and/or the Phila bullpen something that is a sure 7th - 9th inning thing? Keep in mind that Phila is in an 18-5 (70% RL) situation, NOT that they (Philadelphia) have 18 wins with 13 runline covers.

Good luck with whatever you choose to do. Keep in mind that while yesterday both of the similar data teams won (chic, colo) it might, or might not happen again today.

BudhaKane · Jun 8, 2010

Not that I am going to keep a record for this and since I entered alot of needless %'s in the first post, I did play Phila/Mil/Wsox ML.

Deadbeats · Jun 8, 2010

Understand Budha, thanks for the clarification. I was taking the numbers to be for that teams history and it is for teams in the same situation. Thanks again for the information